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#1
10-09-2009, 07:33 AM
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10/9: Keeneland (4th-10th)
Thursday action at Belmont was fun and lucrative even though P4's fell short. Single try of Sly (2nd in the 7th) in the late quad and pig-headed omission of Pletcher entry in the 4th in the early edition were the miscues, but there was lots of cashing throughout the afternoon to offset them. On top 'Best Value' Karakorum Elektra's narrow photo score in the Memories of Silver returned a sharp $15.40 win price and capped three straight winners for the $73.75 early P3 ($1), which got the day off to a nice start.
Later, the 6th race became key to the mutuel returns when Australis Princess ($8.00-1), Mystic City ($8.30-1) and I Do That ($3.85-1) combined for a $500 ($1) triple. The two pricey top finishers were worthy of inclusion as pedigree plays, with 'Princess' being by Werblin, off to an amazing start with grass routers, and 'Mystic' haling from City Zip who gets his share of lawn lovers. In addition, Mike Ferraro, who trains the runner up, was a noteworthy 24% W's on stretchouts of his charges. Hope you did well Thursday on what was as entertaining a mid-week card as you can find! Keeneland opens today and note that cool, wet weather is the forecast. That typically makes for a tight polytrack... KEENELAND PRE-SCRATCHES 4th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #7 Forest Trail 5-1 4th Best Value: #2 Grassy Nellie 5-1 6th Next Best: #5 Striking Dancer 7-2 3rd Super Add: #11 Tight Precision 4-1 5th 5th: ALW/N2L, 2yo, 7f (P6, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #1 Call Shot 7-2 2nd Best Value: #6 Pegasus Prancer 5-1 4th Next Best: #8 Gun Rock 3-1 5th Super Add: #7 Liston 4-1 WON 6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #8 SCR Next Best: #12 Orchestrator 5-2 WON Best Value: #11 Fugitive Angel 8-1 2nd Super Add: #3 Cautionary Tale 6-1 4th 7th: ALW/N2L, F&M-3+, 7f (.50 P4, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #3 Film Charm 5-2 3rd Best Value: #5 Alice's Smart 12-1 WON Next Best: #8 Quite the Lady 6-1 8th Super Add: #11 Diamond Song 5-1 4th 8th: 157th Phoenix (G3), 3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super) Excellent mix in this historic race, and while I love what he's done all year, Capt. Candyman Can (5-2) may be too short a price to embrace on the surface. Fatal Bullet's (2-1) main target comes in California next month. My Pal Charlie (8-1), last year's winner Sing Baby Sing (10-1) and appear to be the ones most likely to run their races while providing the prices you like to see in sprint events. Added dashes of Southwestern flavor for heat comes in presence of consistent Greeley's Conquest and Zia/PrM stake winner Ez Dreamer (Both 8-1).. Best Value: #8 My Pal Charlie 8-1 8th Most Likely: #4 Capt. Candyman Can 5-2 2nd Next Best: #7 Fatal Bullet 2-1 WON Super Add: #10 Sing Baby Sing 10-1 4th 9th: 58th Alcibiades (G1), 2yo-F, 8.5f (DD, Super) Most Likely: #3 She Be Wild 3-1 2nd Best Value: #5 Negligee 12-1 WON Next Best: #4 Beautician 5-2 5th Super Add: #6 Screen Legend 20-1 10th .10 SUPER SPOT PLAY: 3-5 with 3-4-5-6 with 3-4-5-6-7-9 with 1-3-4-5-6-7-9-10 (2x3x4x5 = 120 x .10 = $12) $0.10 Superfecta (5-3-9-7) Paid $208.84 10th: ALW/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m-T (Super, Super High 5) Best Value: #8 SCR Most Likely: #5 Banker's Choice 4-1 Next Best: #6 Redreamit 2-1 3rd Super Add: #4 True Birkin 5-1 4th High 5 Play: #11 Project Rose 5-1 WON <$75 P4 Play: 7: 3-5 8: 3-4-7-8-10 9: 3-4-5-6-9 10: 5-6-8 2x5x5x3 = 150 x .50 = $75 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 10-09-2009 at 05:55 PM. 
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#4
10-09-2009, 04:27 PM
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Steve, Nice... I used 4 and could have used 7 and not had that horse.
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#5
10-09-2009, 04:36 PM
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One last pick 3, if I can make it to OTB in time...
2$ 3,4,7/5,7,10/6,11 Good Luck guys
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#7
10-09-2009, 05:06 PM
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#9
10-09-2009, 05:14 PM
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#10
10-09-2009, 05:19 PM
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#11
10-09-2009, 05:20 PM
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bang! nice hit on the super Steve!
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#12
10-09-2009, 05:21 PM
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Terrific work Steve. Bring this Pick 4 home. Good to see Rajiv holding his own at Keeneland too.
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#13
10-09-2009, 05:24 PM
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Quote:
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#17
10-09-2009, 05:28 PM
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11 opens at 7-5
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#20
10-09-2009, 05:36 PM
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I don't think Super Poni is hopeless in the finale. Gonna take a shot with her and Kiss Mine.
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