Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > Joe Silverio Simulcast Center
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 05-17-2009, 09:27 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,826
Default 5/17: Belmont ($47k C/O)

Can't figure out how Saturday could have been a much better day for players, fans and racing in general... Pimlico card had more than enough quirky results to make the mutuels zing, and the 134th Preakness will turn out to be one that all enthusiasts will fondly recall. Anyone that hoped for historic and exciting got all that and more.

The best part of Rachel Alexandra's win is that it quashes the wild-eyed, ill-informed zealots who gleefully seek to destroy the game due to their inability to comprehend what the horseplayer, fan and industry stakeholder all love about it: the fact that it induces genuine and unfettered emotion.

The types that spew vitriol at racing and eagerly claim the sport is dying, which unfortunately includes some within the sport itself, are jealous misanthropes who seek validation for their own sad lives. Because they are completely desensitized to experiences like the thrall of Baltimore Saturday, or too frightened to feel the despair of Louisville a year ago, they try to diminish the experience for those intrepid enough to brave racing's natural highs and lows. Too bad for them. They don't know what they're missing.

Window work went well too Saturday, catching some excellent 'Best Value' runners including $40.20 Motown Shuffle in the ALW 5th and $28.40 No Advantage in the Schaefer. Offered up the Preakness triple as well, with Musket/Mine inversed behind Rachel on top. Hit 3 of the 4 Pick 4's Friday-Saturday, but lost money on the short-priced sequences. Hope you did well on the Black-Eyed Susan-Preakness Weekend... Belmont carryover to try today.


BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: MSW, F&M-3+, 7f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 More to the Story 3-1 6th
Best Value: #7 Strike the Bell 10-1 WON
Next Best: #10 Miss Catalyst 2-1 4th


6th: MDN CLM, 3yo-F, 8.5f-T (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 SCR
Best Value: #8 Proud Diva 8-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Selene's Delight 12-1 2nd


7th: MSW, 3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Allrightsreserved 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Country Trick 10-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Empirior 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #1a Eye on Jacob 5-2 WON


8th: Lure, 3+, 7f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Prince Rahy 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #4 SCR
Next Best: #6 Ballast 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #7 Our Friend Harvey 3-1 WON


9th: CLM/N1Y, 3+, 9f-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Optimer 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Thunder Minister 10-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Bon Marie 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #1 (POE) Akebono 8-1 5th


10th: 31st Mount Vernon, NYB F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (Super)

Most Likely: #6 I Lost My Choo 2-1 WON
Best Value: #7 You Go West Girl 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Love Cove 5-1 5th
Super Add: #4 Chestoria 6-1 6th


<$300 P6 Play:

5: 4-7-10
6: 4-8
7: 1-2-6-7
8: 2
9: 2-6-7
10: 6-7

3x2x4x1x3x2 = 144 x $2 = $288


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 1-2-6-7
8: 2
9: 1-2-6-7
10: 3-4-6-7

4x1x4x4 = $64


Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 05-18-2009 at 07:52 AM.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 05-17-2009, 10:35 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,826
Default

BELMONT SCR'S


http://www.equibase.com/premium/changes/BEL-changes.asp


5

1A Empire West Early
2B Catoosa Early


6

1 (poe) Officer Flirt Early


7

1 (poe) Hoopoe Early


8

4 Elusive Gift Early NO SUPERFECTA
9 Formal King Early


9

1A Windication Early NO SUPERFECTA
4 Oedipus O'Neal Early
5 Kick Up Your Heels Early
8 Raynicks Fan Early


10

11 Southside Babe Early
12 Bella Attrice Early
13 One in a Romp Early
14 Raffie's Treasure Early
15 Sapphire Sky Early
16 Point Me to It Early
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 05-17-2009, 11:08 AM
Rudeboyelvis Rudeboyelvis is offline
Belmont Park
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 7,440
Default

Powder Burn just scratched out of the 6th - makes this a lot tougher
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 05-17-2009, 11:41 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,826
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis
Powder Burn just scratched out of the 6th - makes this a lot tougher
Very tiring chasing down SCR's after deadline...

Dan.. Am hoping Proud Diva and Selene cover it.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 05-17-2009, 02:16 PM
pointman's Avatar
pointman pointman is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 15,693
Default

Nice job with Strike the Bell, Steve, I am kicking myself for not using him in the double with the 7 in the last!

I think this 3 is dangerous on the drop in the 6th and the price is looking right at the moment.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 05-17-2009, 02:22 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,826
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by pointman
Nice job with Strike the Bell, Steve, I am kicking myself for not using him in the double with the 7 in the last!
THX!! That was nice... Donk was biding his time with her till the grass season. Has been working great and that try in January on the inner was much faster on Thoro-Graph.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 05-17-2009, 02:28 PM
pointman's Avatar
pointman pointman is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 15,693
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
THX!! That was nice... Donk was biding his time with her till the grass season. Has been working great and that try in January on the inner was much faster on Thoro-Graph.
It didn't hurt that Donk was 9/35, 26% with $4.07 ROI Dirt to Turf off a layoff in the last 5 years either, hence, why I am kicking myself!

6th

$20W 3
$20 DD 3/5,6

Good Luck on the pk6 Steve, think this is a tricky race.
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 05-17-2009, 03:03 PM
pointman's Avatar
pointman pointman is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 15,693
Default

Late pk4 stabs:

7- 1,3,5,6,7
8- 2
9- 2,3,7
10- 2,3,6,7

7- 5,6,7
8- 2,3,5
9- 2,3,7
10- 2,3,6,7

$20 W7 (hoping lucky 7's continue here)

$20 DD 7/2

Good Luck
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 05-17-2009, 03:09 PM
Rudeboyelvis Rudeboyelvis is offline
Belmont Park
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 7,440
Default Late P4

1,2,3,5,6,7//2//2,7//2,3,4,6,7

60.00
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 05-17-2009, 03:29 PM
the_fat_man's Avatar
the_fat_man the_fat_man is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 4,676
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by pointman
It didn't hurt that Donk was 9/35, 26% with $4.07 ROI Dirt to Turf off a layoff in the last 5 years either, hence, why I am kicking myself!
2 months off is now considered a layoff? Blewitt also made the same observation.
Reply With Quote
  #11  
Old 05-17-2009, 03:34 PM
pointman's Avatar
pointman pointman is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 15,693
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by the_fat_man
2 months off is now considered a layoff? Blewitt also made the same observation.
Obviously where I got the stat from, what can I say, the horse won at a price and I should have used him.
Reply With Quote
  #12  
Old 05-17-2009, 03:38 PM
DJARUM's Avatar
DJARUM DJARUM is offline
Hollywood Park
 
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: BKK
Posts: 955
Default

BEL Late PK 3

5
2-3-7
3-6-7-9
Reply With Quote
  #13  
Old 05-17-2009, 03:40 PM
jms62's Avatar
jms62 jms62 is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 19,795
Default

P3) 3,7/1,2,6,7/1,2,6,7
Reply With Quote
  #14  
Old 05-17-2009, 04:15 PM
pointman's Avatar
pointman pointman is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 15,693
Default

Belmont 8th

$20W 7
$20 DD 7/3/6

Good Luck!
Reply With Quote
  #15  
Old 05-17-2009, 04:22 PM
jms62's Avatar
jms62 jms62 is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 19,795
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by jms62
P3) 3,7/1,2,6,7/1,2,6,7
This weekend has simply ****ing sucked
Reply With Quote
  #16  
Old 05-17-2009, 04:22 PM
Bigsmc's Avatar
Bigsmc Bigsmc is offline
Goodwood
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 8,577
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by pointman
$20 W7 (hoping lucky 7's continue here)

$20 DD 7/2

Good Luck
No lucky 7 in the 8th??
Reply With Quote
  #17  
Old 05-17-2009, 04:23 PM
pointman's Avatar
pointman pointman is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 15,693
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bigsmc
No lucky 7 in the 8th??
No, and Hollywood is not looking that good at the moment, have to bail out in the 9th! Boy did Bon Marie have no excuse there. In fact, its been unlucky 7's for me, it went 7-7-7, then I play the 7 and the 1 wins, I play the 2 and the 7 wins, I play the 7 and the 3 wins. I am not playing the 7 on top in the 9th for those that want to bet the 7!
Reply With Quote
  #18  
Old 05-17-2009, 04:31 PM
the_fat_man's Avatar
the_fat_man the_fat_man is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 4,676
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by pointman
Boy did Bon Marie have no excuse there.
Terrible ride by Maragh. Very game effort under the circumstances by BM.
Reply With Quote
  #19  
Old 05-17-2009, 04:46 PM
pointman's Avatar
pointman pointman is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 15,693
Default

Going to try to bail out a bit with the 2 here:

$20W 2.
$20 EXB 2,6

Good Luck!
Reply With Quote
  #20  
Old 05-17-2009, 05:08 PM
pointman's Avatar
pointman pointman is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 15,693
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by pointman
Going to try to bail out a bit with the 2 here:

$20W 2.
$20 EXB 2,6 - $388.00

Good Luck!
That will work!!
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 12:04 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.