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#1
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![]() first of all I love horseracing, and I love a good underdog, however I am afraid MTB winning may have made a mockery of the sport and the derby for many.The horse with the slowest of any type of speed figure, with the worst perceived "class", getting his ass beat at Sunland, with a trainer who was 1 for 32 for the year. And not only winning but destroying 18 other of the best of the best available. so poorly looked at breeding and conformation wise that he sold for $9500? Believe me I have owned and raced mostly claiming thoroughbreds for 30 years and I love the idea of this guy beating the heavy head millionaires but I think this will be one of the most single telling events to destroy the handle of racing for years to come.
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#2
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lol no way man. it's not a mockery at all. and i doubt it'll affect handle either. sometimes a long shot wins-no one quit going to oaklawn this year when flat out won, or when win willy won either. hmm. say when win willy won three times fast. ![]()
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Books serve to show a man that those original thoughts of his aren't very new at all. Abraham Lincoln |
#3
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![]() As far as the speed figures, I gotta think Beyer & his followers would have been a lot more content had Summer Bird been the bomb that won.
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#4
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#5
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why? beyer's been around this sport longer than a lot of folks have been alive. he knows the occasional bomb comes in, and he knows that sometimes horses run an inexplicable figure that doesn't jibe with anything they've done before-or what they do after. it's not the end of the world that another 50-1'er won this thing.
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Books serve to show a man that those original thoughts of his aren't very new at all. Abraham Lincoln |
#6
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![]() Mockery? It's horse racing! Anything can and will happen.
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"Change can be good, but constant change shows no direction" http://www.hickoryhillhoff.blogspot.com/ |
#7
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__________________
Books serve to show a man that those original thoughts of his aren't very new at all. Abraham Lincoln |
#8
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![]() His life's work is based on these numbers. He talked about the last out Beyer as a strong predictor of performance in the Derby the day before the race. Don't you think he would have been happier with a Summer Bird victory? I'm not bashing him, but let's get real.
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#9
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seeing as how he picked IWR, i'd think he would be happier had the horse not scratched. most folks went with previous mud experience and bet the farm on FF. that wasn't based on beyers. if beyers don't correlate from one surface to another, then i'd imagine they aren't gospel when going from a fast track to a sloppy one.
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Books serve to show a man that those original thoughts of his aren't very new at all. Abraham Lincoln |
#10
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Look I am as surprised as anyone to see the horse move up so much but I doubt it does anything long term to the game.. The track was weird and the colt jumped up.. Let's hope the colt comes back clean, because if he didn't that would seriously harm the game.. Imagine if one the the suspected Chemists were the listed trainer, that colt would need a transfution of blood with the testing that would be done after the race |
#11
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No doubt.
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Just more nebulous nonsense from BBB |
#12
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Books serve to show a man that those original thoughts of his aren't very new at all. Abraham Lincoln |
#13
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![]() this is no problem at all, my wife took the 8 horse!
ca-ching!
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Support your local Re-run or horse rescue organization. https://www.rerunottb.com/:) |
#14
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exciting the race looked and how the horse paid over a $100. I doubt they would have been as excited if Calvin had pulled a wire job and the horse had held on by a nose.
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Still trying to outsmart me, aren't you, mule-skinner? You want me to think that you don't want me to go down there, but the subtle truth is you really don't want me to go down there! |
#15
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![]() Mine That Bird beat Advice at Sunland. Advice won the Lexington.
It's not like Mine That Bird was facing claimers, it may have been Sunland but good horses shipped in for a $600k race. |
#16
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![]() Just as in music, racing has its one hit wonders. Anyone heard from Da' Tara lately? Did he ever win another race?
Given the number of races run worldwide, longshots will crop up in graded events. It is just another fact of the game. Would any handicapping angle that I use ever tap Mine That Bird as winner -- let alone, Kentucky Derby winner? The answer is no. If class was mid-level claimer/optional allowance at LaD or FG, I could tab MTB as possible play. Does anyone have early Breeders' Cup Classic line for MTB? ![]()
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@wire2wirewin Turf Economist since 1974 |
#17
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#18
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Still trying to outsmart me, aren't you, mule-skinner? You want me to think that you don't want me to go down there, but the subtle truth is you really don't want me to go down there! |
#19
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![]() MTB's win both showed the beauty of the sport while at the same time making a mockery of it as well
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#20
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![]() I was thinking the same thing today about the odds of this Derby and discussing it with a friend. I didnt see many horses on the board yesterday that were actually good win bets. Certainly I would have loved to have my $200 win ticket on the horse who won and collected 10K, but 50/1 was a huge underlay (if there is such a thing at 50/1) on the winner when you think of the fact that Giacomo was much more accomplished and competitive with top horses than Mine the Bird, and yet pretty much the same price. Mine that Bird should have been over 100/1.
The horse I bet was a terrible price at 12/1- Hold me Back. General Quarters and Chocolate Candy were equally if not worse bets at 9/1. Friesan Fires was a huge underlay at 7/2 and so too was Dunkirk at 5/1. Papa Clem was a puzzling 13/1. Desert Party was a decent stab at 14/1. Thats about the only horse I thought was actually a good price. |