4/17: Keeneland (6th-10th)

[Kasept]

Prices continued to light up the Keeneland tote Thursday including Tim Hamm's outrageous 50-1 stakes winner of the Gr. II Appalachian. Started nicely chasing the P6 at Santa Anita before the wheels came off past the halfway point. Hope I didn't bury you Thursday... Looking to regain some traction at KEE today heading into a weekend highlighted by closing of Santa Anita meet, a strong middle Saturday at Lexington and a great stakes quad later in the evening at Charles Town.


KEENELAND


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: ALW/N1X, 3yo, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Dream of Kaylee 5-2 WON
Best Value: #6 Petch 12-1 7th
Next Best: #4 More Than Willing 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #3 War Lap 5-1 6th


7th: ALW/N2X, 4+, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #2 Limestone Edge 5-1 2nd
Most Likely: #3 Vacation 2-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Izanga 3-1 6th
Super Add: #6 Targe 8-1 4th


8th: ALW/C, F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 You Go West Girl 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #6 Ariege 8-5 WON
Best Value: #4 Tell It as It is 8-1 5th
Super Add: #1 Mini Mom 20-1 6th


9th: Doubledogdare (Gr. II), F&M-4+, 8.5f (DD, Super)

Best Value: #2 Awesome Ashley 6-1 5th
Most Likely: #8 Indescribable 5-2 WON
Next Best: #1 Tejida 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 Crown of Diamonds 15-1 6th


10th: MSW, 3yo, 7f (Super, Super High 5)

Most Likely: #9 Reb 3-1 WON
Next Best: #7 Keep Thinking 4-1 6th
Best Value: #6 Kennessey 20-1 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Tapit's Brew 8-1 3rd
High 5 Play: #11 Buriedbeyondbelief 8-1 8th


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 2-3
8: 2-6
9: 1-2-4-6-7-8
10: 2-4-6-7-9-11

2x2x6x6 = 144 x .50 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

[jms62]

Juciy P4's again. Keenland, I wish I knew how to quit you

[asudevil]

50 Cents

7th: 1,2,7

8th: 6 (Should be much classier than the rest.)

9th: 2,3,5,8

10th: 1,2,4,5,8,9,10,11,12

3x1x4x9 $54

[hoovesupsideyourhead]

spot value play

race 4 pp 9 zippy larry ml 15-1

in a race packed with high connected big sire contestants this horse may
dust them with the right trip. carson city on top of a meadowlake mare
and a 46hg gate work may get it done

or he may get smoked..

gl hooves

[Rudeboyelvis]

Wow - tough sequence... agree the 5 Drop a Line is a must use in the feature,

1,2,3,7//6//2,3,5,8//2,3,4,5,7,8,9,11

4x1x4x8 = 64.00 for half a buck 67.10



Edited for scratches/second thoughts - Back up ticket

1,2,3,5,7//2,6//2,3,4,5,6,8//9 = 30 bucks 67.10

[northeastbound123]

Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead

spot value play

race 4 pp 9 zippy larry ml 15-1

in a race packed with high connected big sire contestants this horse may
dust them with the right trip. carson city on top of a meadowlake mare
and a 46hg gate work may get it done

or he may get smoked..

gl hooves

jocks on the two lay horses flip, very odd. I think I'm going to watch the board on these two.

[declansharbor]

Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis

Wow - tough sequence... agree the 5 Drop a Line is a must use in the feature,

1,2,3,7//2,6//2,3,5,8//1,2,3,7,9,11

4x2x4x6 = 96.00 for half a buck

Absolutely. I'm eager to see how Motion's charge does off the bench as well.

Very tough, yet playable sequence.

[swedejxn]

late 4 for half a buck

1-2-3-5-6
6-7
4-6-8
2-7-8-9-12

$75

[declansharbor]

Early pick 4 for .50

6
4,8,10,12
3,6
3,6,8,10,11

$20 total....

[herkhorse]

race 3 pic 3

2-4-8-11-12/3-5-6-7/6-8-10

[Rudeboyelvis]

7th Race
NO CHANGES

8th Race
As of 11:25 a.m.:
#5--Winsome Ways--SCRATCH

Previously announced:
#3--Little B Rosson--SCRATCH

9th Race
#8--Indescribable--Blinkers OFF

10th Race
#1--Brazilionaire--SCRATCH
#10--Rewiring--SCRATCH

[philcski]

Track is lightning today. $40k MCL's post the first sub-:21 first quarter I've ever seen at Keeneland.

[favoritetrick]

Steve, don't overlook Woodford Manhattan in the last race today. Very similar pattern as Big Top, Zito's easy winner in the 7th on Wednesday, and note that he is coming out of the same race as Big Top (who finished behind him). Zito doesn't participate much anymore here, but when he does, look out. Nice middle move in his last with a bullet work in tow. Worth every bit the 15-1 on the ML, IMO.

Good luck! Rich in Lex

[jms62]

R4 P3

2,6,9,12/6,10,11/1,2,4 = 36

[jms62]

Originally Posted by jms62

R4 P3

2,6,9,12/6,10,11/1,2,4 = 36

Did I say it yet today ? **** Keenland

[sdjcom]

minus -2867 (2009)

7) .50 pk 4 7/26/247/47 bet $6

$2 ex pw 23/17 $5 w 3 $2 w 6 bet $15


9) $2 ex 24/68 $5 w 4 $2 w 7 .50 sup box 24678 bet $27



total $48 lost $48

[herkhorse]

pic 6

6-8-10/2-4/2-3/2/2-5-8/7-9

late 4

1-2-3-6-7/2-6/2-5-7-8/2-7-9-12

[gales0678]

Originally Posted by favoritetrick

Steve, don't overlook Woodford Manhattan in the last race today. Very similar pattern as Big Top, Zito's easy winner in the 7th on Wednesday, and note that he is coming out of the same race as Big Top (who finished behind him). Zito doesn't participate much anymore here, but when he does, look out. Nice middle move in his last with a bullet work in tow. Worth every bit the 15-1 on the ML, IMO.

Good luck! Rich in Lex

Rich - i have to agree with you , i just got a push on this horse , if you single him in the late p4 you can go deep in the other races and maybe catch a monster

[sdjcom]

1 race at aqu

7) $2 ex 48/67 $5w 4 $2 w 3 .50 sup box 34678 bet $27 win 7.50 lost 67 today minus -2934

[herkhorse]

Originally Posted by herkhorse

race 3 pic 3

2-4-8-11-12/3-5-6-7/6-8-10

12-3-6 274.40 +214.40

That just about covers my pic 6 and late 4 tickets