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#1
02-28-2009, 05:43 AM
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2/28: AQU & GP P4's; Magna 5; 3yo Stakes
Santa Anita P6 carryovers put a nice dent in the wallet Wednesday and Thursday as just two players were able to claim the $930,000 reward. Saturday's action won't be producing numbers like that, but the Guaranteed Aqueduct P4 and especially the Magna 5 are very difficult sequences that look capable of generating generous, if not life-changing, returns.
The Fountain of Youth will create a buzz horse or two for the Florida and Kentucky Derby Trails, but remember that it's still just a late-in-the-game one turn mile. As such, a heretofore confirmed sprint type like Taqarub, Quality Road or even Notonthesamepage (a failure in his previous 2-turn try), can exit the FOY a winner and continue to be an utter unknown quantity for the serious route running that lies ahead. The longer you follow Triple Crown season racing, the more difficult it is getting to decipher the clues of who is rose blanket timber... AQUEDUCT 6th: MSW, 3+, 6f ($250k Guaranteed P4, P3, DD, Super) As we learned during the Cali Carry Chase this week, P4 players likely need to spread as far as you can afford here with a confusing jumble of heavily-raced and unraced maidens.. Most Likely: #7 Hot to Trot 7-2 9th Best Value: #3 Driven by Saarland 8-1 5th Next Best: #9 Manchild 9-2 2nd Super Add: #8 No Questions 6-1 WON 7th: NYB ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m-70y (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #10 Future Prospect 6-1 9th Best Value: #7 Conquer the Fear 6-1 2nd Next Best: #2 Buy a Personality 5-2 4th Super Add: #9 Gargantua 15-1 6th 8th: 54th Stymie H., 3+, 9f (DD, Super) Most Likely: #2 Researcher 3-1 5th Next Best: #7 Barrier Reef 5-2 WON Best Value: #6 True Resurgence 5-1 3rd Super Add: #5 Manteca 8-1 4th 9th: CLM/N1Y, 4+, 6f (Super) Most Likely: #4 Double or Nothing 9-5 WON Next Best: #6 Yelt 7-2 9th Best Value: #3 Hedge Fund 6-1 3rd Super Add: #11 SCR <$75 P4 Play: 6: 2-3-7-8-9 7: 1-2-7-9-10 8: 2 9: 3-4-6 5x5x1x3 = $75 GULFSTREAM 7th: OC/N$Y, 3+, 7f (.50 P4, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #6 Motovoto 5-2 3rd Best Value: #4 Freedom Bay 6-1 4th Next Best: #3 Pictural 5-1 WON 8th: 43rd Canadian Turf (Gr. III), 4+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #7 Vanquisher 5-1 4th Best Value: #9 Twilight Meteor 12-1 WON Next Best: #8 Just as Well 3-1 7th Super Add: #1 Rogue Victory 12-1 6th 9th: 63rd Fountain of Youth (Gr. II), 3yo, 1m (DD, Super) Most Likely: #3 Notonthesamepage 4-1 7th Best Value: #2 Theregoesjojo 15-1 2nd Next Best: #9 Capt. Candyman Can 5-1 5th Super Add: #11 Quality Road 8-1 WON 10th: MSW, 3yo, 1m-T (Super) Most Likely: #9 Seeking the Sluice 6-1 3rd Best Value: #3 Virsito 8-1 7th Next Best: #7 Cardiologist 7-2 12th Super Add: #2 Misty Oak 6-1 9th $100/$50 P5 Plays: 7: 6 (4) 8: 1-7-8-9-11 9: 2-3-9-11-12 10: 2-3-7-9 2x5x5x4 = 200 x .50 = $100 1x5x5x4 = 100 x .50 = $50 MAGNA 5 A.) LRL 9th: CLM, 3yo, 7f (Super) Most Likely: #2e Tullock entry 8-5 WON Best Value: #9 Cradle of Peace 6-1 5th Next Best: #5 Home Skillet 10-1 4th Super Add: #7 Orchestrated 6-1 3rd B.) SA 4th: CLM, 4+, 6f (P3, DD) Stunningly well-matched group of veteran $40k claimers, but there may not be a single person at Arcadia that isn't rooting for the tragic Ortega Family's #5 Return of the King.. Most Likely: #5 Return of the King 3-1 2nd Best Value: #3 Steady Demand 5-1 5th Next Best: #1e Carava entry 4-1 WON Exotics Use: #7 SCR C.) 63rd Fountain of Youth (Gr. II), 3yo, 1m (DD, Super) Most Likely: #3 Notonthesamepage 4-1 7th Best Value: #2 Theregoesjojo 15-1 2nd Next Best: #9 Capt. Candyman Can 5-1 5th Super Add: #11 Quality Road 8-1 WON D.) GG 4th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 6f (P3, DD) Most Likely: #6 Mim's Man 9-5 2nd Best Value: #5 Pleasure Grounds 6-1 5th Next Best: #1 Game of Luck 5-2 3rd Exotics Use: #3 Castle Dermot 7-2 WON E.) SA 5th: CLM, F&M-4+, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #8 Tough Apples 4-1 3rd Best Value: #3 Powerofvoodoo 8-1 5th Next Best: #1 Bootleg Annie 3-1 WON Super Add: #2 Wondrous Event 7-2 6th $300-$150-$75 Magna 5 Plays: A: 2 (9) B: 1-3-5 C: 2-3-9-11-12 D: 1-3-4-5-6 E: 8 (3) 2x3x5x5x2 = $300 1/2x3x5x5x1 = $150 1x3x5x5x1 = $75 3 YEAR OLD STAKES AROUND THE COUNTRY LAUREL PARK 8th: 15th Miracle Wood, 3yo, 7f (DD) Most Likely: #2 Rock On Justin 3-1 WON Best Value: #5 Lucky Real Lucky 5-1 7th Next Best: #6 In the Juice 5-2 5th TURFWAY PARK 11th: 27th Battaglia Memorial, 3yo, 8.5f (DD, Super) Most Likely: #8 Parade Clown 9-5 2nd Best Value: #2 Stratos 5-1 5th Next Best: #4 Proceed Bee 4-1 WON Super Add: #6 Shanes Gold 8-1 4th OAKLAWN PARK 9th: 69th Mountain Valley, 3yo, 6f (DD, Super) Most Likely: #5 Dance Caller 5-2 4th Next Best: #3 Big Push 4-1 7th Best Value: #4 N.Y. Wise Guy 12-1 DNF Super Add: #7 Lyin' Heart 9-2 3rd SUNLAND PARK 11th: 9th Borderland Derby, 3yo, 8.5f (DD, Super) Most Likely: #3 Mine That Bird 4-1 2nd Next Best: #5 Scorewithcater 3-1 WON Best Value: #9 SCR Super Add: #8 Dumar 5-1 5th GOLDEN GATE FIELDS 8th: King Glorious H., 3yo, 6f (DD) Most Likely: #5 Ultra Blend 7-2 3rd Next Best: #1 Mr. Monkey Jones 2-1 2nd Best Value: #2 Free Action 12-1 6th SANTA ANITA 8th: 9th Sham (Gr. II), 3yo, 9f (DD, Super) Most Likely: #5 The Pampelmousse 9-5 WON Best Value: #11 Unbridled Roman 12-1 5th Next Best: #12 Take the Points 3-1 2nd Super Add: #3 Tiz True 30-1 9th Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 03-02-2009 at 01:07 PM. 
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#3
02-28-2009, 08:50 AM
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Clowns scare me.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#4
02-28-2009, 09:01 AM
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It is obviously a tough race, and I realize that you have to exclude somebody to make it a playable wager, but I was very impressed with his effort in the Holy Bull. I also like that he is cutting back and figures to be just off the pace, while most of the other contenders are stretching out.
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#6
02-28-2009, 09:35 AM
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What are you supposed to do? Go 8x10x11x10? You like Beethoven. Great. He undoubtedly can win. Despite John Ward.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#8
02-28-2009, 09:57 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#9
02-28-2009, 10:00 AM
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#10
02-28-2009, 10:02 AM
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#11
02-28-2009, 10:04 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#12
02-28-2009, 10:23 AM
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AQU SCRATCHES/CHANGES:
1 4 Dr Silver Packet Early NO SUPERFECTA 7 End of an Era Early 5 5 Saratoga Lulaby Early NO SUPERFECTA 9 Counting House Early 6 4 Peytons Heart Early 6 We Get It Early 7 4 Hoist the Gala Early 9 1 Spiriton Early OTHER 6 1 Brook Dance RIDGELING 3 Driven by Saarland GELDING 7 10 Future Prospect BLINKERS ON
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#13
02-28-2009, 10:27 AM
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#14
02-28-2009, 10:29 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#15
02-28-2009, 10:32 AM
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Steve,
Does Passager have any chance in the Canadian Turf? Thinking of using him in the OTB contest.
__________________
"Change can be good, but constant change shows no direction" http://www.hickoryhillhoff.blogspot.com/
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#16
02-28-2009, 10:35 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#17
02-28-2009, 10:37 AM
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GULFSTREAM -- Saturday, February 28 -- EARLY CHG'S
Track: Fast Turf: Firm Rail: 36 Feet Race 3: Scratch #6 Race 4: Scratch #8 #10 First Time Lasix Race 5: Scratch #2 Race 6: #5 #11 Jockey Changes: #3 C H Marquez Jr. #10 Manuel Aguilar Race 7: Scratch #1 (POE) #5 #7 #9 Race 9: Scratch #4 #6 Race 10: Scratch #13 #14 #15 #16
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#18
02-28-2009, 10:42 AM
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__________________
"Change can be good, but constant change shows no direction" http://www.hickoryhillhoff.blogspot.com/
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#19
02-28-2009, 10:44 AM
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Magna 5 SCR/CHG'S
CHECK HERE FOR WEST COAST UPDATES: http://www.magna5.com/scratches.aspx Laurel 9 Track: Fast Weather: Low 40's, Mostly Cloudy and Breezy Scratches: #1a, #2 B Santa Anita 4 C Gulfstream 9 Track: Fast Weather: 80F, Partly Sunny Scratches: #4, #6 D Golden Gate 4 E Santa Anita 5
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#20
02-28-2009, 12:40 PM
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SANTA ANITA SCR'S
Race 1 #8 Comical Alibi Race 9 #9 Ventana, #4 Lifeline
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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