8/1: Saratoga (Day 9)

Kasept · #1 08-01-2008, 04:26 AM

Bit of a ho-hum afternoon at the Spa Thursday with the early Pick 4 running the streak to 3 straight though the skien was chalky again ($175.00). Plenty of winners identified Thursday and few exotic supporters, so it's good that I've been focused on the multi-race wagering... Realization also set Thursday while looking at Friday's races, that the week's cards have not been very inspiring from a quality standpoint. Hope that changes for the weekend, though Friday offers some interesting value-laden horses, and I hope you did well yesterday!

SARATOGA RACE COURSE

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: CLM/N3L, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #5 SEEING CLEARLY 6-1 2nd
Most Likely: #3 Panthera Tigre 5-2 WON
Next Best: #8 I'llthinkofsomethin 3-1
Super Add: #7 Whisper Alley 5-1

2nd: CLM, 3yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 And a Cherry Tree 5-2
Next Best: #7 Hope Street 4-1 WON
Best Value: #2 Unicorn Girl 8-1

3rd: NYB-MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 AFLEET AYA 1-1
Best Value: #1 SCR
Next Best: #7 Judiciary 5-1

4th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 SEASTATE 5-1
Best Value: #4 A Wild Minute 20-1
Next Best: #8 Beyond the Trees 5-2
Exotics Add: #1e Rice Entry 2-1 WON

5th: MDN CLM, 3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Royal Ridge 3-1
Best Value: #4 Arcaro 20-1
Next Best: #8 Halton 5-1 WON
Super Add: #9 Repenthouse 6-1

<$75 P4 Play:

2: 2-3-4-7
3: 3
4: 1-2-4-8
5: 4-5-8-9

CORE: 4x1x1x1 = 4 X $4 = $16
BACKUP: 4x1x4x4 = $56
TOTAL: $72

6th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #8 Final Refrain 12-1 WON
Most Likely: #4 Jiboom 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #1 Prianca 4-1 (Replaces SCR #7)
Super Add: #3 Queen Joanne 9-2

7th: CLM, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Holla Bend 5-2 WON
Best Value: #7 SCR
Next Best: #8 Clemens 4-1
Super Add: #6 Bang Bang Bang 6-1

8th: The Majestic Light, 3yo, 1m-IT (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #2 Halo Najib 10-1
Most Likely: #3 Golden Weekend 3-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Prussian 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #4 Russian Sage 15-1 3rd

9th: 17th Honorable Miss H. (Gr. II), F&M-3+, 6f (DD)

Most Likely: #1 Miss Macy Sue 3-1
Best Value: #6 Graeme Six 9-2
Next Best: #3 Zada Belle 5-2

10th: NYB-MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-T (Super)

Most Likely: #3 Sweet Slam 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #9 Fair Game 5-1
Next Best: #8 Here Comes Rita 7-2 WON
Super Add: #10 The Ag 4-1

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 4-6-8
8: 2-3
9: 1-3-5-6
10: 3-8-9

3x2x4x3 = $72

Good luck!
Steve

DogsUp · #2 08-01-2008, 11:21 AM

I like several long shots today. I never have given picks for a full card here so this will be my 1st time--yeah, no longer a virgin.

Race 1
#1 - Classic Love.

Race 2
#5 - Sunday Sarah.

Race 3
#5 - Cat Radio.

Race 4
#9 - Qualified to Kill

Race 5
#6 - D' Wildcard

Race 6
#4 - Jibboom

Race 7
#9 - Soony's The One

Race 8
#7 - Prussian

Race 9
#3 - Zada Bell

Race 10
#5 - Time To Win

I will have $10 to win on each of those horses - $100
$1 Pick 4's
3-4-5/3-4-5/8-9/5-6 - $36
2-4-9/7/1-3-4-5-6/1-3-4-6-10 - $75

Kasept · #3 08-01-2008, 11:22 AM

Modest changes again.. Selection changes reflected..

Good luck today to all...

Lava · #4 08-01-2008, 11:39 AM

GL to all who play today

Race 1 $5 Tri
1)5
2)3,7,8
3)1,3,4,7,8

$60

Race 1 $5 Pick 3
1)5
2)2,3,4,7
3)3,8

$40

Race 2 $2 Pick 4
2)3,4,7
3)3,8
4)1,2,8
5)5,8,9

$108 $2332

kgar311 · #5 08-01-2008, 11:53 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DogsUp

I like several long shots today. I never have given picks for a full card here so this will be my 1st time--yeah, no longer a virgin.

Race 1
#1 - Classic Love.

Race 2
#5 - Sunday Sarah.

Race 3
#5 - Cat Radio.

Race 4
#9 - Qualified to Kill

Race 5
#6 - D' Wildcard

Race 6
#4 - Jibboom

Race 7
#9 - Soony's The One

Race 8
#7 - Prussian

Race 9
#3 - Zada Bell

Race 10
#5 - Time To Win

I will have $10 to win on each of those horses - $100
$1 Pick 4's
3-4-5/3-4-5/8-9/5-6 - $36
2-4-9/7/1-3-4-5-6/1-3-4-6-10 - $75

If theres ever a couple of races to go against the favorites I believe its the 8th and 9th races. Both look very vunerable

DogsUp · #6 08-01-2008, 11:56 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kgar311

If theres ever a couple of races to go against the favorites I believe its the 8th and 9th races. Both look very vunerable

I can certainly understand that notion. And I agree to a point. I don't like either of those races. I would normally sit those races (8 and 9) out, but this might be the only time I get to wager on the full card.

Guess I am not alone on the 1 at Saratoga. Bet down to 7/2 from 8-1.

dalakhani · #7 08-01-2008, 11:57 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kgar311

If theres ever a couple of races to go against the favorites I believe its the 8th and 9th races. Both look very vunerable

If the turf plays like it has been (retribution arrgghh), then Prussian is certianly a play against.

kgar311 · #8 08-01-2008, 12:06 PM

What kills me about Zada Belle is that they normally rip the good horses away from Hardy and give them to the sheik. But since when does a horse that walks over optional 35k claimers deserve to be taken away and thrown into a stake race as the morning line favorite? Especially when she got trounced in her only graded race.

mclem0822 · #9 08-01-2008, 12:09 PM

Man I was with you on Seeing Clearly, we needed one more jump! Good second.

Sightseek · #10 08-01-2008, 12:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kgar311

What kills me about Zada Belle is that they normally rip the good horses away from Hardy and give them to the sheik. But since when does a horse that walks over optional 35k claimers deserve to be taken away and thrown into a stake race as the morning line favorite? Especially when she got trounced in her only graded race.

I don't like Zada Belle and am leaning towards Graeme Six & Miss Macy, but wasn't that race over Keeneland's poly?

kgar311 · #11 08-01-2008, 12:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sightseek

I don't like Zada Belle and am leaning towards Graeme Six & Miss Macy, but wasn't that race over Keeneland's poly?

I love Graeme Six in the race. Handle Miss Macy Sue in her last even though Sue was off a little slow. But I like the stalking position she'll be in racing from the outside.

kgar311 · #12 08-01-2008, 12:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kgar311

I don't like Zada Belle and am leaning towards Graeme Six & Miss Macy, but wasn't that race over Keeneland's poly?

You talking about Keenlands Poly for the Belle race. It was but she also won over SA poly in an opt. claimer.

ateamstupid · #13 08-01-2008, 12:18 PM

I wouldn't be totally surprised to see Any Limit steal it. Hoping Zada Belle keeps her honest up front..

Storm Cadet · #14 08-01-2008, 12:30 PM

EQUIBASE MISTAKE: Race 2

They list the 3 Casino Kay as 6 dirt races and 2 wins and a third where in fact those were all on the SYNTHETIC at HOL and SA...can we get correct info PLEASE?

also the 7 is listed as 5 dirt races where he only ran 3 dirt races...do they consider the plastic stuff dirt? They also list all weather so why list them as dirt? :evil:

herkhorse · #15 08-01-2008, 12:31 PM

race 2 pic 4: 7/3-7/2-4-8-9/2-5-8

kgar311 · #16 08-01-2008, 12:51 PM

hmmmmmmmm 1/9 on a 35k maiden claimer. Looks the best but who would risk that much money on this type of race. Im seeing flashbacks of Monmouth last Sat. in that stellar 3 horse field they had. Horse went off 1/9 and got blown by in the stretch. Nothing makes me feel better then seeing them go down and watching the look on all the chalk betters faces after they lost their money on them.

jms62 · #17 08-01-2008, 01:10 PM

RULE EFFING 1... Never single an odds on favorite in a Maiden claimer...
Rule 2 See Rule 1..

That hurts

kgar311 · #18 08-01-2008, 01:13 PM

hmmmmmmmmmm

hockey2315 · #19 08-01-2008, 01:24 PM

Malek's horse is 4-1 right now. . . hmmm.

kgar311 · #20 08-01-2008, 01:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698

Since I'm at work and didn't see the race, I take it the 3 lost the 3rd. How close was it?

Im a work also, someone give us the stretch call