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  #1  
Old 06-25-2008, 05:31 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
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Default 6/25: BEL ($61k); HOL ($172k) Carries

Reviewing Saturday, had mediocre day with some isolated success like Optimistic Steve, but found the going was largely frustrating in the P6 tries at Belmont, Hollywood and '60-6'. The 60-6 is going to be a very tough wager if we have to negotiate 10-12 horse fields in all 6 of the races at all 4 of the tracks with 3-4 of the events coming on the lawn. A $65,000 carryover starts Saturday's pool.

Today offers 2 exceedingly tricky but playable P6 opportunities AGAIN at Belmont and Hollywood... Let's dig in!


BELMONT PARK

POST SCRATCHES!

4th: NYB-MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P6, P3)

SCR: #5 Alexandra's Halo...

Heavy fave #10 Red Seven (8-5) gave up 4L+ lead late in debut and must negotiate wide post for this dash. Tough to concede to as 'single' with several well-bred and seemingly well-intended baby girls posted from inside and even Badgett's Artax bay (#9 Beboblues Art, 12-1) not impossible after bad break bow. Inclined to spread here to survive..

Most Likely: #10 Red Seven 8-5 7th
Best Value: #3 Dancing Daisy 12-1 8th
Next Best: #9 Beboblues Art 12-1 6th
Super/Exotics: #4 Sneakin Up 12-1 2nd


5th: NYB-MSW, 3+, 6f-IT (G/S, P3, Super)

Will go against Rice (#1-POE), who is no better than several here..

Most Likely: #9 Pano's Love 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #8 Pure Tantrum 6-1 9th
Next Best: #3 Senor Musician 4-1 WON
Super/Exotics: #7 Challenger's Song 12-1 3rd

$1 Trifecta (3-9-7) $128.75
$1 Exacta (3-9) Paid $16.90


.10 SUPER: Key 9 first/second with 1-2-3-6-7-8 (1x6x5x4 = 120 x 2 = 240 x .10 = $24.00) $0.10 Super (3-9-7-2) $46.70


6th: OC/N3X, 4+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 SCR
Next Best: #1 SCR (POE) Frankel entry 3-1
Multis Consider: #4 No Reply 5-2


7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f-IT (P3, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Steamroller 5-2
Best Value: #6 Catch Up Chris 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Austin Laviva Baby 3-1 WON
Super/Exotics: #2 Unbridled Refrain 7-2 4th

$2 Exacta (9-6) Paid $28.50


8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #1 SCR (POE) KMc entry 3-1
Next Best: #2e Frankel entry 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 SCR
Super/Exotics: #3 Prince Rahy 4-1 WON


9th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6f (Super)

Most Likely: #9 Birds Away 5-2 7th
Next Best: #8 SCR
Best Value: #1 Count This Senora 12-1 WON
Super/Exotics: #5 Only a Vision 5-1 3rd


<$300 P6 Play:

4: 3-9-10
5: 8-9
6: 1-2-4-6
7: 3-6-9
8: 2-3
9: 9

3x2x4x3x2x1 = 144 x $2 = $288


<$50 P4 Play:

6: 1-2-4-6
7: 2-3-6-9
8: 1-2-3
9: 9

4x4x3x1 = $48



HOLLYWOOD PARK

POST SCRATCHES!

3rd: ALW/N$Y, F&M-3+, 8.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Look Deep 4-1 5th
Most Likely: #3 Down 5-2 4th
Next Best: #5 Vanguarda 3-1 3rd


4th: MDN CLM, 2yo, 5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #12 SCR
Best Value: #2 Red Jasper 5-1 6th
Next Best: #11 Delaware Doe 5-1 10th
Super/Exotics: #1 C.C.'s Secret 7-2 5th


5th: CLM, 4+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Ocean Grand 5-2 7th
Best Value: #7 El Don 4-1 4th
Next Best: #1 One On the House 7-2 WON


6th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 WILD McDREAMIE 7-2 7th
Next Best: #5 The Unclean Spirit 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #6 Wellnessfast 4-1 8th


7th: OC/N1X, 3yo, 1m-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Afleet Ruler 7-5 2nd
Best Value: #2 Crimson Star 20-1 WON
Next Best: #3 Guts 6-1 4th
Super/Exotics: #4 Raingear 10-1 5th


8th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5f (Super High 5)

Most Likely: #7 Candilejas 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #9 SCR
Next Best: #1 Lippy Rules 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #2 Winningdancer 20-1 9th
High 5 Play: #10 Brewha Baby 4-1 4th


<$250 P6 Play:

3: 3-5-6
4: 1-2-11
5: 1-6-7
6: 1-5
7: 8
8: 1-7

3x3x3x2x1x2 = 108 x $2 = $216


<$75 P4 Play:

5: 1-6-7
6: 1-5
7: 2-3-8
8: 1-2-7-10

3x2x3x4 = $72


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 06-26-2008 at 04:36 AM.
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  #2  
Old 06-25-2008, 10:20 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
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Default Major Belmont SCR/CHG's...

Many big horses out... SCR all MTO's... Coa off mounts...

SCR:

1: 9 (MTO)

2: 2 (Divorce Court)

4: 5 (Alexandra's Halo)

5: 1a-10-11-12 (all MTO's)

6: 3 (Frost Giant)-1 (Rathor)

7: 4 (Unbridled Wish) 10 (MTO)

8: 1 (Leo)-5 (Hotstuf)-6 (Extra Zip) 3X-8-9 (all MTO)

9: 7 (Mesa Girl)-8 (Skipping Class)


Coa subs:

4th-Kent D.
7th-R. Maragh
8th-JJ Castellano
9th-Luca Panici
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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  #3  
Old 06-25-2008, 10:41 AM
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philcski philcski is offline
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Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
Many big horses out... SCR all MTO's... Coa off mounts...

SCR:

1: 9 (MTO)

2: 2 (Divorce Court)

4: 5 (Alexandra's Halo)

5: 1a-10-11-12 (all MTO's)

6: 3 (Frost Giant)-1 (Rathor)

7: 4 (Unbridled Wish) 10 (MTO)

8: 1 (Leo)-5 (Hotstuf)-6 (Extra Zip) 3X-8-9 (all MTO)

9: 7 (Mesa Girl)-8 (Skipping Class)


Coa subs:

4th-Kent D.
7th-R. Maragh
8th-JJ Castellano
9th-Luca Panici
Not surprised Rathor was scratched. Was a little shocked he was in for the tag, he isn't graded stakes material but unless he has nothing left he fits in overnight stakes.
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Old 06-25-2008, 11:02 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by philcski
Not surprised Rathor was scratched. Was a little shocked he was in for the tag, he isn't graded stakes material but unless he has nothing left he fits in overnight stakes.
Something must have happened with Frost Giant though as this was to be a prep for him for a start in the Suburban..
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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  #5  
Old 06-25-2008, 11:03 AM
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ateamstupid ateamstupid is offline
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Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
Something must have happened with Frost Giant though as this was to be a prep for him for a start in the Suburban..
Prepping for a race three days out is pretty ballsy..

Don't shoot, I know you were talking Whitney.

EDIT: STEVE IS RIGHT, I'M WRONG. BYK SMART, ME STUPID.

Last edited by ateamstupid : 06-25-2008 at 01:15 PM.
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  #6  
Old 06-25-2008, 11:07 AM
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philcski philcski is offline
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Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ateamstupid
Prepping for a race three days out is pretty ballsy..

Don't shoot, I know you were talking Whitney.
It is Dutrow, who knows!
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  #7  
Old 06-25-2008, 11:08 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
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Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ateamstupid
Prepping for a race three days out is pretty ballsy..

Don't shoot, I know you were talking Whitney.
No. They were actually looking at a Suburban start. At least per Dave Grenig they were... Dutrow on a three day turnaround is not that outrageous. They may be going Suburban without today's start.

It's in the Belmont track notes in DRF...
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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  #8  
Old 06-25-2008, 11:06 AM
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philcski philcski is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
Something must have happened with Frost Giant though as this was to be a prep for him for a start in the Suburban..
Dutrow trying to avoid another Clenbuterol overage with his newfound "hay oats & water" owners?

Seems to me this could be a fairly formful sequence, at first glance it looked pretty tough but now I think even a narrow ticket could get home...
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