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  #1  
Old 05-24-2008, 07:17 AM
GPK GPK is offline
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Default Watching race replays

Am I the only one that struggles with this at times? How many times will you watch the same race? I find it difficult to closely watch more than 1 or 2 horses at a time. Sometimes I have to watch the replay multiple times and just concentrate on only one horse at a time to get a full understanding of their respective trip. Anyone else have the same problem? Any advice on how to better watch replays?
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Old 05-24-2008, 07:20 AM
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I hear you. I wish you could rewind and slow motion but with the internet that's virtually impossible. If I watch a race even for one horse I have to see it 2-3 times, let alone multipe horses.

I guess this is an Andy question.

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Old 05-24-2008, 07:35 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TheSpyder
I hear you. I wish you could rewind and slow motion but with the internet that's virtually impossible. If I watch a race even for one horse I have to see it 2-3 times, let alone multipe horses.

I guess this is an Andy question.

Spyder
Wasn't there a thread on this a while ago where Andy (or someone) talked about how to watch replays?
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Old 05-24-2008, 07:35 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GPK
Am I the only one that struggles with this at times? How many times will you watch the same race? I find it difficult to closely watch more than 1 or 2 horses at a time. Sometimes I have to watch the replay multiple times and just concentrate on only one horse at a time to get a full understanding of their respective trip. Anyone else have the same problem? Any advice on how to better watch replays?
I try to tape some of the replay shows with my tivo. It is so easy to rewind and fast foward, plus it even has a slow mo feature. It like it so much better than the computer, the only downside is that you only get the replay that they show on the tv. On the computer sometimes you can get the head on's.
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Old 05-24-2008, 07:36 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GBBob
Wasn't there a thread on this a while ago where Andy (or someone) talked about how to watch replays?

There may have been Bob...but I missed it it that was the case.
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Old 05-24-2008, 07:37 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GPK
There may have been Bob...but I missed it it that was the case.
I don't remember enough, but it was interesting...search time

Charles Hatton Reading Room..6/20/06
Don't know how to cut and paste threads, but it's there
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Old 05-24-2008, 07:40 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GBBob
I don't remember enough, but it was interesting...search time

Charles Hatton Reading Room..6/20/06
Don't know how to cut and paste threads, but it's there

Thanks for that. Hard for me to keep up now a days. Some of us Republicans still working for a living
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Old 05-24-2008, 07:43 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GPK
Thanks for that. Hard for me to keep up now a days. Some of us Republicans still working for a living
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Old 05-24-2008, 07:50 AM
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They are somewhat less important than people think. The reason for that is because people pretty much see the same stuff in them, and bet accordingly. Take, for instance, this Comoros horse in the 7th race at HWD on Friday night. What do you see in his 2 previous races? You see him getting beat without an excuse, right? So, unless you're the only one who gets a little note on your video that says " attention Comoros will be officially randomly juiced next time out by Sadler, " then I really don't see how they help you in that particular race coming up. KEV, if you try to cap all these races, then you will get beat, because they aren't gunna follow common sense in some races. These juice trainers know when a horse will be ignored by the public. They know that, and they juice then. 3 times now in the last week, Sadler has done this with horses that he knows appear to be a little dull, or tailing off. You won't pick that up on a video. This is about trainers pulling switches when they know they can get paid. Do me a favor. The next time you say to yourself, o.k. that horse isn't firing. "I won't use him. He is a little dull."STOP!!! Ask yourself .." Is this a known cheater. One who has been suspended etc. in the past. If so, then it's very possible they will try a switch on you......Mitchell(On the Acorn etc. )...Sadler (Cormoros etc. etc. etc. OMG can't keep track ....I mean him and Benavidez are pretty much used car salesmen.) Please, people lets not get into a particular horse, (and whether it was "sooooo easy to get"... even though it just easily got beat twice by these same exact f'n horses.)
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Old 05-24-2008, 07:59 AM
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SCUDS's post wins the Non-Sequitor Post of the Year award hands down.

As for the original question, what's wrong with having to watch the race over again....even a few times?
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Old 05-24-2008, 08:16 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
SCUDS's post wins the Non-Sequitor Post of the Year award hands down.

As for the original question, what's wrong with having to watch the race over again....even a few times?

Nothing wrong with it at all...it is clearly what works best for me. I was just curious if others had the ability to concentrate on more than 1 or 2 horses at the same time while watching.
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Old 05-24-2008, 08:17 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
SCUDS's post wins the Non-Sequitor Post of the Year award hands down.

As for the original question, what's wrong with having to watch the race over again....even a few times?

come on..it's early out there..
or late, depending on how your night went I guess
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Old 05-24-2008, 08:20 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GPK
Nothing wrong with it at all...it is clearly what works best for me. I was just curious if others had the ability to concentrate on more than 1 or 2 horses at the same time while watching.

It depends if you are trying to concentrate on specific horses or not. You can get a lot of notes in two or three watchings of the pan and a couple viewings of the head on but if you are trying to concentrate on specific horses it's hard to watch more than two or maybe three. It also depends how much actually happens in the race.
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Old 05-24-2008, 08:25 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GBBob
come on..it's early out there..
or late, depending on how your night went I guess

True, but the " why bother watching replays because some juiced horse will beat you anyway " is pretty tough to beat....at least in a supposed serious conversation.

Of course, when you factor in that SCUDS believes that people see the same stuff I guess a new wrinkle is thrown in. I can pretty much guarantee you that the Fat Man sees things differently, and very intelligently, than most see races. I know I see trips very differently than most. I also know that the more you watch replays carefully the more you will understand what's important and what isn't.

To me, most of it is race shape and how certain events affect different horses' chances in the race.
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Old 05-24-2008, 08:25 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
SCUDS's post wins the Non-Sequitor Post of the Year award hands down.

As for the original question, what's wrong with having to watch the race over again....even a few times?
What should I say? Yeah, you got to watch it multiple times. Work hard to see who is the best coming out of that race. If there are 3 horses racing today that ran in the same race together,then watch them each separately(probably one at a time if they didn't race together a lot in the race.) I could do that, and he'll work hard and still get beat. That's what I am telling him. The juice trainers know you're gunna ignore certain horses. That video will push you even further away from those horses. Some races the video will help you. Some races it will absolutely kill you. Pick atleast one race in a series you are playing, and go against what common sense tells you. Juice trainers will use common sense against you. You would too (if you were a cheat.) Now, all day long they will say on here that this isn't so. All races can be capped etc. if you work hard etc. It's bullshit. Some races can be capped, and others can't. They are giving out money..o.k.? When they think you don't care about a horse, that's exactly when they do care about a horse.
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Old 05-24-2008, 08:28 AM
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THE HATTON READING ROOM 'Help Me Watch Races" THREAD:
http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=1020
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Old 05-24-2008, 08:29 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
It depends if you are trying to concentrate on specific horses or not. You can get a lot of notes in two or three watchings of the pan and a couple viewings of the head on but if you are trying to concentrate on specific horses it's hard to watch more than two or maybe three. It also depends how much actually happens in the race.

It varies quite a bit. There are times when I am just concerned about maybe 2 or 3 horses in a race. But there are times (mostly turf races) where I have no vested interest in the actual outcome of the race, but I am watching the replay in hopes of spotting troubled trips, etc...for future plays. In cases such as that, I will rewatch the race over and over, concentrating on only one particular horse per time.
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Old 05-24-2008, 08:32 AM
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You just don't get it SCUDS.

The more information you have, and the better you learn to accurately understand the game, the better are your chances of making money.

The reality is that most of the work a handicapper does will lead to absolutely nothing. However, in order to find the hidden gems you have to do as comprehensive a job as possible. If I work 4 hours on a card, in all likelihood 3 hours and 50 minutes of it will be a relative waste of time, or worse....lead me to losing, but somewhere in that ten minutes there just might be something that leads me to a big score. You can't get to that ten minutes of work unless you do all the work.

Nobody will accurately tell you that watching replays guarantees winning. But, over time it will seriously help your play if you have an objective view and an open mind.

To each his own, but to me you spend an awful lot of time fighting the demons of extraneous events.
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Old 05-24-2008, 08:49 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
You just don't get it SCUDS.

The more information you have, and the better you learn to accurately understand the game, the better are your chances of making money.

The reality is that most of the work a handicapper does will lead to absolutely nothing. However, in order to find the hidden gems you have to do as comprehensive a job as possible. If I work 4 hours on a card, in all likelihood 3 hours and 50 minutes of it will be a relative waste of time, or worse....lead me to losing, but somewhere in that ten minutes there just might be something that leads me to a big score. You can't get to that ten minutes of work unless you do all the work.

Nobody will accurately tell you that watching replays guarantees winning. But, over time it will seriously help your play if you have an objective view and an open mind.

To each his own, but to me you spend an awful lot of time fighting the demons of extraneous events.
It will only get you so far. You can work all you want, but in a series of races, they are gunna probably wake up one dull horse. If you went deep, you might survive it. The best advice I can give anyone is to make a list of known cheat artists. If you're playing horizontally, then the race you go deepest in should be when you see a strong favorite in a race with cheat trainers.If you're playing vertically, then use the video. Make love to it. Eat up the figures etc. I'm talking about a series of races(horizontal betting.) Now, I also am talking mainly about SO-CAL Racing. Which is where a lot of horizontal betting is popular. Maybe in New York you don't have the infestation we have out here.
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Old 05-24-2008, 08:51 AM
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Cheating is a problem, no doubt, but leaning on it like a crutch to explain away your handicapping inefficiencies is a bigger crime. It's always easy to blame someone other than yourself for losing. However, doing so will not stem the tide of defeat.
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