4/5-6 Weekend Beyers

[Mike]

I see the DRF has listed Beyers on its' Leaderboard for several races yesterday, including J Be K's win(100 Beyer), but I have to think they have not completed their tallies as, certainly(?), some of these other horses must have crossed the 100 threshold, not to mention a 105

[Kasept]

Oaklawn H: Tiago/Heatseeker OP 05 Apr 1 1/8M 110

Carter H: Bustin Stones AQU 05 Apr 7F 109

Excelsior: Temporary Saint AQU 05 Apr 1 1/8M 105

Apple Blossom: Zenyatta (f) OP 05 Apr 1 1/16M 104

Bay Shore: J Be K AQU 05 Apr 7F 100


Here are the winning Beyer Speed Figures for last week's stakes races:

*Oaklawn (OP): Tiago (J. Shirreffs/M. Smith) - 110

*Carter (Aqu): Bustin Stones (B. Levine/E. Prado) - 109
*Excelsior (Aqu): Temporary Saint (B. Levine/C. Lopez) - 105
*Apple Blossom (OP): Zenyatta (J. Shirreffs/M. Smith) - 104
*Arcadia (SA): Daytona - Ire (D. Hendricks/A. Solis) - 103
*Illinois Derby (Haw): Recapture the Glory (L. Roussel III/E. Baird) - 102
*Bay Shore (Aqu): J Be K (S. Asmussen/G. Gomez) - 100
*Bachelor (OP): Lantana Mob (S. Asmussen/L. Quinonez) - 100

*Fantasy (OP): Eight Belles (J. Jones/R. Dominguez) - 99
*Lafayette (KEE): Keep Laughing (K. McLaughlin/J. Velazquez) - 99
*Potrero Grande (SA): Greg's Gold (D. Hofmans/V. Espinoza) - 97
*Pan American (GP): Presious Passion (M. Hartmann/A. Smith) - 97
*Primonetta (Lrl): Hungarian Boatbaby (A. Dutrow/A. Castellano Jr.) - 96
*Sensational Star (SA): Lucky J. H. (C. Gaines/V. Espinoza) - 96
*California Turf Sprint Championship (BM): Bonfante (R. McAnally/F. Alvarado) - 95
*Santa Anita Derby (SA): Colonel John (E. Harty/C. Nakatani) - 95
*Sam Houston Turf Sprint Cup (Hou): Smitty's Sunshine (M. Nicks/E. Martin Jr.) - 95
*Hilton Garden Inn Sprint (Tam): Blue Pepsi Lodge (K. Ziadie/W. Henry) - 94
*OBS Sophomore (Tam): Repenting (J. Ness/D. Centeno) - 94
*Las Flores (SA): Tiz Elemental (C. Gaines/V. Espinoza) - 94
*James M. Levitch Illinois Owners (Haw): Distorted Groom (O. Rainwater/J. Lantz) - 93
*Cherokee River Stables Turf Classic (Tam): Soldier's Dancer (D. Vivian/D. Centeno) - 93
*Wood Memorial (Aqu): Tale of Ekati (B. Tagg/E. Prado) - 93
*Valentine Dancer (SA): Tiz a Blend (C. Gaines/V. Espinoza) - 93
*John B. Connally Turf (Hou): Scrappy Roo (J. Locke/P. Nolan) - 91
*Meafara (Haw): La Wildcat (B. Flint/T. Thornton) - 90
*Wildcat (TuP): Mighty Bodacious (D. Vannorsdel/R. Eikleberry) - 90

*Ashland (Kee): Little Belle (K. McLaughlin/R. Maragh) - 88
*L and D Farm Turf Distaff (Tam): Bayou's Lassie (C. Clement/D. Centeno) - 87
*Central Bank Transylvania (Kee): Boss Lafitte (T. Amoss/R. Albarado) - 86
*Jersey Lilly (Hou): Barbette (D. Pish/Q. Hamilton) - 85
*Dayton Andrews Dodge Sophomore Turf (Tam): El Sultry Sun (J. Kimmel/J. Velez Jr.) - 84
*Providencia (SA): Missit - Ire (B. Cecil/V. Espinoza) - 84
*Stonehedge Farm South Soph. Fillies (Tam): Moonshine Alice (G. Bennett/A. Ramgeet) -80

That's a strong number from Zenyatta.

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by Coach Pants

That's a strong number from Zenyatta.

Have to applaud Shirreffs, who I will get on ATR tomorrow, for this stunning sweep at Hot Springs.. Hollendorfer too gets a nod for confidence taking Heatseeker out of his comfort zone (grass/poly) and getting a run like that from him.

More and more, the tracks we're all going to look to for REAL horses will be Oaklawn, Fair Grounds, Churchill, NY and FL... Yesterday demonstrated the disparity between authentic thoroughbred racing and the sideshow of the synthetic tracks where results are random and generally meaningless.

[freddymo]

More and more, the tracks we're all going to look to for REAL horses will be Oaklawn, Fair Grounds, Churchill, NY and FL... Yesterday demonstrated the disparity between authentic thoroughbred racing and the sideshow of the synthetic tracks where results are random and generally meaningless.[/quote]
Results are never meaningless...They are what they are...It's up to each person to interprete the results and draw conclusions from them. Suggesting that Absolute Cindy's win at Turfway against the boys is meaningless isn't ok. She had a dream set up but she still beat colts in Feb/March which is quite the accomplshment for any filly.

[the_fat_man]

Originally Posted by Kasept

More and more, the tracks we're all going to look to for REAL horses will be Oaklawn, Fair Grounds, Churchill, NY and FL... Yesterday demonstrated the disparity between authentic thoroughbred racing and the sideshow of the synthetic tracks where results are random and generally meaningless.

While I agree with you comments as they apply to FG and CD, which are LEGITIMATELY FAIR tracks, I certainly don't think the same applies, in general, to NY or FL racing. GP and TAM certainly don't play as fair as the above two tracks, and NY winter racing is a JOKE. And, betting closers, the little that I've seen, at OP is a quick path to the poor house.

By 'fair', I mean horses having an equal chance to win from off the pace.

I certainly disagree, and disagree strongly with your assessment of POLY. Of course, this is the standard take, and thus I'm in the minority. Horses having a competitive chance to win from behind does not imply that the results will be 'randon and generally meaningless'.

The fight on this forum (and others) AGAINST fair racing rivals that of the Aristotelians against the Copernicans. I realize it involves a conceptual shift and the present system won't allow for it.

Let's face it, having an advantage because you have the lead is something unique in racing in general. It only happens in thoroughbred DIRT races.

[philcski]

Originally Posted by the_fat_man

While I agree with you comments as they apply to FG and CD, which are LEGITIMATELY FAIR tracks, I certainly don't think the same applies, in general, to NY or FL racing. GP and TAM certainly don't play as fair as the above two tracks, and NY winter racing is a JOKE. And, betting closers, the little that I've seen, at OP is a quick path to the poor house.

By 'fair', I mean horses having an equal chance to win from off the pace.

I certainly disagree, and disagree strongly with your assessment of POLY. Of course, this is the standard take, and thus I'm in the minority. Horses having a competitive chance to win from behind does not imply that the results will be 'randon and generally meaningless'.

The fight on this forum (and others) AGAINST fair racing rivals that of the Aristotelians against the Copernicans. I realize it involves a conceptual shift and the present system won't allow for it.

Let's face it, having an advantage because you have the lead is something unique in racing in general. It only happens in thoroughbred DIRT races.

You have this thing against frontrunners which I don't understand. Having an advantage in the lead is NOT unique to thoroughbred dirt racing- how many humans win sprints when they break in the back of the pack? Or swimmers going 100 meters? Not many, and from an energy expenditure perspective a 6F horse race is akin to humans sprinting 100 meters. An additional benefit of running up front is you're guaranteed a clear path, which is not a hinderance in human sprint races as lanes are defined. A third benefit in cheaper/maiden races is the mentality of horses- they are, by nature, pack animals. Many of them don't get trained well enough to learn how to pass another one [this does not apply to top class or older horses].

While I don't disagree with your analysis of the Aqueduct inner, I don't understand why you continue to fight it. Betting closers and outside posts on the inner is a quick trip to the poor house- so why not embrace rather than fight?

[JJP]

Originally Posted by Kasept

Oaklawn H: Tiago/Heatseeker OP 05 Apr 1 1/8M 110

Carter H: Bustin Stones AQU 05 Apr 7F 109

Excelsior: Temporary Saint AQU 05 Apr 1 1/8M 105

Apple Blossom: Zenyatta (f) OP 05 Apr 1 1/16M 104

Bay Shore: J Be K AQU 05 Apr 7F 100



More to come...

Any figure for Recapturetheglory?

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by JJP

Any figure for Recapturetheglory?

102

Tale of Ekati/War Pass coming back as a 93.

[The Indomitable DrugS]

Originally Posted by Kasept

Apparently in the 102.

The Ill Derby has a history of front end winners producing crazy fast figures.

* Last year, Cowtown Cat went wire-to-wire and was given just a 98 Beyer figure after running a time that suggested he ran significantly faster. BRIS didn't adjust there figure...and had him running faster than Holy Bull ever had on there numbers - he went on to finish 20th in the Derby while having the highest last out BRIS fig in the entire field.

* Two years ago, Sweetnorthersaint sat second less than a length off of pace setter Mr. Triester (who stayed on to finish 2nd) - he put him away, won by 9, got huge figures from all figure makers and was bet to Derby favortisim.

* Three years ago, Greeley's Galazy stalked the pace from up close and won with a 106 Beyer that might have been reduced a little if I recall. He never ran back to it.

* Four years ago, Pollards Vision went wire-to-wire and ran a 107 Beyer. He returned to run 17th beaten 40 lengths in the Derby.

War Emblem famously won the Ill Derby wire-to-wire and earned a huge figure - but his win came at Sportsman's Park and not Hawthorne I believe.

[Riot]

It's interesting. I long ago stopped considering figures as "objective", but rather an, "educated comparative evaluation of performance".

[philcski]

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS

The Ill Derby has a history of front end winners producing crazy fast figures.

* Last year, Cowtown Cat went wire-to-wire and was given just a 98 Beyer figure after running a time that suggested he ran significantly faster. BRIS didn't adjust there figure...and had him running faster than Holy Bull ever had on there numbers - he went on to finish 20th in the Derby while having the highest last out BRIS fig in the entire field.

* Two years ago, Sweetnorthersaint sat second less than a length off of pace setter Mr. Triester (who stayed on to finish 2nd) - he put him away, won by 9, got huge figures from all figure makers and was bet to Derby favortisim.

* Three years ago, Greeley's Galazy stalked the pace from up close and won with a 106 Beyer that might have been reduced a little if I recall. He never ran back to it.

* Four years ago, Pollards Vision went wire-to-wire and ran a 107 Beyer. He returned to run 17th beaten 40 lengths in the Derby.

War Emblem famously won the Ill Derby wire-to-wire and earned a huge figure - but his win came at Sportsman's Park and not Hawthorne I believe.

Agreed- and I don't think this one has much of a chance either. Was my one winner from Saturday and salvaged a pretty miserable day of betting the tires @ Kee.

War Emblem's win was at Sportsman's Park, yes. I think they paved the track over and made it into auto racing- I remember driving by it a long time ago on the Stevenson Expressway. Looked like a real dump.

[favoritetrick]

Originally Posted by Kasept

*Illinois Derby (Haw): Recapture the Glory (L. Roussel III/E. Baird) - 102

Things that make you go hmmmmmm....

[Baranduin]

I just saw where Eight Belles got a 4- rag for the Fantasy, the best of the 3 year old races this weekend.

[horseofcourse]

Originally Posted by Baranduin

I just saw where Eight Belles got a 4- rag for the Fantasy, the best of the 3 year old races this weekend.

She should run in the Derby. She has clearly been the 2nd best 3 year old running this year. Outside Big Brown, she compares favorably with all the others.

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by horseofcourse

She should run in the Derby. She has clearly been the 2nd best 3 year old running this year. Outside Big Brown, she compares favorably with all the others.

She took most of the stretch and was all out to get by Alina at 8.5f... In a 4 horse race. And bore in to boot.

She should not be running in anything other than the Oaks. And she looks like a bet against there too..