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#1
02-28-2008, 07:47 AM
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2/28: Aqueduct ($157k C/O)
Wednesday carry card proved out as tough as it looked with track giving it up readily to frontrunners for the better part of the day.. Inner appeared to relent somewhat late in the day as stalkers began to reach leaders, but those hoping to close at all had no chance. Aside from 3-2 Precious Too in the 5th, lone saver of afternoon came with $12.00 Vain Vixen in the 6th as Garcia took advantage of the bias and built an insurmountable lead.
$157,000 pot may be equally unattainable Thursday with 4 maiden claiming events part of the festivities, two of which are as dreadful as can be assembled.. But let's take a swing! AQUEDUCT POST-Scratches.. 4th: NYB-MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P6, P3) Most Likely: #3 OMMADON'S STORM 2-1: Stinks, but frog with least worts.. WON Next Best: #2b (POE) Cyber Storm 5-2: Less hopeless than most here.. DNF-Dumped Garcia! Exotics Add: #1e Paraneck entry 5-1 3rd 5th: CLM/N1Y, 4+, 1m-70y (P3, G/S, Super) Best Value: #4 Just Le Facts 30-1: Danger with speed if healthy.. 6th Most Likely: #5 Again and Again 3-1: Takes drop; Faster than many here.. 2nd Next Best: #2 Win With Beck 9-2: Better than these on back class.. 4th Exotics Add: #1 Broad Acres 5-2: Can stalk and close if track allows.. WON 6th: MDN CLM, 3+, 6f (P4, DD) Most Likely: #2 OVERHEATED 1-1: Best of another bad bunch.. WON Next Best: #3 Cadillac Red 5-2: Levine firster won't have to be much.. 3rd Best Value: #1 New York Met 12-1: Mildly interesting on good-bad pattern.. 2nd (18-1!) Exotics Add: #7 Formally Judith 6-1: Shows some a.m. zip.. $1 Exacta (2-1) $7.30 $1 Trifecta $10.75 7th: NYB-MDN CLM, 3+, 1m-70y (P3, Super) Very tricky group with 4 droppers from MSW company and 7 stretching out.. Most Likely: #3 SCRATCHED Next Best: ]#5 Doc N Roll 12-1: Tagg-Sackatoga-McMahon drops, working well.. Best Value: #6 Noosa Cat 3-1: Should prefer the two turn pace.. Exotics Add: #4 Fiddlers Dubai 15-1: Respect Bush; Gets class relief.. 8th: OC/N2X, 4+, 6f (DD) Best Value: #4 Trophy Road 8-1: Slick OH-bred looks well-spotted.. WON Most Likely: #2 Whistlin' 2-1: Chased perfect Bustin' Stones two back.. 2nd Next Best: #1 Bill Place 3-1: Alternative should pace melt down.. Exotics Add: #7 My Golden Opinion 5-1 3rd $1 Trifecta (4-2-7) $82.25 $2 Exacta (4-2) Paid $14.70 9th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (Super) Best Value: #9 My Honey B 15-1 Most Likely: #4 Lookie Cookie 7-2 3rd Next Best: #10 She's My Sunshine 6-1 2nd Exotics Add: #1 Best Book 12-1 WON $1 Trifecta (1-10-4) $151.75 $1 Exacta (1-10) $38.00 <$200 P6 Play: 4: 2-3 5: 1-2-4-5 6: 2-3 7: 5 8: 2-4 9: 4-9-10 2x4x2x1x2x3 = 96 x $2 = $192 <$100/<$50 P4 Plays: 6: 2-3 7: 2-4-5 (6-9-12) 8: 2-4 9: 1-4-9-10 2x6x2x4 = $96 (Drop 4-6-12 from 7th for $48 play) $1 P4 (2/12/4/1) $833.50 Good luck! Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 02-28-2008 at 04:12 PM. 
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#2
02-28-2008, 08:05 AM
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Look at Steve throwing in Just Le Facts in the 5th who was eased two back and "broke down" last time. It is undeniable that the horse has speed and he showed it multiple times over the summer. What the hell has happened since then is beyond me but with the completely hapless Jose Bermudez in the saddle this guy is fighting an uphill battle.
Good luck! NT
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#3
02-28-2008, 08:19 AM
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Quote:
One of my favorite angles is 'eased' or 'vanned off'... Vanning is so frequently done as a precaution, and easings or pull-ups by anxious riders who think they 'heard something'... If the horse breezes back and has shown ability against the company they're in, I regularly pull the trigger and it's been profitable. The horse in question has undeniable speed, and if sound, can pop this group on a track that is obviously kind up front. Totally precautionary posture in a tough race to figure out...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#4
02-28-2008, 10:17 AM
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SCRATCHES
4TH 1A Baby Beanie Early 5TH 8 Bonus Size Early 7TH NOTE: #12 Patent Pending Tom MAKES the field (8-1).. Not hopeless either... 7 Bold Dreamer Early 11 Pay the Judge Early 13 Smarteralex Early 14 Tropical Dim Early 8TH 5 Silver Light Early 9TH 2 Lily Dilly Early 8 Premont Early MISCELLANEOUS CHANGES 5TH 4 Just Le Facts 2 ALUMINUM PADS ON (Hmmm.. THAT'S encouraging..  )6TH 3 Cadillac Red GELDING
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#5
02-28-2008, 10:20 AM
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Quote:
Are they giving him a head start? 
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Alcohol, the cause and solution to all of life's problems. -Homer Simpson
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#6
02-28-2008, 11:13 AM
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#3 Double Standard now a scratch from the 7th...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#7
02-28-2008, 02:26 PM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#8
02-28-2008, 02:28 PM
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#9
02-28-2008, 06:31 PM
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Damn Steve, Didn't realize til just now how close you were to hitting the pic 6 also- crazy game sometimes. Now that I've had a bottle of wine I figured I'd thank you again for everything-and to get a mention on your show while listening to the last leg was a real treat for me and my family. Can't say enough good things about this site and ATR. This last year has been a great learning experience. I never thought there would be a day when I hit a 800.00+ pic 4 and forgot that I even played it! It kind of got lost in the excitement of the day. Your the best! Happy to be a small part of Dee Tee Stables-The best is yet to come!
 p.s. the "vanned off" angle, learn something evey day on DT
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#10
02-28-2008, 06:42 PM
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Congrats on hitting the Pick-6. That's really great. Terrific job.
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#11
02-28-2008, 07:19 PM
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Thanks Andy, Steve said on his show today that you were intrumental in starting these contests, so you were a big part of my success today. I have learned a ton by reading your posts on this site.
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#12
02-28-2008, 07:32 PM
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Too kind. You deserve all the credit for winning today.
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