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Old 07-16-2006, 10:25 AM
Gander Gander is offline
Del Mar
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 5,336
Default Tom Fool as I see it

As far as a wagering race, the 3 horses I see that most likely win this are Silver Train, War Front and Bigg Apple Daddy. Obviously if you are playing pick 4's or the pick 6, use all 3 horses.

Silver Train looms the horse to deny. His record at Belmont is awesome and he has handled all comers at various distances. 7F should be ideal. As far as trips can go, he has proven he can win with fast splits or slow splits, this race looks like they will be going every bit 22 and 44, so his ST's chances are further upgraded.

The horse I think is the most likely winner besides Silver Train, is War Front. His workouts are stunning and I look for him to be on the lead just ahead of Anew. I guess it all depends on just how hard he has to work to keep Anew off of him and whether or not he needs a race in him to be at his peak.

Possible spoiler includes Big Apple Daddy but he needs a couple things to happen: A complete pace meltdown and getting a huge jump on Silver Train.

The bet is an exacta box of Silver Train and War Front and maybe a win bet on War Front if he is 9/2 or higher.

Think Anew gets burned up on the pace and retreats with an off the board finish.

Good luck!
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