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Old 07-16-2006, 10:07 AM
Gander Gander is offline
Del Mar
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 5,336
Default Declans Moon back today

Thought I would talk about this very intriguing race, albeit only 5 horses.

Yeshesapistol has clearly went off form but has been training well for O'Neill, I think this horse is probably the best value in the race as if he ever runs back to a couple races a few months back, he beats this field and his price is the most generous out of the 3 contenders, probably at around 3/1.

Areyoutalkingtome to me is the most logical winner in this short field and figures to benefit the most from a potential duel on the lead. But he hasnt exactly been a win machine the last 2 years, and tends to hang on the money. Hard to get excited as a win bet at a price which figures to be around 8/5.

Declans Moon to me needs a race and his price will be around even money. Throwout that one monster win at Delmar and his other wins are good but nothing that could beat the top 2 horses if they are on their games today which I think will be the case.

I think the play is to box the exacta of Yeshesapistol and Areyoutalkingtome, and if the price is overly geneorus, take a shot on Yeshesapistol for the win. He only needs to break on top and remember who he was a few months ago to lead these from start to finish.

Good luck!
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