1/20: Santa Anita (1st-10th)

Kasept · #1 01-20-2008, 08:24 AM

Handicapped well and structured poorly Saturday at Santa Anita as all P6 winners were featured somewhere in the tabs, but I personally made nothing on the day... Overconfidence in Sunday Dress in the 8th race blew apart everything on my own multi-race plays as I tried to keep investment reasonable by singling her on both P6 and P4 wagers. The P6 only returned $3,650, very close to the parlay, but this was a worthwhile and hittable sextet with just the simplest kind of backups.

5th: Exotics Add: #4 Trick's Pic 8-1 WON ($14.40)
6th: Most Likely: #1 Gambler's Justice 5-2 WON ($4.40)
7th: Most Likely: #6 Steven's Being 5-1 WON ($9.80)
8th: Exotics Add: #6 P Town Princess 8-1 WON ($10.00)
9th: Most Likely: #6 CHAMPS ELYSSES 6-5 WON ($2.80)
10th: Next Best: #10 Scottish Diamond 3-1 WON ($8.60)

Best call of the day came in the 7th with 5-1 ML Steven's Being made 'Most Likely' and he came through. But unfortunate incident that resulted in fall of Buddy and Rowdy cost a big trifecta when 12-1 Surf Academy was left unplaced by the stewards for his part in the ugly spill.

Hope you did well..

Back at Arcadia Sunday for all 10 of what appears to be a particularly tough card...

SANTA ANITA

.10 Supers from 2nd-on; Rolling DD's thru 9th; Rolling P3's thru 8th..

1st: CLM, 4yo-F, 7f (P4)

Best Value: #1 Carley Effect 4-1 5th
Most Likely: #4 Debie Ginsberg 2-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Lady in Love 5-2 WON

2nd: MDN CLM, 3yo, 1m

Best Value: #7 Romance is Zenon 4-1 4th
Most Likely: #3 Pointed Home 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #1 Silver Dust 6-1 3rd
Exotics Add: #4 Change Your Mask 5-1 WON

$1 Exacta (4-3) $33.50
$1 Trifecta (4-3-1) $177.40
$1 Superfecta (4-3-1-7) $646.10

3rd: S/ALW, 4+, 6f

Best Value: #4 Home of the Bold 6-1 6th
Most Likely: #1 LADAY TALE 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #5 Austie 2-1 WON
Exotics Add: #2 Lidgettimate Heat 20-1 4th

4th: MSW, 3yo, 6f

Best Value: #2 Silic's Kid 15-1 8th
Most Likely: #6 Forest Echoes 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #3 No Lien Here 4-1 4th
Exotics Add: #4 Cajun Gent 3-1 2nd

P4 Play(s):

1: 1 (2-4)
2: 1-3-4-7 (2)
3: 1 (5)
4: 2-3-6 (4-8)

Base: 1x4x1x3 = $12

5th: CLM, 4+, 9f-T (P6)

Best Value: #1 Uffizi 5-1 2nd
Most Likely: #6 Minister Blair 7-2 7th
Next Best: #3 Seeking Answers 9-2 4th
Exotics Add: #2 Dealer Choice 6-1 6th

6th: MDN CLM, 4+, 5.5f

Best Value: #6 The Emerald King 8-1 2nd
Most Likely: #5 Rock Creek Pass 9-5 4th
Next Best: #11 Southern Moment 8-1 WON
Exotics Add: #3 SCR

$1 Exacta (11-6) $73.60

7th: OC/N3X, 4+, 6.5f-DHT (P4)

Best Value: #1 El Manuel 9-2 6th
Most Likely: #7 Pass the Heat 5-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Battle Won 7-2 WON-DH
Exotics Add: #11 Talkin to Mom Roo 10-1 7th

8th: CLM, 4yo-F, 6f

Best Value: #5 Gone Californian 6-1 4th
Most Likely: #4 Irish Express 7-2 5th
Next Best: #8 Stress Free 6-1 8th
Exotics Add: #11 Chamayo 20-1 10th

9th: 17th San Pedro, $75,000, 3yo, 6.5f

Best Value: #5 Waafi 12-1 6th
Most Likely: #8 Sea of Pleasure 6-5 2nd
Next Best: #6 Gayego 7-2 WON
Exotics Add: #3 Meal Penalty 5-2 5th

10th: S/ALW, F&M-4+, 1m-T (Super High 5)

Best Value: #10 Veils de Fleur 8-1
Most Likely: #9 Justice is Brief 7-2
Next Best: #11 Geribica 6-1
Exotics Add: #4 Christiana's Heat 12-1
High 5 Plays: #7 Jak Sie Macz 8-1

P4 Play(s):

7: 1-7-8-11
8: 4-5 (8)
9: 8 (5)
10: 9-10 (4-11)

Base: 4x2x1x2 = $16

<$150 P6 Play:

5: 1-3-6
6: 5-6
7: 1-7-8
8: 4-5
9: 8
10: 9-10

3x2x3x2x1x2 = 72 x $2 = $144

Good luck!
Steve

Kasept · #2 01-20-2008, 01:14 PM

Last Update: January 20th, 09:53 am

SCRATCHES AND CHANGES FOR SUNDAY, JANUARY 20TH, 2008

Race 1: NO CHANGES

Race 2: NO CHANGES

Race 3: SCRATCH #6 CHHAYA DANCE, #8 BEV'S EX

Race 4: #5 IS A RIDGLING

Race 5: NO CHANGES

Race 6: SCRATCH #1 STERN WHEELER, #13 PLUGINTHEJUG, #14 MOUNTAIN OF GREEN

Race 7: SCRATCH #2 DON'T YA LOVETT, #4 IDIDN'TDOANYTHING

Race 8: #10 RIDER MARTIN GARCIA

Race 9: SCRATCH #1 LATIN LOBO; #2 +1 OVERWEIGHT; #7 NEEDS A RIDER

Race 10: SCRATCH #12 SEA DRIVER

tiggerv · #3 01-20-2008, 01:46 PM

Early Pick 4

1,2,4
1,3,7,8
1,4,5
3

I really like the #1 Carly Effect moving back to synthetic at a bit of a price in the 1st. I think there is a chance for a price in the 2nd. The 1, 7 and even 8 are all interesting. The 3rd could go anywhere, I was planning on singling Bev's Ex until the late scratch. I like everything about the #3 No Lien Here in the 4th and I hope I can get close to the ML. The first time starter Cajun Gent also looks to have a big chance but not worth a play if the odds are close to the ML.

IrishofNDMan · #4 01-20-2008, 02:31 PM

Santa Anita Race 2

$20 Win #6 Lightening Gulch

GL, Irish

tiggerv · #5 01-20-2008, 03:19 PM

SA #4

The 3 has been bet into oblivion so I am going to try and get some value with a Tri. 3/67/ALL $12

tiggerv · #6 01-20-2008, 04:52 PM

Late Pick 4

1
1,4,5,8
2,3,5,6
3,9,10,11

tiggerv · #7 01-20-2008, 05:11 PM

Wow is Michael Baze terrible

hoovesupsideyourhead · #8 01-20-2008, 05:17 PM

how frickn game is old battle won,,,

tiggerv · #9 01-20-2008, 05:49 PM

Carryover...

Scav · #10 01-20-2008, 05:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tiggerv

Carryover...

That should do it, especially on a non-carryover day. Might pay 4 out of 6...

#11 01-20-2008, 06:09 PM

Race 9
3 Meal Penalty WIN
Ex 3/6,8

Double
3/2,5,10

#12 01-20-2008, 06:20 PM

20 and 43?

tiggerv · #13 01-20-2008, 06:22 PM

Yeah sub 21 second, looked like a quarterhorse out there.

hoovesupsideyourhead · #14 01-20-2008, 06:56 PM

well that was perfect.. well im off to see the foo fighters!!! carry over..

nice job steve.....

docicu3 · #15 01-20-2008, 07:11 PM

There goes my hero Mr Hooves....

31lengths · #16 01-20-2008, 07:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead

well that was perfect.. well im off to see the foo fighters!!! carry over..

nice job steve.....

Wonder if they're gonna make it down here....

SA 10th....WOW !

-Edit- Nope. Not coming to Tampa Bay.....but did they start their U.S. tour in Pensacola?