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#1
01-12-2008, 05:03 AM
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1/12: Fair Grounds; Santa Anita
Outstanding action at New Orleans and Arcadia today with Gr. III Soph Stakes kicking off roads to the Louisiana and Santa Anita Derbies..
FAIR GROUNDS Rolling P3's through R9; .10 Supers in all 4th: F.W. Gaudin Memorial, 4+, 6f ($2 P6) Best Value: #3 Gunfight 9-2: Last sharp; Gets pace.. 8th Most Likely: #2 Semaphore Man 5-2: Away since top level dash.. 3rd Next Best: #1 Stormin Baghdad 3-1 2nd Exotics Add: #7 Sumfun 6-1 7th 5th: Col. E. R. Bradley H. (Gr. III), 4+, 8.5f-T (.50 P5) Best Value: #8 SAVE BIG MONEY 6-1: Day's Best Value Play; Turns table.. 4th Most Likely: #4 Sterwins 7-2: ITM 7 of last 8; Versatile Canuck prepped here.. 3rd Next Best: #10 Optimer 8-1 9th Exotics Add: #3 Gold Sound 12-1 8th 6th: Louisiana H., 4+, 8.5f (.50 P4) Best Value: #3 Crossword 4-1: Typical steady improver for Howard.. 5th Most Likely: #5 STEVE'S DOUBLE 3-1: Sharp since Toga upset.. 4th Next Best: #2 Port Clyde 6-1 9th Exotics Add: #8 Prom Shoes 15-1 2nd .10 SUPER PLAY: 3-5/3-5/1-2-4-7-8/1-2-4-7-8 (2x1x5x4 = 40 x .30 = $12.00) 7th: Dr. A.B. Leggio Memorial, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T Best Value: #4 Cat On a Cloud 8-1: Werner grey offers value; Close to top pair last.. 7th Most Likely: #7 Smitty's Sunshine 7-2: Now a mare, always runs her race.. 5th Next Best: #3 Flying Circle 3-1 2nd Exotics Add: #8 Saorise Cat 12-1 6th 8th: Tiffany Lass, 3yo-F, 1m (.50 P4) Best Value: #7 Highest Class 9-2: Light has come on; Half to Epsom Oaks heroine.. 3rd Most Likely: #1 Jolie the Cat 4-1: Stretches out off big fig MDN score.. WON Next Best: #2 Diamondaire 7-2: Beat highly-regarded Stidham filly last.. 4th Exotics Add: #3 Tizaqueena 3-1: Different highly-regarded Stidham filly an underlay here.. 2nd 9th: The LeComte (Gr. III), 3yo, 1m 1. Texas Fever (Theriot/Stidham) 122 (4-1): Critics cite initial dirt try coming now, but star quality Stidham runner cut out for the main and has worked lights out for spot; BC Juvy Turf try a horror show, but Stonerside homebred just kept coming with sneaky great effort; $60k in Graded gelt already, and the one we're watching most closely looking towards Louisville.. 2. The Darp (Albarado/Werner) 116 (8-1): Proud Citizen bay from talented Werner appreciated 2nd turn when demolishing MSW foes third career outing; May be the type that needs experience with each step forward, but faced good ones sprinting and figures to get forward placing here that should translate to good trip; Value will be there and leaning towards using $130k KEE Nov. Yearling liberally.. 3. He's Eze (Rivera/Oliver) 122 (12-1): Calder invader exits traditional 2yo Miami wars and besting of Hutch hero Smooth Air when last seen sticks out on PP's; Solid conditioner Oliver rested Silver Deputy stalker for graded debut, and got local a.m. tour Monday; Repeat of Jack Price effort puts him in money today.. 4. Star Guitar SCRATCHED 5. Z Fortune (Bridgmohan/Asmussen) 120 (6-1): NY-bred impressed in blowout BEL unvieling in October and followed it with facile Empire ALW score on Big A Inner; Sees open and graded company for first time, and would be no surprise if son of Siphon becomes Zayat Derby prospect #17 by day's end.. 6. Blackberry Road (Borel/Carroll) 116 (7-2): $235k more than Dogwood typically spends under gavel, and D. Carroll hopeful has done little wrong on real main tracks building 6/1-1-2-1 record; Hard-pressed to swallow 7-2 ML on Gone West colt that seems a tad over-rated.. 7. Mad Flatter (Graham/Thornbury) 118 (6-1): Homebred bay by Flatter earned diploma on sealed CD slop ahead of off-turf ALW score this oval; Steady figure earner could jump up, but doubt he beat much in the two wins and folded the one time he was confronted in the stretch; Leaning elsewhere.. 8. Macho Again (Leparoux/Stewart) 118 (9-2): Stewart rolling at NOLA and Macho Uno grey looks like "this year's model" of Flashy Bull for West Point Derby interests; Debutted 2nd in Spa MSW that has produced glut of real horses, and neckjob to Monba in juvy season-ender hinted at good things ahead; Stalker type stands to lose ground early, but could make presence felt late under good rally rider Leparoux.. 9. Star Defender (Mena/Asmussen) 116 (12-1): Should probably fear "2nd" Asmussen runner, but $400k Jess Jackson purchase looks hopeless versus these off 2yo form that featured stops at Ellis, Remington and Zia Park; Vindication bay oddly spotted unless he's grown wings since November.. SELECTIONS: 1. #1 Texas Fever 7th 2. #2 The Darp 5th 3. #3 He's Eze 3rd 4. #5 Z Fortune WON .50 All-Stakes P4 Play: 6: 3-5 7: 3-4-7 8: 1-2-7 9: 1-2-3 2x3x3x3 = $54/.50 = $27 .50 All-Stakes P5 Play: 5: 4-8 6: 3-5 7: 3-4-7 8: 1-2 9: 1-2-3-5-6-8 2x2x3x2x6 = $144/.50 = $72 10th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 1m (DD) Best Value: #7 SCR Most Likely: #3 Mister Fusaichi 7-2 Next Best: #8 Written in Stone 4-1 Exotics Add: #1 Romeo Niner 15-1 11th: MSW, 3yo, 6f Best Value: #7 Smirk 12-1 Most Likely: #9 Mr. Serious 4-1 Next Best: #3 Seeking the Lead 9-2 Exotics Add: #4 Champ Gator 5-1 .50 Late P4 Play: 8: 1-2 9: 1-2-3-5 10: 1-3-8 11: 3-7-9 2x4x3x3 = 72/.50 = $36 SANTA ANITA 5th: San Raphael (Gr. III), 3yo, 1m 1. El Gato Malo (Flores/Dollase, C.) 119 (3-1): West Coast West Point interest under direction of '07 breakthrough conditioner Dollase; Owns pair of open length scores comin in and should sit trip behind Pletcher product gated adroit; May not want classic distance but El Corredor gelding certainly suited for today's tour; Using.. 2. Talk of a Cat (Gomez/Pletcher) 116 (5-2): $625k Coolmore buy at Saratoga Select Sale was OK in debut behind 'Racecar' and Mad Flatter before wiring HOL foes in zippy time; Gives 2 turns a try and may well find self alone and loose; Another good for today and questionable going 9f+.. 3. Sierra Sunset (Espinoza/Bonde) 122 (5-1): Stoutly-campaigned Cal-bred has visited 5 coastal venues (including Santa Rosa) en route to 8/3-2-1-$190k marks; Ran deceptively solid HOL Futurity with he, Indian Sun and Massive Drama finishing 6th, 5th and 3rd respectively less 2L apart; Honest enough Bertrando bay from Bonde seems tactical, but hard to gauge fit with added pace factors signed on and his questionable finishing ability.. 4. Overbid (Baze M./Guillot) 116 (6-1): $450k Pulpit from Guillot spots group a lot of experience with maiden-breaking debut lone outing; Tend to think finding 2nd turn and stakes foes off the one start a lot to ask; Looking elsewhere.. 5. Indian Sun (Solis/Hendricks) 116 (15-1): Brother Derek team visits third graded stake in a row sporting classic development arc for young horses; Shows 2 sets of paired tries and logical next step could find him in the money mix at a bonus price; Hendricks knows this path from '05 Derby run, and Injun Chuck bay looks like one of the ones here sure to run his race; Exotics booster.. 6. Massive Drama (Bejarano/Baffert) 119 (2-1): Pricey Zayat buy from Kafwain is steadily slipping backwards on the fig scale as distances increase, a distressing sign; 2-1 an impossible price to embrace this time of year with young 3yo's developing at rapid rates, but sharp works from Baffert charge makes him difficult to toss totally; Using defensively only.. 7. Spinning Sound (Baze T./Gallagher) 116 Blk-On (30-1): Gallagher import has disappointed in prior pair, first 2 NA, with off board finishes in Logan and Generous; Moves to sythetic possible cause for optimism given maiden hit over Lingfield's PolyTrack last summer; Couple that with addition of goggles, and 30-1 doesn't look so bad; For deep exotic plays.. SELECTIONS: 1. #1 El Gato Malo WON 2. #2 Talk of a Cat 5th 3. #5 Indian Sun 2nd 4. #6 Massive Drama 3rd 7th: San Pasqual (Gr. II), 4+, 8.5f Best Value: #1 Thousand Words 12-1: 12-1 on Frankel-Juddmonte import? Most Likely: #3 Heatseeker 7-2: Native Diver win best yet; Got respite.. Next Best: #5 Racketeer 5-2 Exotics Add: #2 Molengao 4-1 10th: San Fernando (Gr. II), 4yo, 8.5f Best Value: #2 Big Bad Leroybrown 15-1: Cal-bred grey rarely runs a bad one; Fits.. Most Likely: #7 Tiago 5-2: Goodwood winner may not be fully cranked for return.. Next Best: #1 Ravel 7-2 Exotics Add: #8 Frank the Barber 15-1 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 01-12-2008 at 04:36 PM. 
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#2
01-12-2008, 06:31 AM
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picks
santa anita did not come up with the selection, been a long nite or early am. thanks mike
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#3
01-12-2008, 06:33 AM
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#4
01-12-2008, 01:45 PM
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Race 1 Santa Anita
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 4 Leg 1: 1,4,5 Leg 2: 1,2,4,6 Leg 3: 2,3 Leg 4: 5
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#5
01-12-2008, 02:11 PM
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Race 2 Santa Anita(Day)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- PICK 3 Leg 1: 3,5,7,8,9 Leg 2: 2,3 Leg 3: 5
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#6
01-12-2008, 02:22 PM
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LIT DE JUSTICE.........His kids finally coming correct for him.
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#7
01-12-2008, 03:17 PM
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Shooting at a pick 3, races 7-9, that if hit, will probably see nice dividends.
Leaving little in my account for tomorrow, so this better hit! 7- 3,4,7 8- 2,3,5 9- 1,2,8 Best of luck to those playing today!!
__________________
"A person who saw no important difference between the fire outside a Neandrathal's cave and a working thermo-nuclear reactor might tell you that junk bonds and derivatives BOTH serve to energize capital" - Nathan Israel
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#8
01-12-2008, 03:33 PM
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Currently sitting at 20-1, I'm going to use him underneath. My plays this race: $1 Trifecta 2/1,4,6/All $10 WP on Talk of a Cat $2 Exacta Box 1-2-4
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#9
01-12-2008, 03:46 PM
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Getting slaughtered at Fair Grounds as bombs keep flying.. None of which I had an inkling towards. Kind of dumbstruck watching this unfold...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#10
01-12-2008, 03:49 PM
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"Track record" for El Gato Malo...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#11
01-12-2008, 03:53 PM
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__________________
"Change can be good, but constant change shows no direction" http://www.hickoryhillhoff.blogspot.com/
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#12
01-12-2008, 05:02 PM
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Santa Anita Late Pick 4
Trying a late pick 4.
7) 2,4,5,7 8) 5,6,8,11,14 9) 7 10) 6 $20 for $1 Good luck!
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#14
01-12-2008, 05:38 PM
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#15
01-13-2008, 08:43 AM
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Linear Mode
