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  #1  
Old 10-06-2007, 05:39 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
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Default 10/6: BEL/KEE Stakes P4's

Couldn't have found $30.00+ Sycamore winner with a wide angle lens at Keeneland Friday, but seeing through 3-2 Irish Smoke helped us ace the $1,405.00 Alcibiades Superfecta to escape opening day happy. Bobby Frankel maiden and "At the Races" focus filly COUNTRY STAR ($4.20) blew by top pair A TO THE CROFT (#2-Most Likely Winner, $5.70) and GRACE ANATOMY (#1-Best Value Candidate, $6.40) to key the $155.30 Trifecta. And when Longshot/Super Add INITIATION found running room late to check in 4th, the overlaid Super was a hit.

In conversation with us Friday morning, Frankel acknowledged that he did not have Country Star, a Stonerside homebred by Empire Maker, fully ready for her 9/20 Belmont debut on turf, and added that he wouldn't be running her in the Gr. I event unless she was "a really nice horse". Now Frankel must decide if he wants to wheel the youngster back in the BC Juvenile Fillies or Juvenile Turf in just 21 or 22 days. We'll guess he takes a pass...

Patrick Biancone, handed a one year suspension by the KHRA for his venomous barn inventory in the morning, enjoyed a particularly humiliating afternoon as Rhapsodybohemian (7th @ 6-1), Quasicobra (5th as 3-2 favorite), Louve des Reves (9th @ 15-1) and Irish Smoke (10th & last as 3-2 choice) distinguished themselves for owners Richard Giacopelli, Giacopelli/Fab Oak, Joseph Allen and West Point/Lew Lakin respectively.

Saturday dawns with tremendous cards at Belmont and Keeneland, with the Champagne (Gr. I), Frizette (Gr. I) and Jamaica (Gr. II) at Elmont and the TCA (Gr. III), Phoenix (Gr. III), First Lady (Gr. II), Breeders' Futurity (Gr. I) and Shadwell (Gr. I) at Lexington. Santa Anita adds the Clement Hirsch (Gr. I) featuring The Tin Man; Laurel the Safely Kept and Hoosier the Indiana Derby... BEL and KEE P4 tabs below...


BELMONT PARK (7th-10th)


7th: 136th Champagne (Gr. I), 2yo, 1m (P4, DD)

1. #4 War Pass 5-1: Zito enjoys long history of late season success.. WON
2. #8 READY'S IMAGE 5-2: As Litfin noted, comes in much like Scat Daddy in '06.. 8th
A. #1 Majestic Warrior 2-1: Mott late charger got ideal Hopeful scenario.. 6th
B. #7 Silver Edition 12-1: Lukas runner didn't demand lead in big fig bow.. 5th


8th: 60th Frizette (Gr. I), 2yo-F, 1m (P3, DD, .10 Super)

1. #7 A Little Gem 6-1: Margolis miss stands big shot if she can sit just off.. 5th
2. #8 Armonk 4-1: Faster of KMc pair should get ideal set up stalking outside.. 4th
A. #9 Sunday Holiday 6-1: Mott chose this v. KEE for 2 turn MED diploma-earner.. 3rd
B. #6 Indian Blessing 8-5: Hard to swallow tab on Baffert Spa exploder.. WON

LONGSHOT/SUPER ADD: #4 Backseat Rhythm 8-1: Patty-Pompa princess cuts back, goes T2D.. 2nd


9th: 58th Jamaica (Gr. II), 3+, 9f-IT (DD, .10 Super)

1. #3 War Monger 5-1: Emerger from Mott-Kent gets 6# from top tabs..
2. #8 Red Giant 3-1: 4-2-0 last 6 and still getting little notice; Real..
A. #7 Adagio 8-1: May get lost in the shuffle on board; Big threat with good break..
B. #2 Nobiz Like Shobiz 5-2: Would like to stand against but hard turf gives him edge..


10th: NYB-ALW, 3+, 1m-T (.10 Super)

1. #4 Calagaitor 8-1: Tesher gelding has found form; Draws much better..
2. #1 Highly Spoken 4-1: Just failed to last at 9f last; Gets Mig..
A. #5 Allaboutmack 12-1
B. #2 Back to Mandalay 5-2


$60 P4 Play:

7: 8
8: 4-6-7-8-9
9: 3-7-8
10: 1-2-4-5

1x5x3x4 = $60



KEENELAND (5th-10th)


5th: 27th TCA (Gr. III), F&M-3+, 6f (P3, P6, .10 Super)

1. #6 Wild Gams 7-2: Perkins-Ramon 4yo exits nice PID Masters try.. WON
2. #1 Baroness Thatcher 5-2: Turned in sharp tries v. top company last pair.. 3rd
A. #9 Mary Delaney 5-1: Kenneally exits nice TP meet; Likes the tires.. 4th
B. #8 Hot Storm 15-1: Exotics booster from Dallas may be bouncing back.. 6th


6th: 155th Phoenix (Gr. III), 3+, 6f (P3, .10 Super)

Utterly impossible race, mercifully not part of P4..

1. #4 Rebellion 12-1: Taking flyer that Motion turf mover takes to Poly.. 2nd
2. #5 Saint Anddan 4-1: Frankel unsure of Poly equation but sitting on effort.. 3rd
A. #2 Indian Chant 5-2: Was zippy winner of pair at Presque.. 4th
B. #8 Teufelsberg 4-1: Barn turmoil has a way of rubbing off on runners.. DNF

LONGSHOT/SUPER ADD: #11 Museeb 12-1: Pronounced poly preference and owns look of KMc upsetter.. 7th


7th: 10th First Lady (Gr. II), F&M-3+, 1m-T (P3, P4, .10 Super)

1. #3 Quite a Bride 4-1: In top form and cutback to 8f may suit.. 3rd
2. #4 Precious Kitten 3-1: Frankel worried most about one to her left.. 2nd
A. #6 Lady of Venice 5-2: Perfect lawn, tough at trip; Easy to root against.. 4th
B. #5 Vacare 3-1: Clement bay chased Wait a While in Ballston Spa.. WON


<$30 P3 Play:

5: 1-6
6: 2-4-5-11
7: 3-4-6

2x4x3 = $24


8th: 94th Breeders' Futurity (Gr. I), 2yo, 8.5f (P3, Super)

1. #12 Wicked Style 8-1: Rusty's rednut 2/2 on surface; Can stalk and go.. WON
2. #2 The Roundhouse 4-1: TAP's FuPeg behind Kowboy, Ekati, Image so far..
A. #10 Fidelio 6-1: Same post, rider & set up as Friday with Country Star..
B. #4 Gold Train 20-1: Bargain homebred from Romans overcame Ellis issues..

LONGSHOT/SUPER ADD: #3 Mikimoto's Mojo 20-1: Mouton super savvy and Hold/Tiger babies rout routes..


9th: 22nd Shadwell Turf Mile (Gr. I), 3+, 1m-T (DD, .10 Super)

1. #4 ASTRONMER ROYAL 5-1: A. O'Brien Grp. I winner.. 5-1? Thank you..
2. #7 Cosmonaut 4-1: 5yo frequently can disappoint at short odds..
A. #1 T. D. Vance 8-1: One of our favorites and merits respect saving ground..
B. #9 Shakis 3-1: Not wild about ground loss trip at unfamiliar distance..

SUPER ADD: #6 Istan 6-1


10th: ALW/N2L, F&M-3+, 7f (.10 Super)

1. #1 Awsugahnow 12-1
2. #7 Marquee Delivery 3-1
A. #5 Stars Portent 8-1
B. #8 Aspiring 4-1


Multi-style P4 Play (<$75 or <$150):


Main ticket:

7: 4-6
8: 2-10-12
9: 1-4-7-9
10: 1-5-7

2x3x4x3 = $72


Backup tickets:

A. (3-5) w (2) w (4-7) w (1-7) = $8
B. (4-6) w (1-3-4-5-6-11) w (4-7) w (1-7) = $48
C. (4-6) w (2) w (2-3-6) w (1-7) = $12
D. (4-6) w (2) w (4-7) w (6-8) = $8

$72 + $8 + $48 + $12 + $8 = $148


Good luck!
Steve
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A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
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Last edited by Kasept : 10-06-2007 at 04:24 PM.
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  #2  
Old 10-06-2007, 07:57 AM
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golfer golfer is offline
The Curragh
 
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Quote:
B. #8 Hot Storm 15-1: Exotics booster from Dallas may be bouncing back..
Steve, for what it's worth, I like your longshot add in Keeneland's 5th, Hot Storm. 2nd off the layoff, her best fits with these.

Also, although not much value as ML favorite, Loconia in the 3rd comes back off major trouble in his last at Saratoga.
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  #3  
Old 10-06-2007, 01:57 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
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Default

$60 P4 Play:

7: 8
8: 4-6-7-8-9
9: 3-7-8
10: 1-2-4-5

1x5x3x4 = $60


NOTE CHANGE TO P4 WITH #2 BACK TO MANDALAY (announced gelding) ADDED...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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  #4  
Old 10-06-2007, 03:21 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
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Default Sugar Swirl?

Cleaning around/outside the house and missed the KEE 5th, and am stunned to see Sugar Swirl in the money as Frankel told me Friday he was scratching her...

Didn't play the race obviously, but would have capped it with her in the mix had I thought she was running... Tricky Bobby.
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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  #5  
Old 10-06-2007, 03:40 PM
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pointman pointman is offline
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splitting pick 4's with pmac and ltjmc:

$1 pk4:

7- 1,4,8
8- 5,6,7
9- 2,7,8
10- 2,4,7

$1 pk4:

7- 1,4,8
8- 6
9- 2,3,5,7,8
10- 1,2,4,7,10

$1 pk4:

7- 1,4,8
8- 5,6,7,8,9
9- 2
10- 1,2,4,7,10

Good luck to all today!
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  #6  
Old 10-06-2007, 05:40 PM
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pointman pointman is offline
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ouch, didn't see that 9 coming.
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