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Old 02-20-2007, 07:52 PM
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Bigsmc Bigsmc is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 8,577
Default Tampa Wednesday Pick 4

Holy Crap. Easily the toughest P4 of the year. Tread lightly.

6th Race - Clm 12500 N2L 7f
Looking for someone to step up here. EVERY horse has a legit shot.

2 - Lolly's Red Ink (4-1) Draw a line through the allowance try. Gate to wire threat with the 1 post and Little Allen aboard.
5 - Lo's Gal (6-1) Came home better than any in the race in her last. Given some time off and an okay breeze to stretch her legs after her maiden win. 2nd at 20-1

Race 7 - OC 62k/N$Y 7f

6 - Demagoguery (5-2) Three in a row, moving up each time. Can do again. Won @ 3-1
4 - Prince Alphie (10-1) Surprise package. 2nd off, turf to dirt, turning back to 7f. Should be flying late.
2 - Anglers Reef (9-5) A Demagoguery neck short of three straight wins. Can turn the tables on the top choice. Won @ 9-5
5 - Florida Jack Pot (7-2) Gate to wire threat under Montalvo.

Race 8 - Alw 19200 N1X 1 1/16 Turf

7 - Cheetah's Chrome (7-2) Montalvo moved too quick last out. He won't make the same mistake this time. 2nd @ 6-1 $2 EX paid $155.80
10 - With Affirmation (8-1) Lightly race With Approval filly got things turned around last out in a 50k maiden washed off the turf. Seems to have overcome her physical problems to be able to come right back. Kimmel 28% 2nd off. Chantal sees fit to make the trip north again.
5 - Tuff Muffin (2-1) Obvious class edge. Couldn't seem to get the job done in SoCal. Looking for a softer spot...and found it. 4th @ 4-5
4 - The Lady Waffles (12-1) Three in a row while moving up the ladder. Wavering Monarch filly may be able to step up again on the blades. Won @ 13-1

Race 9 - MSW 18k 6.5f

6 - Contrary (3-1) Proctor 5% with firsters, so the last was a decent effort for this Distorted Humor gelding. Lookee here, Proctor is 26% 2nd out. Proctor/Lezcano clicking at 54% over the last two years. 2nd @ 5-2 $2 EX paid $18
4 - Party Jones (7-2) Darley homebred son of Elusive Quality shows a steady string of Payson works. He has the whole package, breeding, trainer, jock and works. So, why is he not running in Hallandale? Hmmm.
5 - On the Vineyard (2-1) A solid second in his debut. Scace clicking at 27% 2nd out. Does not have to improve much more to take this heat. Won @ 8-5


The $72 play:

6 - 2,5
7 - 2,5,6
8 - 4,5,7,10
9 - 4,5,6

The money should be spread in every race the P4 should pay well. Good luck with this one.

Last edited by Bigsmc : 02-21-2007 at 03:28 PM.
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