Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > The Paddock
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #81  
Old 05-02-2007, 12:47 PM
robfla robfla is offline
Calder Race Course
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Strategically between Calder and Gulfstream
Posts: 1,892
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by slotdirt
Nobody's ever won from 19 I don't believe.

.

1929 #20 won
Reply With Quote
  #82  
Old 05-02-2007, 12:49 PM
slotdirt's Avatar
slotdirt slotdirt is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 4,894
Default

Nobody's ever won from post 19 I don't believe.
__________________
The world's foremost expert on virtually everything on the Redskins 2010 season: "Im going to go out on a limb here. I say they make the playoffs."
Reply With Quote
  #83  
Old 05-02-2007, 12:50 PM
ArlJim78 ArlJim78 is offline
Newmarket
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 6,549
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by somerfrost
Not me... I'm more concerned with only 3 races total and all grouped in a short period facing questionable competition. He has a chance but I'll not bet him...that's far from saying he has almost no chance.
Fair enough, those are valid concerns.
But I have not seen the people claiming he is so good that he can win from anywhere.
Reply With Quote
  #84  
Old 05-02-2007, 12:51 PM
robfla robfla is offline
Calder Race Course
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Strategically between Calder and Gulfstream
Posts: 1,892
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by slotdirt
Nobody's ever won from post 19 I don't believe.
correct
Reply With Quote
  #85  
Old 05-02-2007, 12:52 PM
tycharles01 tycharles01 is offline
Hollywood Park
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 427
Default

So what does Kaplan do #10 or #11

THen Jaime goes for the other?
Reply With Quote
  #86  
Old 05-02-2007, 12:52 PM
LARHAGE's Avatar
LARHAGE LARHAGE is offline
Hawthorne
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 545
Default

I personally feel the top earners should pick their post in order, horses like Teaufflesberg and I'mawildandcrazyguy just got in by the skin of their teeth, accordingly they should have the last two positions. I want to see a good race, not one with the best contenders against the 8 ball before the gate even springs.
Reply With Quote
  #87  
Old 05-02-2007, 12:55 PM
jman5581's Avatar
jman5581 jman5581 is offline
Hollywood Park
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 921
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by somerfrost
Not me... I'm more concerned with only 3 races total and all grouped in a short period facing questionable competition. He has a chance but I'll not bet him...that's far from saying he has almost no chance.
I'm not going to single Curlin or anything, but he's done all that he can do and is expected to do. If the fields were weak, he CRUSHED the weak fields by a combined 26 lengths or something.... he's going to run his hardest, I don't think a little interference is going to ruin his race. Even Barbaro stumbled and got bumped and won by 8 or whatever it was.
Reply With Quote
  #88  
Old 05-02-2007, 12:58 PM
slotdirt's Avatar
slotdirt slotdirt is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 4,894
Default

How is this post draw any different than any other post draw? Lots of horses get hung in miserable positions in major stakes races.
__________________
The world's foremost expert on virtually everything on the Redskins 2010 season: "Im going to go out on a limb here. I say they make the playoffs."
Reply With Quote
  #89  
Old 05-02-2007, 01:13 PM
ArlJim78 ArlJim78 is offline
Newmarket
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 6,549
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by slotdirt
How is this post draw any different than any other post draw? Lots of horses get hung in miserable positions in major stakes races.
the number of horses is the difference. define miserable post position. usually that means nothing more than 10, 12, or 14 tops.

In the derby 1 and 20 in particular are beyond miserable.
Reply With Quote
  #90  
Old 05-02-2007, 01:17 PM
slotdirt's Avatar
slotdirt slotdirt is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 4,894
Default

I would suggest having an outside post in a 9f race at Gulfstream is probably just as crappy as having post 20 in the Kentucky Derby.
__________________
The world's foremost expert on virtually everything on the Redskins 2010 season: "Im going to go out on a limb here. I say they make the playoffs."
Reply With Quote
  #91  
Old 05-02-2007, 01:19 PM
somerfrost's Avatar
somerfrost somerfrost is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Chambersburg, Pa
Posts: 4,635
Default

Here is some more data on the inside post, I'm not sure when the track was reconfigured to squeeze the inside, maybe someone here knows the exact year but to answer a question...the starting gate was installed at CD in 1930, since then 8 horses have won the Derby from pp#1...they are:
War Admiral (1937)
Lawrin (1938)
Gallahadion (1940)
Citation (1948)
Hill Gale (1952)
Needles (1956)
Chateaugay (1963)
Ferdinand (1986)
I'm pretty sure that I read that the change was made after Chateaugay as it was news when Ferdinand won...pretty sure they said he was the first...and last.
__________________
"Always be yourself...unless you suck!"
Reply With Quote
  #92  
Old 05-02-2007, 01:22 PM
ArlJim78 ArlJim78 is offline
Newmarket
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 6,549
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by somerfrost
Here is some more data on the inside post, I'm not sure when the track was reconfigured to squeeze the inside, maybe someone here knows the exact year but to answer a question...the starting gate was installed at CD in 1930, since then 8 horses have won the Derby from pp#1...they are:
War Admiral (1937)
Lawrin (1938)
Gallahadion (1940)
Citation (1948)
Hill Gale (1952)
Needles (1956)
Chateaugay (1963)
Ferdinand (1986)
I'm pretty sure that I read that the change was made after Chateaugay as it was news when Ferdinand won...pretty sure they said he was the first...and last.
I think you're correct, in this era the 1 post is considered a death sentence.
Reply With Quote
  #93  
Old 05-02-2007, 02:05 PM
Scav Scav is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Northwest of The Chi
Posts: 16,012
Default

One thing about the post position is a horse like Closing Argument ran well from the 19 hole I think, either way, it was way the hell out there, and it gutted him for good but it is possible for them to run well from the outside
Reply With Quote
  #94  
Old 05-02-2007, 02:05 PM
slotdirt's Avatar
slotdirt slotdirt is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 4,894
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Scav
One thing about the post position is a horse like Closing Argument ran well from the 19 hole I think, either way, it was way the hell out there, and it gutted him for good but it is possible for them to run well from the outside
18
__________________
The world's foremost expert on virtually everything on the Redskins 2010 season: "Im going to go out on a limb here. I say they make the playoffs."
Reply With Quote
  #95  
Old 05-02-2007, 02:06 PM
Cajungator26's Avatar
Cajungator26 Cajungator26 is offline
Keeneland
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Hossy's Mom's basement.
Posts: 10,217
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Scav
One thing about the post position is a horse like Closing Argument ran well from the 19 hole I think, either way, it was way the hell out there, and it gutted him for good but it is possible for them to run well from the outside
He was actually the best horse in the race that day... shame he didn't get the win to prove it.
Reply With Quote
  #96  
Old 05-02-2007, 02:07 PM
Scav Scav is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Northwest of The Chi
Posts: 16,012
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by slotdirt
18
whatever it was, it was no man's land. All the horses I am considering got good draws so essentially, I will be broke after the Derby
Reply With Quote
  #97  
Old 05-02-2007, 02:10 PM
slotdirt's Avatar
slotdirt slotdirt is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 4,894
Default

He ran the best race, I wouldn't say he was the best horse. He was pressing the pace, and even led at the 8th pole for a brief moment.
__________________
The world's foremost expert on virtually everything on the Redskins 2010 season: "Im going to go out on a limb here. I say they make the playoffs."
Reply With Quote
  #98  
Old 05-02-2007, 02:14 PM
Cajungator26's Avatar
Cajungator26 Cajungator26 is offline
Keeneland
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Hossy's Mom's basement.
Posts: 10,217
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by slotdirt
He ran the best race, I wouldn't say he was the best horse. He was pressing the pace, and even led at the 8th pole for a brief moment.
Sorta what I meant... best horse on that day, at least.
Reply With Quote
  #99  
Old 05-02-2007, 02:16 PM
Buffymommy's Avatar
Buffymommy Buffymommy is offline
Santa Anita
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: In a little world all my own...
Posts: 3,145
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Cajungator26
Sorta what I meant... best horse on that day, at least.

I had him, hubby at Giacomo. If we had only done and exacta with our picks.
__________________
"Until one has loved an animal, part of their soul remains unawaken.
Reply With Quote
  #100  
Old 05-02-2007, 02:23 PM
Cajungator26's Avatar
Cajungator26 Cajungator26 is offline
Keeneland
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Hossy's Mom's basement.
Posts: 10,217
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Buffymommy
I had him, hubby at Giacomo. If we had only done and exacta with our picks.
I used Afleet Alex, Closing Argument, Bellamy Road (I thought he was the winner), Noble Causeway and Don't Get Mad in my tri box. I tossed Giacomo... boy was I mad.
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 03:55 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.