2/28: AQU & GP P4's; Magna 5; 3yo Stakes

[Kasept]

Santa Anita P6 carryovers put a nice dent in the wallet Wednesday and Thursday as just two players were able to claim the $930,000 reward. Saturday's action won't be producing numbers like that, but the Guaranteed Aqueduct P4 and especially the Magna 5 are very difficult sequences that look capable of generating generous, if not life-changing, returns.

The Fountain of Youth will create a buzz horse or two for the Florida and Kentucky Derby Trails, but remember that it's still just a late-in-the-game one turn mile. As such, a heretofore confirmed sprint type like Taqarub, Quality Road or even Notonthesamepage (a failure in his previous 2-turn try), can exit the FOY a winner and continue to be an utter unknown quantity for the serious route running that lies ahead. The longer you follow Triple Crown season racing, the more difficult it is getting to decipher the clues of who is rose blanket timber...


AQUEDUCT

6th: MSW, 3+, 6f ($250k Guaranteed P4, P3, DD, Super)

As we learned during the Cali Carry Chase this week, P4 players likely need to spread as far as you can afford here with a confusing jumble of heavily-raced and unraced maidens..

Most Likely: #7 Hot to Trot 7-2 9th
Best Value: #3 Driven by Saarland 8-1 5th
Next Best: #9 Manchild 9-2 2nd
Super Add: #8 No Questions 6-1 WON


7th: NYB ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m-70y (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #10 Future Prospect 6-1 9th
Best Value: #7 Conquer the Fear 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Buy a Personality 5-2 4th
Super Add: #9 Gargantua 15-1 6th


8th: 54th Stymie H., 3+, 9f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Researcher 3-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Barrier Reef 5-2 WON
Best Value: #6 True Resurgence 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #5 Manteca 8-1 4th


9th: CLM/N1Y, 4+, 6f (Super)

Most Likely: #4 Double or Nothing 9-5 WON
Next Best: #6 Yelt 7-2 9th
Best Value: #3 Hedge Fund 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #11 SCR


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 2-3-7-8-9
7: 1-2-7-9-10
8: 2
9: 3-4-6

5x5x1x3 = $75



GULFSTREAM

7th: OC/N$Y, 3+, 7f (.50 P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Motovoto 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #4 Freedom Bay 6-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Pictural 5-1 WON


8th: 43rd Canadian Turf (Gr. III), 4+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Vanquisher 5-1 4th
Best Value: #9 Twilight Meteor 12-1 WON
Next Best: #8 Just as Well 3-1 7th
Super Add: #1 Rogue Victory 12-1 6th


9th: 63rd Fountain of Youth (Gr. II), 3yo, 1m (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Notonthesamepage 4-1 7th
Best Value: #2 Theregoesjojo 15-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Capt. Candyman Can 5-1 5th
Super Add: #11 Quality Road 8-1 WON


10th: MSW, 3yo, 1m-T (Super)

Most Likely: #9 Seeking the Sluice 6-1 3rd
Best Value: #3 Virsito 8-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Cardiologist 7-2 12th
Super Add: #2 Misty Oak 6-1 9th


$100/$50 P5 Plays:

7: 6 (4)
8: 1-7-8-9-11
9: 2-3-9-11-12
10: 2-3-7-9

2x5x5x4 = 200 x .50 = $100
1x5x5x4 = 100 x .50 = $50



MAGNA 5

A.) LRL 9th: CLM, 3yo, 7f (Super)

Most Likely: #2e Tullock entry 8-5 WON
Best Value: #9 Cradle of Peace 6-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Home Skillet 10-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Orchestrated 6-1 3rd


B.) SA 4th: CLM, 4+, 6f (P3, DD)

Stunningly well-matched group of veteran $40k claimers, but there may not be a single person at Arcadia that isn't rooting for the tragic Ortega Family's #5 Return of the King..

Most Likely: #5 Return of the King 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #3 Steady Demand 5-1 5th
Next Best: #1e Carava entry 4-1 WON
Exotics Use: #7 SCR


C.) 63rd Fountain of Youth (Gr. II), 3yo, 1m (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Notonthesamepage 4-1 7th
Best Value: #2 Theregoesjojo 15-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Capt. Candyman Can 5-1 5th
Super Add: #11 Quality Road 8-1 WON


D.) GG 4th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Mim's Man 9-5 2nd
Best Value: #5 Pleasure Grounds 6-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Game of Luck 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Castle Dermot 7-2 WON


E.) SA 5th: CLM, F&M-4+, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Tough Apples 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #3 Powerofvoodoo 8-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Bootleg Annie 3-1 WON
Super Add: #2 Wondrous Event 7-2 6th


$300-$150-$75 Magna 5 Plays:

A: 2 (9)
B: 1-3-5
C: 2-3-9-11-12
D: 1-3-4-5-6
E: 8 (3)

2x3x5x5x2 = $300
1/2x3x5x5x1 = $150
1x3x5x5x1 = $75



3 YEAR OLD STAKES AROUND THE COUNTRY


LAUREL PARK

8th: 15th Miracle Wood, 3yo, 7f (DD)

Most Likely: #2 Rock On Justin 3-1 WON
Best Value: #5 Lucky Real Lucky 5-1 7th
Next Best: #6 In the Juice 5-2 5th



TURFWAY PARK

11th: 27th Battaglia Memorial, 3yo, 8.5f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Parade Clown 9-5 2nd
Best Value: #2 Stratos 5-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Proceed Bee 4-1 WON
Super Add: #6 Shanes Gold 8-1 4th



OAKLAWN PARK

9th: 69th Mountain Valley, 3yo, 6f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Dance Caller 5-2 4th
Next Best: #3 Big Push 4-1 7th
Best Value: #4 N.Y. Wise Guy 12-1 DNF
Super Add: #7 Lyin' Heart 9-2 3rd



SUNLAND PARK

11th: 9th Borderland Derby, 3yo, 8.5f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Mine That Bird 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Scorewithcater 3-1 WON
Best Value: #9 SCR
Super Add: #8 Dumar 5-1 5th



GOLDEN GATE FIELDS

8th: King Glorious H., 3yo, 6f (DD)

Most Likely: #5 Ultra Blend 7-2 3rd
Next Best: #1 Mr. Monkey Jones 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 Free Action 12-1 6th



SANTA ANITA

8th: 9th Sham (Gr. II), 3yo, 9f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 The Pampelmousse 9-5 WON
Best Value: #11 Unbridled Roman 12-1 5th
Next Best: #12 Take the Points 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #3 Tiz True 30-1 9th



Good luck!
Steve