7/28: Saratoga (Amsterdam)

[Kasept]

Sunday offered further proof that good wagering will overciome bad handicapping on a regular basis. After struggling all day long to find combinations inter or intra-race, a heavy win bet and key of "Best Value" selection Macho Again in the Jim Dandy solved all ills. The Dallas Stewart-trained, West Point-owned son of Macho Uno held off Pyro in a great edition of this Travers prep and paid a fat $18.40. Keying Macho Again with Tiz Now Tiz Then (2nd/3rd) with "All" cost just $20 and returned $292. Other than the 'Dandy' hit, the day was frustrating. Hope you did OK.


SARATOGA RACE COURSE

10th OFF THE TURF ONLY... Pre-Scratches...

1st: NYB-OC/N2X, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Brookhaven's Money 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #3 Lorccan 8-1 WON
Next Best: #1e SCR (for wagering purposes)


2nd: MDN CLM, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2e Contessa entry 5-1 6th/7th
Best Value: #8 Golden Guska 8-1 11th
Next Best: #10 Arrrrr 9-2 WON


3rd: OC/C, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Mr. Umphrey 5-2 4th
Next Best: #5 Wanderin Boy 8-5 WON


4th: NYB-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Motion entry (2b Absolute Heaven prefered SCR) 5-1 8th
Next Best: #9 Blitzen Too 2-1 4th
Best Value: #1 Stormy Relations 9-2 2nd
Super Add: #3e Bush entry 7-2 5th/7th


5th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #7 Bambolina 12-1 6th
Most Likely: #3 Amanwella 3-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Banker's Choice 20-1 5th
Super Add: #12 August Rush 6-1 WON


6th: NYB-MSW, 3+, 8.5f-T (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Pegasian 3-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Iron Gate 4-1 5th
Best Value: #10 Fortissi More 8-1 4th
Super Add: #4 Fra Lippo 5-1 3rd


7th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 CHAUETTE 6-1 3rd
Best Value (Beyond the above): #7 Horseshoe Buoy 10-1 7th
Next Best: #9 Fiona Freud 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #5 Alyssa Giovanna 5-1 4th; #11 Donna's Sandee 8-1 WON

.10 SUPER SPOT PLAY: Key 2 1st/2nd with 5-7-9-11 (1x4x3x2 + 4x1x3x2 = 48 x .10 = $4.80) Play for .30 ($14.40)


The Lillian Russell, F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Windy 3-1 4th
Best Value: #4 Are We Dreamin 12-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Silver Knockers 10-1 2nd
Super Add: #6 Inside Passage 6-1 6th


9th: 16th Amsterdam (Gr. II), 3yo, 6.5f (DD)

Ah.. The Amsterdam... Popularly known on Derby Trail as the ""Could it be Court Folly?"

Race features what may be the least lucky maiden in the history of racing, Excess Capital. Frankel very well may scratch Fidelio.

Most Likely: #3 Desert Key 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #2 DEVEREUX 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Silver Edition 7-2 4th


10th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 8.5f-OFF THE TURF (Super)

CHANGES NOT YET ANNOUNCED BUT DEFINITELY OFF GRASS...

Of those likely to run...

Most Likely: #11 Irish Bride 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #3 SCR
Next Best: #7 Royal Skip 30-1 WON
Super Add: #15 SCR


@$75 P4 Play:

7: 2-5-7-9-11
8: 3-4-6-7
9: 2-3
10: 3/SCR-11

5x4x2x1 = $40


Good luck!
Steve