Glorious Goodwood

[Kitan]

Wednesday

Race 1:
I didn't really look at this race too much, but it caught my eye that #5 Lion Beacon has a good record over this course which is always important. Worth a couple of dollars at at least 15-1.

Race 2:
#2 Cloudscape has a huge kick in him, and unfortunately last time he was unleashed too late as he was hemmed in for most of the straight. Was a very impressive run on replay. If he gets clear run I can see him bursting away. Good price at 5-1 or upwards.
#8 Windshear has never been worse than second in six starts, and that consistency gives him value at a few points under 10-1.
#3 Observational is an improving sort who beat a decent horse in Marzocco last out on this course. Just a little scared by the fact that Doyle stays on #6, whose form line I've never really liked. Also hasn't run since May 23rd.
I think that #7 Somewhat is a very beatable potential favourite here as there is other pace for him to deal with and he was well beaten by #2 in the Tercentenary. Ran a blinder at 100-1 last time, but he needs to prove he can do it again.

Kingman to beat Toronado in Race 3. No value there...

#1 Ahlan Emarati, #5 Highland Reel, and #8 Tupi are the top three in the betting in Race 4 and I can easily see them filling the first three places.

Race 5 is another race where I can see the top choices in the Market, #4 Hundi and #12 Shahah, taking the top spots. #1 and #13 are interesting, but more for the future as they should want further.

Race 6:
William Buick has written a few good words in his blog about #5 Water Hole and he is currently the top choice in the wagering. I think 9f might test his stamina but the expensive weanling purchase rates a big chance.
#15 Alquimia and #16 Hedge End both get in with 108 lbs after the apprentice claims and that is a definite boost to their upset chances at nearly 20-1 each.

Race 7:
Similar to Race 1 in the sense that #19 Bravo Echo's record at Goodwood caught my eye and he's up around 25-1.
#20 Little Shambles is 2 for 2 at the distance on dry tracks, albeit both at Catterick, and alternates good/bad performances. Form says it should be good today.