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Old 07-19-2014, 05:07 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Default 7/19: Saratoga (Day 2-Diana; Sanford)

SARATOGA RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Luck of the Kitten 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #7 Kamarius 7-2 WON ($11.20)
Best Value: #4 The Truth Or Else 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Dubai Sky Gate SCR


2nd: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Say Mr. Sandman 8-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Handy Stan 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Groupthink 8-5 3rd
Super Add: #4 Thnxtomyuncle 15-1 7th


3rd: MSW, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Contrary Opinion 3-1 5th
Best Value: #6 Bird Now 8-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Cosmic Gold 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Taghleeb 5-2 6th


4th: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Blame Jim 2-1 WON ($3.90)
Best Value: #6 Bold Conquest 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Smithereen 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Money Changer 3-1 3rd


5th: CLM, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Piquant 7-2 DNF-Lost Rider
Next Best: #6 Frazil 4-1 DNF-Affected by incident
Best Value: #8 One King's Man 12-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Be Bullish 3-1 2nd


<$75 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 5,7 with 3 with 2 with 4,6 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 9 with 3 with 2 with 4,6 - $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 5,7 with 5 with 2 with 4,6 - $4.00
4 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 5,7 with 3 with 5,6,7 with 4,6 - $12.00
5 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 5,7 with 3 with 2 with 8 - $2.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 9 with 5 with 2 with 4,6 - $2.00
7 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 9 with 3 with 5,6,7 with 4,6 - $6.00
8 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 9 with 3 with 2 with 8 - $1.00
9 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 5,7 with 5 with 5,6,7 with 4,6 - $12.00
10 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 5,7 with 5 with 2 with 8 - $2.00
11 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 5,7 with 3 with 5,6,7 with 8 - $6.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P5: 2,4,8,9 with 5,7 with 3 with 2 with 4,6 - $8.00
13 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 5,7 with 4,6 with 2 with 4,6 - $8.00
14 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 5,7 with 3 with 2 with 1,3 - $4.00

Total: $73.00


<$60 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P4: 5,7 with 3 with 2 with 4 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $1.00 pick P4: 9 with 3 with 2 with 4 - $1.00
3 $1.00 pick P4: 5,7 with 5,6 with 2 with 4 - $4.00
4 $1.00 pick P4: 5,7 with 3 with 5,6,7 with 4 - $6.00
5 $1.00 pick P4: 5,7 with 3 with 2 with 6 - $2.00

A's with Two B's

6 $1.00 pick P4: 9 with 5,6 with 2 with 4 - $2.00
7 $1.00 pick P4: 9 with 3 with 5,6,7 with 4 - $3.00
8 $1.00 pick P4: 9 with 3 with 2 with 6 - $1.00
9 $1.00 pick P4: 5,7 with 5,6 with 5,6,7 with 4 - $12.00
10 $1.00 pick P4: 5,7 with 5,6 with 2 with 6 - $4.00
11 $1.00 pick P4: 5,7 with 3 with 5,6,7 with 6 - $6.00

A's with One C

12 $1.00 pick P4: 5,7 with 4 with 2 with 4 - $2.00
13 $1.00 pick P4: 5,7 with 3 with 3,4 with 4 - $4.00
14 $1.00 pick P4: 5,7 with 3 with 2 with 1,3,8 - $6.00

Total: $57.00


6th: NY-MSW, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P6, P3, DD)

Maniacally challenging group with perhaps 8-9 of the 12 possible with a square pace anticipated. Respect the obvious (4-8-10-12) and ponder the intriguing (3-5-6-9-11). Hard not to root for Al and Joe DiRico and #3 Mr Ciolko after the family was forced to put down their venerable sprint star stallion Disco Rico Thursday..

Best Value: #4 Vischer Ferry 8-1 5th
Next Best: #12 Thurgood 3-1 WON ($8.00)
Exotics Use: #10 Boston Strong 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #3 Mr Ciolko 12-1 11th


7th: 100th Sanford (F2), 2yo, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Superb wagering affair and an upgrade from Friday's filly version. Quite a bit of speed signed on and think you want one that can sit off..

Best Value: #2 Silverhill 6-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Nonna's Boy 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Mr. Z 15-1 2nd
Super Add: #4 Big Trouble 10-1 WON ($25.60)


8th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Thoroughly wide open start to the late quad..

Most Likely: #11 Weave 5-1 5th
Best Value: #3 Can't Explain 20-1 4th
Next Best: #9 Tasmona 4-1 8th
Exotics Use: #1 Fade to Black 15-1 2nd


9th: OC/N2X, 9f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Hard Enough 7-2 5th
Best Value: #9 Casino Dan 8-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Battle Force 3-1 8th
Exotics Use: #10 North Star Boy 6-1 WON ($11.60)


10th: 76th Diana (G1), F&M-3+, 9f-IT (DD)

Spectacular lineup for this always-engaging early season Spa standard. There is no bad combination..

Best Value: #6 Discreet Marq 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Alterite 3-1 8th
Exotics Use: #5 Strathnaver 10-1 6th
Super Add: #9 Stephanie's Kitten 6-1 2nd


11th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T

Most Likely: #6 Alakazan Alakazan 4-1 4th-DH
Best Value: #7 McIlroy 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 All Included 5-2 WON ($3.60)
Exotics Use: #1 Jonrah 10-1 3rd


<$65 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 3,11 with 4 with 6,8 with 6,7 - $8.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 1,9 with 4 with 6,8 with 6,7 - $4.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 3,11 with 4 with 5,9 with 6,7 - $4.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 3,11 with 4 with 6,8 with 1,2 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

5 $0.50 pick P4: 1,9 with 4 with 5,9 with 6,7 - $4.00
6 $0.50 pick P4: 1,9 with 4 with 6,8 with 1,2 - $4.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 3,11 with 4 with 5,9 with 1,2 - $4.00

A's with One C

8 $0.50 pick P4: 2,4,5,6,12 with 4 with 6,8 with 6,7 - $10.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 3,11 with 8,9,10 with 6,8 with 6,7 - $12.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 3,11 with 4 with 1,2,3,10 with 6,7 - $8.00

Total: $62.00


Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.

Last edited by Kasept : 07-19-2014 at 05:44 PM.
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  #2  
Old 07-19-2014, 05:29 AM
tanner12oz tanner12oz is offline
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burning the midnight oil steve...
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  #3  
Old 07-19-2014, 10:24 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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SAR SCR/CHG'S
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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  #4  
Old 07-19-2014, 10:38 AM
LAP_520 LAP_520 is offline
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Thanks Steve for your insight and picks .. Good Luck !


Correction needed..

10th: 76th Diana (G1), F&M-3+, 9f-IT (DD)

Spectacular lineup for this always-engaging early season Spa standard. There is no bad combination.

Best Value: #5 Discreet Marq 5-1 ............. is the #6
Next Best: #8 Alterite 3-1
Exotics Use: #5 Strathnaver 10-1
Super Add: #9 Stephanie's Kitten 6-1
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  #5  
Old 07-19-2014, 10:38 AM
luv2gambl luv2gambl is offline
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Good luck Steve. I know you are usually dialed in at this meet. Hopefully we can make some $$$$$.

Mike
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Old 07-19-2014, 10:42 AM
LAP_520 LAP_520 is offline
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Interesting with Yesterday's races ... Lanfranco "Frankie" Dettori will be a force to recognize in Turf Races this weekend...


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Old 07-19-2014, 11:01 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tanner12oz View Post
burning the midnight oil steve...
A bit. Late dinner at Prime last night. Of course, tis the season of late nights and early mornings!
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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Old 07-19-2014, 03:39 PM
tanner12oz tanner12oz is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept View Post
A bit. Late dinner at Prime last night. Of course, tis the season of late nights and early mornings!
how often you going to be on track this meet?
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  #9  
Old 07-19-2014, 03:55 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tanner12oz View Post
how often you going to be on track this meet?
Virtually every day..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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Old 07-19-2014, 05:16 PM
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ateamstupid ateamstupid is offline
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Pick 6 carry! By my math it looks a little under $90k.
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Old 07-19-2014, 05:27 PM
ScottJ ScottJ is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept View Post
Virtually every day..
Can vouch for the fact that Steve was on the video feed during the inquiry where Devilish Love survived the dual inquiry/objection over Face to Black.

Has anyone checked with either Andy Serling or Mike Beer just yet? Seriously, the stewards have been asleep at the switch for months on the NYRA circuit and it is going to take a horse/jockey going down before these rough-house antics are brought back under control.

While on the subject, what the heck is going on today at Saratoga with jockeys trying to be super-heroes?

It was refreshing to see Frankie Dettori this weekend despite crushing the Sanford front speed in 21:3 along with Castellano. Nice to see someone pressing the speed for a change although this was suicidal with 2yo stakes placed babies.

In the eighth race, Irad Ortiz positioned on the outside with Fade to Black shifts to the inside seeing a wandering Devilish Love and winds up getting pinned for his life in addition to giving up a length or two.

In the tenth race (Diana), Javier Castellano goes three wide on the opening turn to press the pace offered by Discrete Marq in a race laden with the front running options? (Oh, Alterite was throwing her head about - yes, because Catellano was trying to settle her into an impossible position.)
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Old 07-19-2014, 05:48 PM
tanner12oz tanner12oz is offline
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Serling thought it was a bad call and was a little upset from what I read
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  #13  
Old 07-19-2014, 05:49 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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$66k SAR P6 C/O SUNDAY!
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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  #14  
Old 07-19-2014, 05:50 PM
tanner12oz tanner12oz is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ScottJ View Post
Can vouch for the fact that Steve was on the video feed during the inquiry where Devilish Love survived the dual inquiry/objection over Face to Black.

Has anyone checked with either Andy Serling or Mike Beer just yet? Seriously, the stewards have been asleep at the switch for months on the NYRA circuit and it is going to take a horse/jockey going down before these rough-house antics are brought back under control.

While on the subject, what the heck is going on today at Saratoga with jockeys trying to be super-heroes?

It was refreshing to see Frankie Dettori this weekend despite crushing the Sanford front speed in 21:3 along with Castellano. Nice to see someone pressing the speed for a change although this was suicidal with 2yo stakes placed babies.

In the eighth race, Irad Ortiz positioned on the outside with Fade to Black shifts to the inside seeing a wandering Devilish Love and winds up getting pinned for his life in addition to giving up a length or two.

In the tenth race (Diana), Javier Castellano goes three wide on the opening turn to press the pace offered by Discrete Marq in a race laden with the front running options? (Oh, Alterite was throwing her head about - yes, because Catellano was trying to settle her into an impossible position.)
seemed to be an awful lot of rank horses today or maybe jockeys over riding
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