Social Inclusion -- what would you do?

[letswastemoney]

Originally Posted by Jay Frederick

Why a new trainer? It's not the first time I have read this and am trying to figure out what his current trainer has done wrong that would lead people to suggest changing trainers.

Well, I've read a lot of criticism about the training pattern, his tendency for short 3 furlong workouts in particular, although Social Inclusion did gallop out strongly in the last work a lot farther.

I'm a huge fan of the horse though and saw no problem with his presence in the Belmont Stakes, up until the gate issues report.

[Cannon Shell]

Call me crazy but workouts with fractions of 33.2, 45.2, 58 and 109.4 rarely do much to settle a horse down especially 2 weeks after melting down in the post parade of a race. They have gate blankets that can be used to settle horses in the starting gate.

This is basic stuff...

What I would be trying to do with this horse is get a stakes win asap. For all the hype that surrounds him and the obvious talent he possesses, he has but a pair of stakes placings. The Woody Stevens could be a good stepping stone into the Haskell and make him a stakes winner which provides a nice fall back if he doesn't survive the season with all four legs intact. Especially if Monmouth continues to play like it has.

IMO the Belmont is a ridiculous spot for him as the only hope he'd have is to steal away on the front end under slow fractions which wont happen if he is rank nor is Espinoza going to let anyone get away with a 1/2 in 50 without pressure.

[Cannon Shell]

I got 2 horses from the vaunted MR program. If you want to burn money just set it on fire, dont give it away because of Robert Redford.

[Jay Frederick]

Originally Posted by letswastemoney

Well, I've read a lot of criticism about the training pattern, his tendency for short 3 furlong workouts in particular, although Social Inclusion did gallop out strongly in the last work a lot farther.

I'm a huge fan of the horse though and saw no problem with his presence in the Belmont Stakes, up until the gate issues report.

It just seems premature to think he needs a new trainer. All of the races he has run have been the right spots.

Ultimately I think he'll prove to be a 7-9 furlong type horse, but I see no problem if they take a shot in the Belmont. He certainly belongs and you only get one shot at the Belmont.

If it doesn't work out than go from there.

you dont turn down an 8 milllion dollar offer for the horse just to run him in the Woody Stephen. Enter him in the Belmont and try to prove to everyone you are not crazy you turned down that offer.

[Calzone Lord]

There's no clear-cut right answer to this.

The Belmont would appear the worst idea, but this horse would be extremely dangerous with a loose early lead.



Go watch the tape of his second career start, when he got loose through soft early fractions. He would have stayed 2 miles, with that trip.

Da' Tara had 3 lengths on them, after a quarter mile, in the 2008 Belmont. He drew off to win by more than 5 lengths and paid $79.00 to win.

After that blowout Belmont win by more than 5 lengths, Da' Tara was subsequently 0-for-11, failing five different times at the allowance level.

Social Inclusion was subjected to wide stalking trips chasing lively paces in both the Wood and Preakness. He's no longer feared. Horses like California Chrome and Samraat will not test him early.

Obviously, the loose lead is there for the taking, with Social Inclusion. The questions about his ability to get the distance will be to his benefit -- as rival jockeys will be less inclined to make a pre-mature move to confront him.

Personally, if he was my horse, I'd either skip the weekend or take a stab in the Belmont -- depending upon how the trainer believes he's doing coming up to this race.

[Indian Charlie]

Originally Posted by Calzone Lord

There's no clear-cut right answer to this.

The Belmont would appear the worst idea, but this horse would be extremely dangerous with a loose early lead.



Go watch the tape of his second career start, when he got loose through soft early fractions. He would have stayed 2 miles, with that trip.

Da' Tara had 3 lengths on them, after a quarter mile, in the 2008 Belmont. He drew off to win by more than 5 lengths and paid $79.00 to win.

After that blowout Belmont win by more than 5 lengths, Da' Tara was subsequently 0-for-11, failing five different times at the allowance level.

Social Inclusion was subjected to wide stalking trips chasing lively paces in both the Wood and Preakness. He's no longer feared. Horses like California Chrome and Samraat will not test him early.

Obviously, the loose lead is there for the taking, with Social Inclusion. The questions about his ability to get the distance will be to his benefit -- as rival jockeys will be less inclined to make a pre-mature move to confront him.

Personally, if he was my horse, I'd either skip the weekend or take a stab in the Belmont -- depending upon how the trainer believes he's doing coming up to this race.

Without seeing who goes in the other two races, provided those two races are what they typically are, it seems obvious that his best chance at a win is in the race he'll almost certainly get clear, the Belmont.

I think he's the only horse in there with a real shot to beat chrome.

[blackthroatedwind]

Originally Posted by Indian Charlie

I think he's the only horse in there with a real shot to beat chrome.

I'm sorry, you think Social Inclusion is the only horse with a real shot to beat California Chrome in the Belmont?

If so, with all due respect, that is a horrendous opinion.

[Indian Charlie]

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

I'm sorry, you think Social Inclusion is the only horse with a real shot to beat California Chrome in the Belmont?

If so, with all due respect, that is a horrendous opinion.

Yeah, I guess.

I think the field is pretty awful, and he's handled, quite easily, all the horses he's faced already.

If you like Tonalist, I'll throw right back at you that your opinion is horrible on that.

This is all provided weird stuff doesn't happen, injuries, horrific trips, bad rides, suicidal pace, etc. None of this seems likely to happen.

I'd love to hear who you think has a real shot at beating him, and why. It doesn't have to be an in depth explanation, but man, from where I sit, he towers over these.

CC seems to love the track, I see no evidence that a soft paced 12 furlongs will be a problem at all, and his competition sucks.

It's not that I think CC is a freak, it's that I think he's freakish relative to what he's facing.

He's not even the best horse in this crop.

[RockHardTen1985]

Originally Posted by Indian Charlie

Without seeing who goes in the other two races, provided those two races are what they typically are, it seems obvious that his best chance at a win is in the race he'll almost certainly get clear, the Belmont.

I think he's the only horse in there with a real shot to beat chrome.

Here is my post from Dougies FB last night.


I think Wicked Strong will prove to be the best 3yr old of this class. There is a lot of racing left. Its Chrome right now, for sure. But look at last year. Will Take Charge dominated the 2nd half of the year. I think Social Inclusion is dangerous if he runs. He has not had an easy lead since his monstrous win at Gulfstream. If he runs Saturday he should pull that kind of trip. My only worry w/ him is that its too much too soon. I have no doubt that he is talented enough. Those will be the 2 horses I use trying to beat Chrome in multi race bets.

[Indian Charlie]

I like wicked strongs chances.

If they move the race to aqu.

Andy, you say I am dismissive of the field, and you are right. I am because the holes in the opposition's form are enormous.

I think you, and others, are dismissive of chromes chances by seemingly fabricating this concept that he has distance issues. I have seen nothing of the sort, and, if anything, he's shown me he is better the further he goes.