Offshore Belmont Odds and props

[cakes44]

Oh he'll be 1/5. Problem is, there's 3-4 horses in there that would be life and death in a 90 BSF maiden race. By the time the race starts, he'll be tough to bet against in the top spot. It will probably be cold exacta time.

[Rupert Pupkin]

Originally Posted by cakes44

Oh he'll be 1/5. Problem is, there's 3-4 horses in there that would be life and death in a 90 BSF maiden race. By the time the race starts, he'll be tough to bet against in the top spot. It will probably be cold exacta time.

He won't be anything close to 1-5 unless we get a lot more defections. Tonalist, Wicked Strong, Commanding Curve, and Right on Curlin will all get play. Those odds that Dunbar posted from Bookmaker should be in the ballpark if those horses run. CC will be around 4-5, Wicked Strong 6-1 or so, Tonalist 7-1 or so, Commanding Curve 8-1 or so, and Ride on Curlin 8-1 or so.

If CC was 1-5, that would mean all those other horses would be around 20-1 apiece. That's not going to happen.

The big offshore books are always in the right ballpark on the odds. If they weren't they would go out of business. They're not going to give you even money on a 1-5 shot.

[ranger5830]

Chrome was only 5-2 in the derby, and 1-2 in the preakness. I haven't looked, but I would have to think it would be highly unusual (if not unprecedented) for a preakness winner to go off at a higher price in the belmont than he did in Baltimore, especially a horse looking for the triple crown. And while I certainly understand that sports books are not in business to lose money, even money seems like excellent value relative to what his off odds will be on the tote.