3/29 (MEY): Dubai World Cup

[pmayjr]

6th (11:41) Dubai Golden Shaheen (G1)

About 6 Furlongs (All Weather Track) | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up Stakes | Purse: $2,000,000

1 1 Krypton Factor (GB) Morris L Nass Fawzi A 132 15-1
2 2 Balmont Mast (IRE) Moore R Lynam Eddie 132 10-1
3 3 Nawwaar Hanagan P G Al Raihe Ali R 132 30-1
4 4 Sterling City (AUS) Moreira J Moore James 132 20-1
5 5 Reynaldothewizard Mullen R Seemar Sateesh 132 7-2
6 6 Zee Bros Dettori L Benzel Seth 132 10-1
7 7 United Color Buick W T Selvaratnam Dhruba J 132 20-1
8 8 Complicate (AUS) De Sousa S A bin Suroor Saeed 132 6-1
9 9 Russian Soul (IRE) Foley S Halford Michael 132 8-1
10 10 Jamesie (IRE) Lynch F Marnane David 132 12-1
11 11 My Catch (IRE) Dobbs P J Watson Doug 123 50-1
12 12 Rich Tapestry (IRE) Doleuze Olivier Chang Michael 132 4-1
13 13 Bello (AUS) Barzalona M Appleby Charles 132 20-1

Win / Place / Exacta / Trifecta (.50 MIN) / Superfecta (.10 MIN) Pick 3 (Races 6-7-8) / Daily Double

I think this race is wide-open. But with that being said I think the most likely is #12 Rich Tapestry. In his 4 non-turf starts, he has 4 wins. He won the 6f sprint race on Super Saturday off a layoff since December. He's a Hong Kong-based horse that's in all those nasty turf sprints over there. He's raced against some of the best and is 2nd-off the layoff with a fresh win over the Meydan surface on Super-Saturday 3 weeks ago. Take 4-1 if you can get it or even half of that.

Sticking with the Hong Kong theme, #4 Sterling City has never raced in Dubai before, but is a win machine. 7 wins in 19 starts (16/19 starts in the $$$) and has run vs the best in Hong Kong. He's a closing sprinter, and the pace should be hot, so he could be flying late. I don't think 20-1ML odds are realistic, but 10, maybe 15-1 is...

#9 Russian Soul had 2 very good races at this distance of the Meydan surface, before Rich Tapestry put him in his place last time. I think the horse was a little further back and a little wider than he wanted to be in his last, so I expect a sharp, competitive rebound effort from him on Saturday. This is the distance/surface he thrives in...

#11 My Catch is kinda an unknown in here. He's only 3, and has been running in 3YO restricted races earlier in the Dubai Carnival. Now this speedy guy is trying elders, but has a win over the surface. The reason I think he has a chance to hit the board here, is HE GETS A 9LB WEIGHT BREAK on the rest of the field. So if he's on his A-game, that weight break should make him very competitive.