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Old 07-29-2013, 11:50 AM
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ateamstupid ateamstupid is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2006
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Taking a break from the Pick 4's today, will try to make a small profit and regroup for Week 3.

4th: Tough to see #3 Big Screen losing. He's in the best form of anyone in the race and he figures to be loose on an easy lead. The distance shouldn't be a problem, as he ran back-to-back big figure two-turn races 2/17 at GP and 3/13 on AQU inner. He'll be 4-5 or so and should have plenty left to hold off the quality closers in Cease and Tech Fall.

5th: #9 River Boss is the horse to beat, but he's dropping in for a tag off the win and it's not as though he's run way faster than these on his best day. I like #7 Bold Forest, who broke poorly and made a huge close two back as the only horse to make up significant ground in the stretch and just missed, then had a wide trip in behind a slow pace last time out, making the first move and flattening out late. I'll also use #5 My Golden Road, who's dropping in class and whose turf figs are already competitive with this group.

Race 4
$40 DBL 3/7,9
$20 DBL 3/5
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