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#1
04-04-2013, 08:37 PM
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4/5: Gulfstream (4th-13th); Keeneland (6th-10th)
Meet comes to a close with the highly anticipated bonus jackpot in the Rainbow 6 and predictably, there is a wrinkle in the fascinating opportunity with weather a potential factor. I'm still in Florida and Thursday afternoon saw a torrential, soaking storm that had to at least soften the turf course a tad. That was OK as the speedy strip needed some moisture, but more thunderstorm activity is expected this morning (Wunderground.com) with chances for more in the afternoon. Doubt anything comes off the turf unless the rain is relentless. Otherwise, be tuned in to what the surfaces tell you in races 1-7. Will update throughout the morning on ATR and later here. Keeneland opens today as discussed with Marty McGee Thursday. P5 thoughts included below..
RAINBOW 6 RACES (9th, 12th, 13th) OFF THE TURF GULFSTREAM PARK POST-SCRATCHES 4th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD) Best Value: #8 Lil Red Cozette 6-1 WON ($8.20) Next Best: #1 Iroquois Girl 9-5 3rd Exotics Use: #2 Cappachino Gal 5-1 4th Super Add: #9 Lou Doctor Lou 10-1 7th 5th: OC/N2X, F&M-4+, 11f-T/0' (P3, DD) Most Likely: #5 Scampering 5-2 WON ($4.00) Best Value: #1 Qushchi 3-1 2nd Next Best: #3 Heart of Destiny 6-1 4th 6th: MSW, 3+, 9f-T/60' (P3, DD) Best Value: #2 (POE) Seekingthediamond 5-1 2nd/WON ($4.60) Next Best: #1 Darley entry 5-2 5th/6th Exotics Use: #8 Ocean City 5-1 4th (3rd for wagering) Super Add: #5 Tiz a Homerun 6-1 8th 7th: OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P3, DD) Most Likely: #4 Six Queens 2-1 2nd Best Value: #6 Taradise 5-1 7th Next Best: #1 Angel's Glory 3-1 WON ($11.00) Exotics Use: #9 Saint Aggie 6-1 4th 8th: MSW, 3yo-F, 6f (P6, P3, DD) $1,961,806 Mandatory Pay Jackpot Rainbow 6 starts here.. Interesting start to sequence with likely winner in Pletcher's #10 Sweet N Discreet (7-2), but another 6-7 lurkers poised to jump up should she fail to fire.. Most Likely: #10 Sweet N Discreet 7-2 (A) WON ($4.80) Next Best: #3 Union Made 8-1 (B) 3rd Best Value: #4 Dreamlicious 12-1 (B) 5th Exotics Use: #2 Fame and Fortune 6-1 (B) 2nd "C's": #5 On Parole 12-1; #8 Akron Moon 12-1 (C) 9th: MDN CLM ($35k), 3+, 1m-OFF THE TURF (P5, P3, DD) Most Likely: #4 King Khalifa 2nd Next Best: #14 Wild Perfection WON ($5.20) Best Value: #7 Withalottalove 7th Exotics Use: #8 He's Hollywood 3rd 10th: CLM, 4+, 7f (P4, P3, DD) Most Likely: #10 Jordan's Image 4-1 (A) 4th Best Value: #4 Monroe Court 6-1 (A) 5th Next Best: #5 Morality 3-1 (A) 10th Exotics Use: #3 Positive Action (C) 2nd 11th: MSW, 3yo, 6f (P3, DD) Watch for SCR's as #13 Dr. Chase (8-1) would be a danger if drawing in.. Most Likely: #3 Silver Lining John 4-1 (A) 2nd Best Value: #11 Trinni Heart 12-1 (A) WON ($10.80) Next Best: #13 Dr. Chase 8-1 (B) 4th Exotics Use: #7 Herd Mentality 8-1 (B) 3rd Super Add: #9 Bob and the Gang 20-1 (C) 5th 12th: ALW/N2L, 4+, 8.5f-OFF THE TURF (DD) Best Value: #8 Bartolome 2nd Next Best: #13 Franklinpark 3rd Exotics Use: #1 Crafty Unicorn 4th Super Add: #6 Wise Maker 7th 13th: MDN CLM ($35k), 3yo-F, 8.5f-OFF THE TURF (Super Hi-5) Best Value: #2 How Cheeky - Next Best: #1 Sweet Gator Girl WON ($8.00) Exotics Use: #6 Bahia de Oro 3rd Super Add: #11 Egotist 20-1 - <$125 P6 Play: 8: 2-3-4-10 9: 4-14 10: 4-5-10 11: 3-6-7-9-11-13 12: 8-13 13: 1-2-6-11 4x2x3x6x2x4 = 1,152 x .10 = $115.20 <$50 P5 Play: 9: 4-14 10: 4-5-10 11: 3-7-11-13 12: 8-13 13: 1-2 2x3x4x2x2 = 96 x .50 = $48 <$75 P4 Play: 10: 4-5-10 11: 3-6-7-9-11-13 12: 8-13 13: 1-2-6-11 3x6x2x4 = 144 x .50 = $72 KEENELAND POST-SCRATCHES 6th: MSW, 3yo, 1m-T (P5, P3, DD) Most Likely: #5 Tormenta Fiera 4-1 5th Best Value: #9 Rakete 10-1 9th Next Best: #7 Winds of Bosphorus 9-2 2nd Exotics Use: #4 Parnelli 5-1 4th 7th: ALW/N1X, 3yo-F, 7f (P4, P3, DD) Most Likely: #8 Liberated 4-1 2nd Best Value: #3 Flying Rapunzel 6-1 5th Next Best: #4 Over the Counter 5-1 3rd Exotics Use: #9 Seeking Luck 4-1 6th 8th: OC/N2X, 4+, 6.5f (P3, DD) Very nice group. Yes I'm Awesome cuts back out of serious GP route while returning to scene of ALW win at this trip last fall. Pletcher, whose KY stats have faultered in recent years, has brought 18 horses to the Bluegrass and you'd expect he'll have them poised for success.. Most Likely: #6 Yes I'm Awesome 4-1 7th Best Value: #8 Valediction 15-1 6th Next Best: #3 Luziana Man 12-1 9th Exotics Use: #11 Paso Doble 6-1 10th 9th: Transylvania (G3), 3yo, 8.5f-T (DD) Superb set of sophomore turf routers. Note major rider upgrade on Pyrite Mountain (15-1) who was idled last time at GP against a good group.. Most Likely: #3 Up With the Birds 7-2 2nd Next Best: #7 Fire Guard 4-1 8th Exotics Use: #6 Jack Milton 4-1 WON ($7.20) Super Add: #4 Bambazonki 5-1 6th 10th: CLM, 4+, 6f (Super Hi-5) Most Likely: #2 Marquet Cat 5-2 7th Best Value: #7 Kitchenman 10-1 5th Next Best: #4 Tahoe Warrior 4-1 11th Exotics Use: #3 Calculating Jimmy 7-2 8th @$75 P5 Play: 6: 4-5-7-9 7: 3-4-8-9 8: 6 9: 2-3-4-6-7 10: 2-7 4x4x1x5x2 = 160 x .50 = $80 <$75 P4 Play: 7: 3-4-8-9 8: 3-6-8 9: 2-3-4-6-7-8 10: 2-7 4x3x6x2 = 144 x .50 = $72 Good luck! Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 04-05-2013 at 05:56 PM. 
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#2
04-05-2013, 08:37 AM
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Mike Welsch @DRFWelsch 4m After heavy overnight rain and w/more in forecast all turf races in Rainbow 6 sequence will be taken off now to protect public.#Gulf
Mike Welsch @DRFWelsch 3m "We don't want to reach point we're forced to take turf races off just before or during Rainbow 6," Ritvo said in explaining wise decision.
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Felix Unger talking to Oscar Madison: "Your horse could finish third by 20 lengths and they still pay you? And you have been losing money for all these years?!"
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#3
04-05-2013, 09:27 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#4
04-05-2013, 10:04 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#5
04-05-2013, 10:38 AM
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Quote:
 I'm glad it didn't spend much time on this until now.
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#6
04-05-2013, 10:41 AM
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Quote:
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"Relax, alright? Don't try to strike everybody out. Strikeouts are boring; besides that, they're fascist. Throw some ground balls. It's more democratic."-- Crash Davis
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#8
04-05-2013, 10:53 AM
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Quote:
9th: 2,5,6,9,11,12 10th: 2,6,11 11th: 4,5,10 12th: 3,5,7,9,10 13th: 4,5,7,13
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#9
04-05-2013, 11:03 AM
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Quote:
Race #8 04/05/2013 Gulfstream Park $0.1 Pick-6 # 1 WT # 14 WT # 4,5 WT # 10,11 WT # 6,8,9,12,13 WT # 4 $2.00 correction, leg 3 has two live horses.
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#10
04-05-2013, 11:04 AM
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Quote:
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#11
04-05-2013, 02:40 PM
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Rainbow 6 Ticket....
3-4-6-8-9-10
4 4-5-10-12 3-6-7-9-11-13 8-13 1-2-6-11-12-14 $172.80 Good Luck All!
__________________
"Relax, alright? Don't try to strike everybody out. Strikeouts are boring; besides that, they're fascist. Throw some ground balls. It's more democratic."-- Crash Davis
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