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  #1  
Old 02-20-2013, 08:32 PM
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Interview with Zinko's trainer:
http://www.nzracing.co.nz/SystemTemp...ArticleID=5358
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  #2  
Old 02-20-2013, 10:05 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by _ed_ View Post
Very cool. I had never heard of her before... hope he does well for her.

Okay Alert? You need to keep me up to date!

Getting closer... SO exciting!
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  #3  
Old 02-20-2013, 11:40 PM
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First, yet another filly.

SORIANO

3 f Savabeel - Call Me Lily
Breeder: D Howell
Owner: D Howell
Trainer: Graeme & Debbie Rogerson
Jockey: ??? (was Opie Bosson, but he's gone for Castlzeberg)

14 starts
2 wins
4 seconds
2 thirds

Major races:
1st Eulogy Stakes G3
2nd Eight Carat Classic G2
2nd Sir Tristram Fillies' Classic G2
3rd Royal Stakes G2

Best replay to watch:
Eulogy Stakes, Awapuni, 15 December
http://www.nzracing.co.nz/RaceInfo/4...ce-Detail.aspx

Derby odds: 14.00

+ Not further back than 3rd in her last six starts, all in stakes class.
+ Very stamina-heavy pedigree and running style.

- Again, the not-so-great record for fillies in the Derby in recent years.
- 0-3 against Fix this season, and she has to face that filly again here.
- Hasn't taken on the boys in a stakes race so far this season.

If it hadn't been for Fix, Soriano would probably be the dominant horse through the 3-year-old-filly races this summer - she just keeps being narrowly beaten by her. This could be her best chance of turning the tables on Fix, since it seems like the 2400m will suit her heaps better than it will Fix. But then there's Habibi and a big group of high-class male horses too, and she hasn't faced any of them yet. She could finish strongly into a minor placing, but it's just a bit hard to see her winning this one.
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  #4  
Old 02-22-2013, 02:09 AM
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And here he is...

ALERT

3 g Zabeel - Kay's Awake (multiple G1-placed mare)
Breeder: Monovale Holdings Ltd
Owner: Te Akau Stud
Trainer: Jason Bridgman
Jockey: Matthew Cameron

6 starts
1 win
2 seconds
1 third

Major races:
None

Best replay to watch:
Maiden win, Ellerslie, 12 December
http://www.nzracing.co.nz/RaceInfo/4...ce-Detail.aspx

Derby odds: 16.00

+ All-time great NZ sire (sire of three NZ Derby winners: St Reims, Helene Vitality and Zonda), and his dam was second or third in three G1 races behind the likes of Seachange and Darci Brahma.
+ Running style looks ideally suited to a mile and a half.
+ Seems to be steadily approving and set to peak on Derby day.
+ Te Akau, Bridgman, Cameron is a champion combination.

- Untested against this class of opposition.

With the Kentucky Derby, people every year talk about a 'wise-guy horse' outside the favoured group. If there was one of those in the 2013 New Zealand Derby, it would have to be Alert. He's been steadily improving in the lower grades, slowly but steadily creeping upwards under everyone's radar. He has the pedigree ($150,000 yearling), and he has the owner-trainer-jockey combination. But he hasn't run against anything close to the class of horse he'll be taking on in the Derby, so he has to take a massive step up. But the way he's been running lately just makes it look like he might be capable of doing it. He just might spring a monumental Derby upset.
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  #5  
Old 02-22-2013, 09:43 PM
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Happy you got to Alert and will watch replay tomorrow, as well as the others from today.

One word.

Nashville????????????????

Cheers to Veyron for his 2nd, no idea what happened with Ocean Park. I really had thought Final Touch would win.

Touche.... another replay have not yet watched but had hoped...

Ah well.
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  #6  
Old 02-23-2013, 10:51 PM
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Nashville... Never saw that coming. He's a G2 winner and has always looked talented, but I thought he was out of his depth in that race against those horses. I was wrong!

Touche was a bit unlucky. The winner was really perfectly ridden - stole the race from in front. Touche was flying the last bit, though!

Recite v Bounding - WOW. What a race. One of my favourites of the year so far.

Six days till the Derby! A few more horses to get through.
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  #7  
Old 02-24-2013, 09:23 PM
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DEANE MARTIN

3 g Keeper - Ela Nimue
Breeder: Cambridge Stud
Owner: G J Ashby, A D Burrett, S B Doull, P Hay, R J Limbrick, J H Martin, C Morgan, A C Peard, B J Wallace & D West
Trainer: Bruce Wallace
Jockey: Sam Spratt

9 starts
2 wins
2 seconds
1 third

Major races:
1st Championship Stakes Prelude

Best replay to watch:
Championship Stakes Prelude, Ellerslie, 16 December
http://www.nzracing.co.nz/RaceInfo/4...ce-Detail.aspx

Derby odds: 16.00

+ No doubts about his stamina - pedigree is full of it, and he's won a stakes race over 2100m.

- He had a long break after his OK sixth behind Habibi in the G2 Championship Stakes on 1 January. He just returned last weekend with a good fourth over a mile - his last start before the Derby. Will he be race fit?

Briefly the Derby favourite after his stakes win in December, Deane Martin has faded a little and fallen off the radar so far in 2013. He was a bit disappointing in the Championship Stakes, and then he wasn't seen until just last weekend. So he's something of a mystery horse going into the Derby - will he be race fit? The Championship Stakes was the worst race of his career - was it a fluke bad performance that can be thrown out, or was he out of depth in that class? It's really hard to predict what we're going to get from this horse on Derby day.
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