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#1
12-29-2012, 08:26 AM
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12/29: Santa Anita Park (1st-9th)
Enjoyed strong opening day at Santa Anita Wednesday and despite vacation mode, couldn't resist nice card today. Hope everyone is enjoying the holidays!
SANTA ANITA PARK POST-SCRATCHES 1st: MSW, 2yo, 1m (PL Pick All, P5, P3, DD) Follow up to important HOL event that saw Flashback earn diploma and Mentor Cane show surprising early speed. Appealing Tale & Coastal Breeze exit that affair as well while big buzz player Russdiculous (O'Neill) & Star Billing half Starzilla SCR'D (Sherman) make returns. Great start to day! Most Likely: #4 Mentor Cane 5-2 3rd Best Value: #2 Appealing Tale 5-1 WON ($10.80) Next Best: #6 Dr. Spin 6-1 4th Exotics Use: #3 Russdiculous 6-1 7th 2nd: CLM/N2L, 3+, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD) Best Value: #2 Over Africa 6-1 3rd Next Best: #6 Key Reversal 7-2 5th Exotics Use: #11 Hodge 4-1 6th Super Add: #3 My Last Tycoon 8-1 8th 3rd: MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P3, DD) Best Value: #2 Medusalina 8-1 3rd Next Best: #7 Boller Bomb 7-2 WON ($7.40) Exotics Use: #12 Katy's Star 4-1 10th Super Add: #10 Didrickson 6-1 9th 4th: Cal-MSW, F&M-3+, 6.5f-OFF THE TURF (P6, P3, DD) Most likely: #11 Three Blondes 7-2 4th Next Best: #6 Angel Moon 5-1 3rd Exotics Use: #12 Fabulous Fashion 6-1 DNF 5th: 9th Kalookan Queen H., F&M-3+, 6.5f (P3, DD) Best Value: #4 Going for a Spin 6-1 4th Next Best: #5 Teddy's Promise 2-1 WON ($5.00) Exotics Use: #1 Pink Lollipops 5-2 5th Super Add: #7 Snow Fall 8-1 2nd <$50 P5/P4 Play: 1: 4 --------------- 2: 2-6-11 3: 2-7-10-12 (Add 1-3 for deeper or backup plays) 4: 6-11 5: 1-4-5-7 1x3x4x2x4 = 96 x .50 = $48 6th: 18th Eddie Logan, 2yo, 1m-OFF THE TURF (P4, P3, DD) Good, solid group. Gabriel Charles was one of the BC Weekend successes and holds an esge here.. but just an edge. Several of the off pace runners are within striking range but are going to have to be moved aggressively as the favorite will have first run from his stalking and pouncing position under Talamo.. Most Likely: #8 Gabriel Charles 8-5 2nd Nexy Best: #4 One Firm Cat 5-1 5th Exotics Use: #7 Avare 6-1 WON ($7.60) Super Add: #2 Will True Up 12-1 3rd 7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P3, DD) Very well matched group. If it isn't one of the top 2 choices, it could be any of the next 6. Only Christmas Candy and Catienus Gold seem in a bit over their head and even they're not impossible. Super-quick Magical Band seems to assure an honest pace.. Most Likely: #4 Dress the Part 3-1 4th Next Best: #9 Tiz the Tide 3-1 9th Best Value: #5 Quizzical 8-1 WON ($26.80) Exotics Use: #6 Conkate 15-1 5th 8th: 9th Daytona (G3), 3+, 6.5f-OFF THE TURF (DD) Terrific edition of this. Lots of hard hitters and no shortage of value options. Wilkinson (6-1) to Mullins a heads up trainer switch and cutback types excel over this quirky course.. Most Likely: #3 Comma to the Top 9-2 WON ($5.20) Best Value: #11 Ain't No Other 8-1 3rd Next Best: #10 Wilkinson 6-1 5th Exotics Use: #7 Capital Account 5-1 4th 9th: CLM, 3+, 6.5f (Super Hi-5) Yeesh.. Not the easiest way to end sequence with big cast of cheap in/out types. Old friend Scofield Barracks drops to lowest level ever in search of first '12 win. Hidden Blessing is the most consistent option and other than the Los Al invader, is only true speed.. Most Likely: #3 Hidden Blessing 7-2 6th Best Value: #6 Scofield Barracks 6-1 5th Next Best: #8 Half Dome Dude 4-1 WON ($6.00) Exotics Use: #9 Jeffery's Groove 8-1 11th Hi-5 Play: #2 Dance With Gable 5-1 9th <$50 P4 Play: 6: 4-8 7: 4-5-9 8: 3-7-10-11 9: 3-6-8-9 2x3x4x4 = 96 x .50 = $48 Good luck! Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 12-29-2012 at 06:58 PM. 
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#3
12-29-2012, 10:53 AM
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Thanks for posting your picks!
Vacation mode means relaxation and we appreciate the time it took for the write up. I'm guessing they will not run down the today.
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#4
12-29-2012, 11:55 AM
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Quote:
My pleasure. You're right about the hill.. 4th and 8th (Daytona) are OFF the turf. Eddie Logan remains ON..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#6
12-29-2012, 01:14 PM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 12-29-2012 at 02:11 PM.
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#8
12-29-2012, 01:16 PM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#10
12-29-2012, 01:30 PM
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And now Logan off the turf too...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#11
12-29-2012, 02:14 PM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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