National Presidential Election contest thread

[Rudeboyelvis]

Obama and Romney will take their expected leaning and likely states, leaving a 95 votes up for grabs.

Obama will likely take OH(18) and WI(10).

Romney will likely take CO(9), FL(29), IA(6), NH(4), NV(6), and VA(10)

Final total - Romney 273; Obama 265

[hi_im_god]

Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis

Obama and Romney will take their expected leaning and likely states, leaving a 95 votes up for grabs.

Obama will likely take OH(18) and WI(10).

Romney will likely take CO(9), FL(29), IA(6), NH(4), NV(6), and VA(10)

Final total - Romney 273; Obama 265

i don't see a single poll putting romney ahead in nevada. he's between 2.5 to 4.1 behind in most models. it's certainly not beyond a romney get but that seems like the longest stretch in what you're assuming. ohio looks tighter than nevada.

[Rudeboyelvis]

Originally Posted by hi_im_god

i don't see a single poll putting romney ahead in nevada. he's between 2.5 to 4.1 behind in most models. it's certainly not beyond a romney get but that seems like the longest stretch in what you're assuming. ohio looks tighter than nevada.

The most recent poll for Nevada that I can find (NBC News / WSJ / Marist College) show 50-47 Obama with a 2% uncommitted and margin of error of +/- 5%.

If you want to make that bet, be my guest.

[Rudeboyelvis]

Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis

The most recent poll for Nevada that I can find (NBC News / WSJ / Marist College) show 50-47 Obama with a 2% uncommitted and margin of error of +/- 5%.

If you want to make that bet, be my guest.

The most recent OH numbers are much closer, as I'mgod alluded to - the two most recent (10/28) polls:

Grove - 48/45 Obama
Rasmussen - 50-48 Romney

So it may well come down to who wins OH, but this notion that Obama can win the EC without OH does not add up.

[Riot]

Let's leave the contest open until day before election day - why not?

So far:

311 Romney - joeydb
291 Obama - hi im god
288 Obama - Riot
287 Obama - Ocala Mike
281 Obama - dalakhani
273 Romney - Rudeboyelvis
269 tie to Romney - clipclop

[dylbert]

Romney = 274

[Riot]

Originally Posted by dylbert

Romney = 274

Originally Posted by Riot

Let's leave the contest open until day before election day - why not?

So far:

311 Romney - joeydb
291 Obama - hi im god
288 The Egyption - Riot(Jihadist)
287 Obama - Ocala Mike
281 Obama - dalakhani
273 Romney - Rudeboyelvis
269 tie to Romney - clipclop
Jimmy Cracked Corn himself does not care-pointmanscousin

4444

[Rupert Pupkin]

Romney 278