Wagering Strategy for Breeders Cup - Page 2

MaTH716 · #21 10-25-2012, 06:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cal828

Don't have much of a bankroll, so probably will just be playing the last 4 races on Saturday unless, of course, I succumb to temptation which is fairly likely. This was my plan last year and it quickly went to hell in a handbag.

Why wait? Try to find the race/sequance that you feel like you have the best opinion in and hopefully you hit.

cal828 · #22 10-25-2012, 07:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MaTH716

Why wait? Try to find the race/sequance that you feel like you have the best opinion in and hopefully you hit.

I think that the races on Saturday will be more formful and I will be more familiar with the horses in the races that I mentioned and therefore, those are the races in which I may have the best opinion. I will probably scan the other races, but unless I see something glaring, I think I will confine may play to Saturday, but who knows, I am probably lying to myself. Hard to stay on the sidelines.

santana · #23 10-25-2012, 10:45 PM

Looks like a pretty playable pik 6 and pik 4 this year. AND IF I AM ALIVE EITHER ...WHICH I PROBABLY WONT BE ...LOL...dude is a single on the end...

goodcopy · #24 10-25-2012, 11:36 PM

Small Late Pick 4
Race#9= POINT OF ENTRY/ST NICHOLAS ABBEY/THE FUGUE/TRAILBLAZER
Race#10=AMAZOMBIE/EMCEE/FAST BULLET
Race#11=EXCELEBRATION/WISE DAN
Race#12=GAME ON DUDE/
@.50 per=$12.00
Late Spread Pick 4
Race#9= POINT OF ENTRY/ST NICHOLAS ABBEY/THE FUGUE/TRAILBLAZER/TREASURE BEACH/SHARETA/LITTLE MIKE/DULLAHAN/
Race#10=AMAZOMBIE/EMCEE/FAST BULLET/TRINNIBERG/THE LUMBER GUY/SUM OF THE PARTS/SECOND CITY/COIL
Race#11=EXCELEBRATION/WISE DAN/WILLCOX INN/TURBO COMPRESSOR/TRAILBLAZER/OBVIOUSLY/MOONLIGHT CLOUD/LITTLE MIKE
Race#12=GAME ON DUDE/RON THE GREEK/FORT LARNED

@$.50per=$762.00 for all combos(Not the way you would play a "Spead Ticket I.E."TicketMaker" by Daily Racingform)

RockHardTen1985 · #25 10-25-2012, 11:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by goodcopy

Small Late Pick 4
Race#9= POINT OF ENTRY/ST NICHOLAS ABBEY/THE FUGUE/TRAILBLAZER
Race#10=AMAZOMBIE/EMCEE/FAST BULLET
Race#11=EXCELEBRATION/WISE DAN
Race#12=GAME ON DUDE/
@.50 per=$12.00
Late Spread Pick 4
Race#9= POINT OF ENTRY/ST NICHOLAS ABBEY/THE FUGUE/TRAILBLAZER/TREASURE BEACH/SHARETA/LITTLE MIKE/DULLAHAN/
Race#10=AMAZOMBIE/EMCEE/FAST BULLET/TRINNIBERG/THE LUMBER GUY/SUM OF THE PARTS/SECOND CITY/COIL
Race#11=EXCELEBRATION/WISE DAN/WILLCOX INN/TURBO COMPRESSOR/TRAILBLAZER/OBVIOUSLY/MOONLIGHT CLOUD/LITTLE MIKE
Race#12=GAME ON DUDE/RON THE GREEK/FORT LARNED

@$.50per=$762.00 for all combos(Not the way you would play a "Spead Ticket I.E."TicketMaker" by Daily Racingform)

Dullahan has no shot to win any race that he is entered in. Same w/ Little Mike. Triniberg? Another toss for me. Treasure Beach, another toss.
That saves you a few bucks.

Port Conway Lane · #26 10-26-2012, 12:19 AM

Treasure Beach/little Mike/dullahan/
Trinniberg/
All/
All

RockHardTen1985 · #27 10-26-2012, 12:26 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Port Conway Lane

Treasure Beach/little Mike/dullahan/
Trinniberg/
All/
All

Ill donate $100 to any charity of your choice if any of those horses run even 1-2.

Port Conway Lane · #28 10-26-2012, 12:45 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985

Ill donate $100 to any charity of your choice if any of those horses run even 1-2.

Permanently Disabled Jockeys Fund
www.pdjf.org

RockHardTen1985 · #29 10-26-2012, 01:10 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Port Conway Lane

Permanently Disabled Jockeys Fund
www.pdjf.org

Deal.

pmayjr · #30 10-26-2012, 01:49 AM

I did pretty well last year with a limited bankroll (like $300). I was putting $10 and $20 WP bets on longshots, playing $2 exacta boxes with 3-4 horses depending on the race. And played a few trifectas in deep races where I thought I could get ambitious. Turned $300 into $900 by the end of the weekend. Hitting Wrote and Drosslemeyer win bets had a lot to do with it. I didn't hit any of my homerun bets, but the wins were still healthy.

I've never been much of a pick3/pick4 player, and won't be on BC Weekend. The BC Mile result just shows how that can go in the tank so fast.

RockHardTen1985 · #31 10-26-2012, 07:00 AM

My plan is to get up to the racino around 11am. Crush Aqueduct and have an even better bankroll for the Cup races.
3-3-3 $1 pick 3's. 2-2 $5-10$ doubles pressing the horses I like most in the pick 3's. Thats my plan.
Anyone going up to Saratoga can hang with yours truly.

Danzig · #32 10-26-2012, 07:18 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985

Ill donate $100 to any charity of your choice if any of those horses run even 1-2.

and a man of his word will certainly not fail to do so if the money comes due.

RockHardTen1985 · #33 10-26-2012, 07:20 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Danzig

and a man of his word will certainly not fail to do so if the money comes due.

This is different. Ill tell you what, since you have always had issue with me.....Ill send you the money if any of those horses run 1-2.

Danzig · #34 10-26-2012, 07:57 AM

tanner12oz · #35 10-26-2012, 09:55 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MaTH716

These are the best two days to cast your nets wider than usual and hope to catch the big one.

^^^^^THIS

seriously 100 picks 3's 500 pick 4's....take the shot...its cup day =) money there for the taking but ya gotta spread because its always a challenging card

tanner12oz · #36 10-26-2012, 09:57 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by richard

I agree. Excessive spreading means you should pass on the bet. Try a quick pick instead.

spreading is the only way to score the $100 horses on top...seriously whose betting those as there "top selection"??

tanner12oz · #37 10-26-2012, 10:00 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985

My plan is to get up to the racino around 11am. Crush Aqueduct and have an even better bankroll for the Cup races.
3-3-3 $1 pick 3's. 2-2 $5-10$ doubles pressing the horses I like most in the pick 3's. Thats my plan.
Anyone going up to Saratoga can hang with yours truly.

lol this plan never works...cant tell you how many times i have gotten crushed the day before a triple crown race because i was "padding the roll for tomorrow"

casp0555 · #38 10-26-2012, 12:36 PM

I heard this strategy on Talkin' Horses one day, I believe it was Dave Litfin that said "Bet small, Win Big!!" which was countered by Andy "Bet Big, Win Huge!!". I could try these simple suggestions but problem is.....I dont ever win

I think I will stick with flippin' a coin

Dahoss · #39 10-26-2012, 02:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tanner12oz

spreading is the only way to score the $100 horses on top...seriously whose betting those as there "top selection"??

People who bet their top selection to win? If you like a horse, who cares how high the odds are?

Indian Charlie · #40 10-26-2012, 03:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dahoss

People who bet their top selection to win? If you like a horse, who cares how high the odds are?

There is a common perception among horseplayers that if a horse they like is too high in odds, something must be wrong with it.

That whole dead on the board thing.

I stopped doing that the first (and only) time I talked myself off a $50 winner.