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#1
07-25-2012, 04:51 AM
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7/25: Saratoga ($54k C/O; Lake George)
SARATOGA RACE COURSE
POST-SCRATCHES 1st: CLM, 3yo-F, 6f (P3, DD) Barn changes, droppers, in/out form makes this a curious assembly.. Most Likely: #6 Annelle 3-1 4th Best Value: #8 World Premier 6-1 3rd Next Best: #5 Grand Entry 4-1 5th Exotics Use: #3 Mess in a Dress 8-1 WON ($14.40) 2nd: S/HCP, 3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD) Most Likely: #4 Itsagoodtendollars 3-1 3rd Next Best: #5 Hillswick 2-1 WON ($5.00) Exotics Use: #1 Maui Mark 5-2 5th 3rd: MDN CLM, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD) Group is a mish mash of non-winners and it appears likely that it will be someones like Dendrite's or Superstrella's turn for a photograph though Succinct and and Street Ballad are making just their 2nd turf route starts. Wagon Train (Gone West) is a Weaver-Dogwood firster out of the nice Schosberg stakes mare Mossflower who won the '98 Hempstead when it was a G1 and placed behind Heritage of Gold in the Diana and Soaring Softly in the Flower Bowl. Unfortunately, she has been completely unproductive and unlucky as a broodmare.. Best Value: #8 Street Ballad 12-1 4th Next Best: #5 Superstrella 2-1 2nd Exotics Use: #6 Dendrite 7-2 6th Super Add: #4 Knock Rock 20-1 WON ($13.80) 4th: CLM, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD) 7 of 10 move from dirt to turf and A Time to Love goes Tapeta (PID) to turf. She's Gosphel, Double the Energy, Leading Citizen and Union Boss all try lawn for first time with Double the Energy a notable first for tag. Wide open.. Best Value: #5 Leading Citizen 15-1 5th Next Best: #4 Double the Energy 6-1 WON ($8.60) Exotics Use: #1 A Time to Love 7-2 3rd Super Add: #9 Union Boss 5-1 7th 5th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5f (P6, P3, DD) $54k C/O starts here.. As Andy Serling suggested on ATR, watch the board for possible hints in this group of babies with rather modest pedigrees. The connections types -- Asmussen, Pletcher, Violette -- seem imperative, with Rudy Rod FTS on rail intriguing. Johnny Velazquez returns to the oval today taking calls on Lucky Friend for Pletcher and Stefanie's Kitten later in the Lake George for Catalano.. Most Likely: #7 Lucky Friend 2-1 4th Next Best: #8 Teen Pauline 3-1 WON ($6.80) Best Value: #9 High Inflation 5-1 8th Exotics Use: #10 Late SCR (11:38a) <$75 P4 Play: 2: 1-4-5 3: 4-5-6-8 4: 1-4-5-9 5: 7-8-9 3x4x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72 $0.50 Pick 4 (3,5/4/4/8) Paid $348.25 6th: OC/S-ALW, 3yo, 1m-IT (G/S, P3, DD) Best Value: #2 Key to Power 8-1 3rd Next Best: #7 Magical Season 3-1 4th-DH Exotics Use: #10 Hobbs 8-1 WON ($13.00) Super Add: #5 Hear the Word 8-1 8th .10 SUPER: 2 with 5-6-7-9-10 with 5-6-7-9-10 with ALL (1x5x4x7) = 140 . 10 = $14.00 7th: MDN CLM, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD) Droppers, debuters, first off claimers, et al, make this a scramble.. Most Likely: #4 Redemption Road 7-2 WON ($8.50) Best Value: #14 Seminole County 10-1 4th Next Best: #6 Revere 4-1 5th Exotics Use: #1 Love in the Rain 5-1 9th 8th: OC/N3X, 3+, 9f (P3, DD) Strong group. Not sure why Ruler On Ice deserves 8-5 status.. Best Value: #5 Schoolyard Dreams 6-1 3rd Next Best: #6 Cease 5-2 WON ($5.60) Exotics Use: #3 Ruler On Ice 8-5 6th Super Add: #7 Golden Gulch 8-1 2nd 9th: 18th Lake George (G2), 3yo-F, 8.5f-T (DD) Fun, interesting edition of this. Stefanie's Kitten is solid despite little improvement from her best 2yo form. Centre Court has been advancing steadily since her switch to turf. Schwartz brings yet another Euro filly to N. America in Samitar. Pletcher has undefeated -- and largely unknown -- Wertheimer homebred Medolina lurking. Is today the day to play with Somali Lemonade? She will finally be an acceptable price at 12-1 and there's a chance with a lot of pace pressers that things heat up on the backstretch to give her a chance to rally. You sense that Rosario will lose ground on her though and that is the last thing she needs.. Most Likely: #2 Stefanie's Kitten 5-2 4th Next Best: #3 Centre Court 4-1 WON ($7.50) Best Value: #7 Somali Lemonade 12-1 6th Exotics Use: #6 Samitar 3-1 3rd 10th: CLM, 3+, 1m-IT Best Value: #3 Fisherman's Wharf 6-1 WON ($8.50) Next Best: #1 Beckham Bend 5-2 5th Exotics Use: #6 Annawon 7-2 3rd Super Add: #5 Kutais 30-1 7th <$200 P6 Play: 5: 7 6: 2-7 7: 4-6-14 8: 5-6 9: 2-3 10: 1-3 1x2x3x2x2x2 = 72 x $2 = $144 <$75 P4 Play: 7: 1-3-4-6-12-14 8: 5-6 9: 2-3-6-7 10: 1-3-6 6x2x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72 $0.50 Pick 4 (4,9,10,11/6/3/3) Paid $141.00 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 07-25-2012 at 05:42 PM. 
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#2
07-25-2012, 06:18 AM
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Good luck Steve. I really like the Rick V in the 5th.
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#3
07-25-2012, 10:15 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#4
07-25-2012, 10:46 AM
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Never mind - wasn't on my initial scratch list - they originally had the 10 out of the 5th and Terranova's Curlin firster drawing in...Now the 10 isn't a scratch...
Curlin is off to a nice beginning: 1-2-1 from 5 starts
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#5
07-25-2012, 02:33 PM
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Good job Steve
 I singled the 7, didn't work out
__________________
"Let the whiners and lazy cry about how impossible "they've" made it to win at this game." - Steve Byk
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#7
07-25-2012, 02:43 PM
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Nice Job on the pick 4 Steve, still scratching my head on Knock Rock.
__________________
Felix Unger talking to Oscar Madison: "Your horse could finish third by 20 lengths and they still pay you? And you have been losing money for all these years?!"
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#10
07-25-2012, 03:24 PM
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Quote:
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#12
07-25-2012, 03:37 PM
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Quote:
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#19
07-25-2012, 05:33 PM
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While Serling was against Hobbs, he was pretty adamant about Cease and Centre Court. In both cases he was pointing out vulnerable favorites (based on ML) which seems to be his main objective (my opinion).
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#20
07-25-2012, 05:54 PM
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....and again
__________________
"Let the whiners and lazy cry about how impossible "they've" made it to win at this game." - Steve Byk
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