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#1
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The most surprising thing about that spreadsheet is that the 12 horse Churchill Downs out-handled the 13 horse Woodford Reserve in every exotic pool. Must have been all that money from people like me who bet Capt. Candyman Can and got one of the worst rides of Calvin Borel's career.
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#2
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Bombs away last year.
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Do I think Charity can win? Well, I am walking around in yesterday's suit. |
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#3
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Quote:
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@BDiDonatoTDN |
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#4
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They showed it last year.
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#5
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It's usually the Manhattan that gets blacked out pre-Belmont.
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The world's foremost expert on virtually everything on the Redskins 2010 season: "Im going to go out on a limb here. I say they make the playoffs." |
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#6
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It just kills me we can't bet a dime super on either day.
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#7
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I'm for getting rid of dime supers and .50 P4's all-together. Can anyone truly say that their ROI on P4's has improved since they have gone the .50 route? People spend just as much playing .50 as they would a dollar get more combinations and IMLHO severly watered down payouts. I wish the industry or DRF would publish a study of .50 P4's. I do realize I won't get any support on my position but that is how I see it.
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"We aren't being Governed, we are being Looted" Unkown |
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#8
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That said, I know my personal action is dictated a lot by minimums. I never venture in a Superfecta pool where there isn't a dime minimum. Only rarely. And I appreciate my ability to get more action on a 50-cent Trifecta vs. a $1 minimum pool. Sure you win less, but in general people would rather win, even if it's less, with less risk than the opposite. |
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#9
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For example if I was to play the late DD at Hollywood 5x5 it would cost me $50. How much can I expect from my dollar if a $14 horse wins one of the legs and a 5-2 second choice wins the other? I'll get my money back plus a few bucks. On the same racecard I instead decide to play the late pick 4 1x1x5x5. My investment is $12.50 and I hit the first two legs. I can now compare the p-4 payout for $.50 to a $12 DD in legs 1 and 2. In most cases the $12 DD in legs 1 and 2 will pay very close to the $.50 p-4 payout. It is the races in which I spread that determines my profit margin. The way I see it is that the lower the minimum the more amateur money gets into the pools. |
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#10
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Churchill for the longest time (up until the mid 80's) did not offer Daily Double wagers on Derby day for the exact same reason as the Trifecta and Superfecta are $1 these two days, they didn't want people stuck at the windows for the longest time.
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#11
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I think the payoffs take a tiny hit with the Trifecta's but, it is a fair trade off to help avoid taxable tickets. I can't speak for everyone but, I have hit at least three Pick 4's this year that I would have never had if the bet had been at a $1 minimum. They all paid me over four figures. I have also avoided paying taxes in 5 or 6 other situations by using multiple fifty cent punches on the same ticket. |
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#12
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Disagree. I like the fact the minimums are higher on this big day. Encourages players to go for gusto with some monster scores possible from $1 super plays.
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#13
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I think it's like that to discourage people from holding up betting lines with a bunch of 10cent super part-wheels.
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#14
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