Bounce theory

Wow. Good stuff Elvis.

[Rudeboyelvis]

Originally Posted by v j stauffer

Wow. Good stuff Elvis.

Thanks Vic.

The race just concluded - Royally Sweet could not have gotten a better trip under Goncalves, and looked like she would have no excuse at top of the stretch - but as expected, she faded quickly and wound up beating only one home.







She went off at 7-1 and actually took more money that the eventual 7-1 winner, who figured as well, but did not have this predictable bounce pattern in her form.

So this turned out to be a pretty practical example of "bounce theory" after all. take it or leave it, but it works for me

Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis

Thanks Vic.

The race just concluded - Royally Sweet could not have gotten a better trip under Goncalves, and looked like he would have no excuse at top of the stretch - but as expected, he faded quickly and wound up beating only one home.






He went off at 7-1 and actually took more money that the eventual 7-1 winner, who figured as well, but did not have this predictable bounce pattern in her form.

So this turned out to be a pretty practical example of "bounce theory" after all. take it or leave it, but it works for me

Very interesting your observation of the race. Many trainers have told me they think the actual reaction to the previous huge effort doesn't happen until the exact moment the pressure is on to step up and do it again. Like at the quarter pole of the next race.

They eat well, they look well, they train strong, they're sitting perfect..................Nuthin.

Here's one thing that's an absolute fact. Whether bouncing does or does not exsist the theory has radically changed the game. Trainers get the Thoro-graph and Ragozin numbers and mark their charts and condition books as a direct result of those numbers.

[tiggerv]

Pace is the reason for a significant percentage of "bounces". Speed figures never tell the entire story.