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#1
11-02-2011, 02:55 PM
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__________________
"I guess it comes down to a simple choice, really. Get busy livin' or get busy dyin'." 
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#2
11-02-2011, 04:25 PM
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I'm a little concerned for this as well, because it seems as I look over these races I'm liking a lot of the horses coming out of Cali and specifically Santa Anita. I'd like to think that yes, dirt is dirt, but then again... I was a sucker for Midnight Interlude in the Derby. In the end, if I think they're good enough it's not gonna stop me just because they came out of SA. I'd like to think each horse can individually handle or not handle the surface.
__________________
Facebook- Peter May Jr. Twitter- @pmayjr You wouldn't be ballin' if your name was Spauldin' If y'all fresh to death, then I'm deceased...
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#3
11-02-2011, 04:44 PM
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#4
11-02-2011, 04:51 PM
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Turbulent Descent. She's good, but I like 2 others just as much.
__________________
Do I think Charity can win? Well, I am walking around in yesterday's suit.
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#5
11-02-2011, 05:46 PM
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The Turf Sprint - The logical horses drew outside and will still be bet. The key race is the October 8th 5th race at Keeneland. Four are coming out of that one and I give all but Great Attack big shots (Perfect Officer, Country Day and Havelock). I also give Regally Ready and Hoofit (if he goes at near his 15 - 1 m/l he's a steal) shots. That is a large group of five but there is a mix short and long prices here and with money going to two former champs and Carcortodo this other group may float up. I will be using these 5 in multi race (part of the early Saturday Pick 4/pick 3s and doubles) bets and verticals.
The Dirt Mile - no one should take a short price of any of these as only one (Jersey Town) has won a race at a flat mile this year. So toss the two m/l favorites Trappe Shot and The Factor. A couple of interesting ones here look to be Wilbur and Tapizar and I will build around them. Generally speaking keep tabs on Mott and Asmussen's runners as each looks to be coming into the races ready and may offer value. The F & M Turf - With the top European females headed to the Turf, the North American runners may have a shot. Although Stacelita will be tough, Dubawi Heights will get things her own way and the Motion horses are always ready the one I am looking at for value is Perfect Shirl. In her last she ran a TG number that matched the m/l favorite, finished 1/2 length behind next out winner Never Retreat and 3 lengths ahead of next out winner Miss Keller. I am concerned about pace as she needs to close into it but when Attfield decided to send Miss Keller to WO and this one here I'm sure he knew what he was doing. 30 - 1 m/l and my guess is go off at more like 45 - 1.
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#6
11-03-2011, 12:06 AM
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__________________
please use generalizations and non-truths when arguing your side, thank you
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#7
11-03-2011, 12:40 AM
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Turbulent Descent at 6-5 is a joke. Her Test was outstanding, but other than that she hasn't done anything special, and she's got too many layoff lines in her form for me to trust her at a short price. I'd even take Switch or Pomeroys Pistol over her at even odds, and I think several others have legitimate chances in that race.
I think Misty For Me has a big shot to steal the F&M Turf on the lead, even from the 12-hole. Haven't looked at Saturday yet.
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#8
11-03-2011, 01:18 AM
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Quote:
__________________
"I guess it comes down to a simple choice, really. Get busy livin' or get busy dyin'."
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#9
11-02-2011, 06:25 PM
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Aside from that, none of the Santa Anita horses that are going to the BC have run exclusively at Santa Anita, thus they already have racing form over other dirt surfaces. Then again, Game On Dude has only won this year at Santa Anita despite running at 5 different tracks during his campaign.
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