Breeders Cup Handicapping Thoughts.

[Linny]

I agree with Calzone on TD. Too many questions as a likely short price. Switch looks like the obvious alternative. I'm looking for some sort of potential bomb underneath in this race as nce you get by the top 2 or 3 it's very wide open.

In the JFTurf, I'll keep Dayatthespa in the mix for exotics. Her Natalma from post 11 was not bad at all and she showed some rating gear sprinting at Saratoga in her debut. Chad Brown has plenty of experience at the big dance an Ramon rides.

[fantini33]

Originally Posted by Linny

I agree with Calzone on TD. Too many questions as a likely short price. Switch looks like the obvious alternative. I'm looking for some sort of potential bomb underneath in this race as nce you get by the top 2 or 3 it's very wide open.

In the JFTurf, I'll keep Dayatthespa in the mix for exotics. Her Natalma from post 11 was not bad at all and she showed some rating gear sprinting at Saratoga in her debut. Chad Brown has plenty of experience at the big dance an Ramon rides.

Thought Dayatthespa warrants some attention. IMO, Ramon gave her a pretty impatient ride up at Woodbine (maybe out of circumstances), only to get caught by a couple late. Would probably not have tired if not for being hustled into a close stalking trip from the wide post. Could sit a nice trip here at a price.

[Clip-Clop]

Originally Posted by Linny

I agree with Calzone on TD. Too many questions as a likely short price. Switch looks like the obvious alternative. I'm looking for some sort of potential bomb underneath in this race as nce you get by the top 2 or 3 it's very wide open.

In the JFTurf, I'll keep Dayatthespa in the mix for exotics. Her Natalma from post 11 was not bad at all and she showed some rating gear sprinting at Saratoga in her debut. Chad Brown has plenty of experience at the big dance an Ramon rides.

I am seriously considering Champagne d'Oro as my underneath bomb in the FM Sprint, hoping she hasn't fallen off as far as she appears to have. Cannot think they are running her just to run.

[ateamstupid]

Good stuff as always.

I'm taking a long look at Pomeroys Pistol in the FMS.

[asudevil]

Calzone,

Keep it coming!!

Always an insightful commentary.

[Linny]

I'm digging through the FM Sprint now and I think that even if Switch or TD win (I prefer the former) the underneath spots could be filled by bombs. The tri's could be rich. Tanda and Tamarind Hall are interesting to me in underneath spots.

Since I'm a TRI/SPR player I'm also planning on using Shumoos in the Juv. Sprint. This is a dirt bred filly who has only run on grass and poly. Opinions?

[parsixfarms]

Not too keen about Stopshoppingmaria in Fillies Turf. While I love More Than Ready as a turf sire, the female side of her family looks like "sprint" to me. The best siblings, including Sand Ridge, were all sprinters. While the mare produced a few minor winners on turf, none of the six horses out of the second dam that tried the grass won over that surface. This is a non-confident placement for a filly that could win a championship with a win in the dirt counterpart.

If I am going to use a horse who hasn't tried turf, I'd be inclined to look at Glen Hill's Customer Base. After a good-looking, well-bet maiden win, they tried to get pricey daughter of Lemon Drop Kid to the turf, but race was washed off. Tough post is biggest knock, but price should be right.

Well-drawn Dayatthespa looks like the horse to beat off good second in Natalma, in which she was the only horse near the strong pace who was around at the finish. Flattered when third-place finisher returned to win Alcibiades.

[wild barry]

Originally Posted by Linny

I'm digging through the FM Sprint now and I think that even if Switch or TD win (I prefer the former) the underneath spots could be filled by bombs. The tri's could be rich. Tanda and Tamarind Hall are interesting to me in underneath spots.

Since I'm a TRI/SPR player I'm also planning on using Shumoos in the Juv. Sprint. This is a dirt bred filly who has only run on grass and poly. Opinions?

I give Shumoos a good chance. I have seen alot of Distorted Humor offspring run very well at Churchill Downs. Good Luck.

[VOL JACK]

Originally Posted by wild barry

I give Shumoos a good chance. I have seen alot of Distorted Humor offspring run very well at Churchill Downs. Good Luck.

I have heard more this week about how certain Sires produce runners that run well at CD.
I believe in pedigree angles a much as anyone but, isn't this going a little too far.