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  #1  
Old 10-28-2006, 06:47 PM
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Bernardini Bernardini is offline
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Which brings us to how these horses prepared for BCC?? Bernardini was pulled off the lead, and Lava Man was put to lead. Invasor has been outta action for sometime, seems more fitting for him to stay away from any pace scenario. GW and DJ questionable on dirt, but EU horses traditionally come off the pace. Prefect Drift stays away from the lead as well. If I put the cards together, the pace will be slow, who ever breaks on top inherits the lead. Here are my possible front runners: Premium Tap, Sauve, Lawyer Ron, and Brother Derek... I think they will pull Lava off and same goes for the other two favorites(dini and invasor). And now for the eventual winner: “Lava Man” though I will be pulling for Bernardini and Perfect Drift.
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  #2  
Old 10-28-2006, 10:45 PM
sirbarton
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bernardini
Which brings us to how these horses prepared for BCC?? Bernardini was pulled off the lead, and Lava Man was put to lead. Invasor has been outta action for sometime, seems more fitting for him to stay away from any pace scenario. GW and DJ questionable on dirt, but EU horses traditionally come off the pace. Prefect Drift stays away from the lead as well. If I put the cards together, the pace will be slow, who ever breaks on top inherits the lead. Here are my possible front runners: Premium Tap, Sauve, Lawyer Ron, and Brother Derek... I think they will pull Lava off and same goes for the other two favorites(dini and invasor). And now for the eventual winner: “Lava Man” though I will be pulling for Bernardini and Perfect Drift.
I've been hoping for a quick pace in this race, but as I study PPs I'm beginning to think that it will be more of a controlled pace with a host of horses involved. I'm starting to think that this one will be decided by who makes their final move (among the leaders/stalkers) at the right time. A mistimed move, be it too early or too late, will be fatal
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  #3  
Old 10-28-2006, 10:48 PM
Danzig Danzig is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by sirbarton
I've been hoping for a quick pace in this race, but as I study PPs I'm beginning to think that it will be more of a controlled pace with a host of horses involved. I'm starting to think that this one will be decided by who makes their final move (among the leaders/stalkers) at the right time. A mistimed move, be it too early or too late, will be fatal
love your name btw...if any horse has been 'forgotten', it's your namesake!
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  #4  
Old 10-28-2006, 11:08 PM
sirbarton
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Danzig188
love your name btw...if any horse has been 'forgotten', it's your namesake!
Thanks. I had a hard time finding names for message boards, etc. because all the recent names were already taken. I even tried thundergulch, not that I bet on him in the Derby--BUT MY MOM HAD ME MAKE A BET ON HIM! She gave me ten bucks and said "bet on that horse named thunder-something for me." Should've listened to her. Anyway, I decided to go way back in time for a name, hoping I would hit on one that nobody had. Plus the "barton" rhymes with my last name.
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  #5  
Old 10-28-2006, 10:49 PM
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dalakhani dalakhani is offline
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Im thinking quick pace unless some of you think that these horses will get a lobotomy before the BC. Or perhaps you think they will fan out seven wide stalking just behind the leader because many of these dont want to run midpack.

46 half and 1:11 for the mile.

Last edited by dalakhani : 10-28-2006 at 11:09 PM.
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  #6  
Old 10-28-2006, 11:09 PM
sirbarton
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dalakhani
Im thinking quick pace unless some of you think that these horses will get a lobobomy before the BC. Or perhaps you think they will fan out seven wide stalking just behind the leader because many of these dont want to run midpack.

46 half and 1:11 for the mile.
Believe me, I hope you're right. I've got a couple that I want to play that will definitely come from off the pace.
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  #7  
Old 10-28-2006, 11:58 PM
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SundayStar SundayStar is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dalakhani
Im thinking quick pace unless some of you think that these horses will get a lobotomy before the BC. Or perhaps you think they will fan out seven wide stalking just behind the leader because many of these dont want to run midpack.

46 half and 1:11 for the mile.
that mile split is faster than my yugo
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  #8  
Old 10-29-2006, 12:09 AM
SniperSB23 SniperSB23 is offline
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If Perfect Drift hits the top three in the Classic I will change my signature to "I am a complete idiot for not realizing that hell has just frozen over to allow Perfect Drift to run top three in the Classic" or whatever more complimentary signature the Perfect Drift fans would prefer. I hope that when he doesn't hit the board they put something up to the effect of "I'm a stupid goo-goo and was totally wrong about Perfect Drift".
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  #9  
Old 10-29-2006, 08:13 AM
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Thunder Gulch Thunder Gulch is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SniperSB23
If Perfect Drift hits the top three in the Classic I will change my signature to "I am a complete idiot for not realizing that hell has just frozen over to allow Perfect Drift to run top three in the Classic" or whatever more complimentary signature the Perfect Drift fans would prefer. I hope that when he doesn't hit the board they put something up to the effect of "I'm a stupid goo-goo and was totally wrong about Perfect Drift".
If it gets hot up front, I think he has a shot. Considering he has hit the board in 9 of 9 at CD (1 win), and considering he hit the board in previous BC attempt, it's tough not to give him some sort of shot.
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  #10  
Old 10-29-2006, 05:45 AM
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Round Pen Round Pen is offline
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THe Pace factor here is all About Lawyer Ron will he or won't he be able to Rate. I realize his works with Pletcher have been a little slower so obviously they are trying to get him to relax but it is a whole different ballgame in the afternoon. If LR reverts to his old self out of the gate and grabs ahold of the bit we could be looking at pretty quick fractions if he does relax who knows what will happen.
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  #11  
Old 10-29-2006, 07:26 AM
todko todko is offline
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If Lawyer Ron goes I hope McKee doesn't attempt to strangle him back. That never works anyway. It's tough to get horses like Lawyer Ron to rate -- any trainer will tell you that to teach a horse to rate is one of the toughest things to do. Once the gate opens, the horse usually reverts to its natural running style.

The 14 horse field, the large crowd, and the commotion in general will add to the difficulty in getting some of the horses to rate.

I'm not convinced at this point that a quick pace is going to help the favorites in this race.
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  #12  
Old 10-29-2006, 12:40 AM
sirbarton
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SundayStar
that mile split is faster than my yugo
Hell, I'm faster than your yugo (but not much)
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