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#1
09-01-2011, 05:57 AM
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9/1: Saratoga (Day 35; With Anticipation; $100k P6)
Fun day of racing started at 1p with Hammock winning the New York opener, and didn't end until after 8:30p when Mudville Nine topped the Del Mar nightcap. The P6's at both venues proved as challenging as anticipated, with 5 Saratoga winners receiving $57k for their efforts while only 2 California players tamed their sextet to the tune of $620k! I could only place 3 winners on either ticket, and though the big prizes proved elusive, a few nice hits brightened the afternoon on the two coasts. In the second leg at Del Mar, landing on U. C. Merced Two as a P6 single proved a godsend, as Jimmy Kasparoff's charge emerged late to score for a $25.40 win tote. The P3 with favorites in the next pair was good for nearly $150, and more than covered all of the late day action.
Earlier at the Spa, I was rolling through the card pretty neatly until the latest stages where I missed the P4 anchor leg. A few P3's kept the ledger balanced with $8.40 Alaura Michele and $7.50 Risky Rachel coming in particularly handy. Hope everyone did well and enjoyed the start of the closing weeks on the two coasts! Another 11 at the Old Spa Thursday, with the last $100k P6 guarantee and jump event of the meet on tap. SARATOGA POST-SCRATCHES 1st: OC/C, 4+, 16.5f-Nat'l Fences (P3, DD) Most Likely: #8 Dugan 4-1 6th Best Value: #2e (POE) Well Fashioned 5-1 8th/5th Next Best: #3e Fisher entry 3-1 4th/7th Exotics Use: #9 Here Comes Art 5-1 WON ($9.90) 2nd: MSW, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #1 Self Control 4-1 WON ($7.40) Best Value: #3 Piscesbymoonlight 5-1 4th Exotics Use: #5 Trolius 7-2 3rd Super Add: #2 Volition 10-1 7th 3rd: Ann Claire-NY, 2yo-F, 6f (P3, DD) Most Likely: #3 Victory Island 6-5 3rd Next Best: #1e Serpe/Flying Zee entry 4-1 WON/4th ($7.80) Exotics Use: #4 Why Take a Chance 8-1 3rd 4th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 9f-IT (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #4 Humadea 2-1 2nd Next Best: #5 Star Torina 5-2 4th Best Value: #8 Up in Lights 20-1 3rd Super Add: #1 Loure 6-1 7th 5th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD, Super) Best Value: #2 A Rod 12-1 8th Next Best: #8 Jack's Work 7-2 2nd Exotics Use: #3 Skinny Peter 6-1 3rd Super Add: #12 Hot Pursuit 6-1 6th <$75 P4 Play: 2: 1-2-3-4-5-6-7 3: 3 4: 4-5 5: 2-3-6-8-12 7x1x2x5 = $70 ($35 for .50 and can be played twice.. or more) 6th: MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super) $100k Guaranteed P6 starts here.. Most Likely: #9 Purses Galore 7-2 2nd Best Value: #6 Street Surprise 6-1 5th Next Best: #8 Heather's Feather 3-1 WON ($9.30) Super Add: #2 Star Vesta 5-1 3rd 7th: OC/N2X, 3+, 1m-IT (G/S, P3, DD, Super) Don't think this is his spot per se, but it is nice to see J. B.'s Thunder make it back to the races. This is a heck of a good group and a great betting opportunity. Ignore the ML numbers and bet with gusto! Best Value: #5 Bergerac 12-1 WON ($30.40) Next Best: #7 Prado Dash 8-1 7th Exotics Use: #8 Lethal Combination 8-1 9th Super Add: #6 Xodo 15-1 8th 8th: Island Whirl, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD) Note that Rule by Night is cross-entered in Saturday's Forego (G1) and will run there.. Most Likely: #6 Dark Thunder 2-1 WON ($3.60) Next Best: #4 Bank Merger 5-2 2nd Best Value: #2 Congressional Page 8-1 4th 9th: With Anticipation (G2), 2yo, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #1 Captain Webb 3-1 6th Best Value: #7 Two Months Rent 6-1 7th Exotics Use: #6 State of Play 5-1 WON ($8.00) Super Add: #4 Dullahan 7-2 3rd 10th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 9f-IT (DD, Super) Best Value: #3 Toccet's Image 8-1 6th Next Best: #5 Ocean Seven 3-1 8th Exotics Use: #8 Last Empire 6-1 5th Super Add: #13 Cosmic King 5-1 9th 11th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f-T (Super) Oh super.. A turf sprint with 12 first or second time starters! Most Likely: #7 Dorothy's Spirit 9-2 5th Next Best: #11 Sweet Cat 7-2 WON ($6.00) Best Value: #2 Run a Risk 8-1 3rd Exotics Use: #5 Constantinople 6-1 11th Super Add: #6 Peace Preserver 15-1 6th <$150 P6 Play: 6: 6-8-9 7: 5-7 8: 6 9: 1-6-7 10: 3-5 11: 7-11 3x2x1x3x2x2 = 72 x $2 = $144 $2 Pick 6 (8-5-6-6-11-11) 5/6 Correct Paid $158.00 x 2 = $316.00 <$75 P4 Play: 8: 2-5-6 9: 1-4-6-7 10: 3-5 11: 2-3-5-6-7-11 3x4x2x6 = 144 x .50 = $72 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 09-01-2011 at 06:56 PM. 
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#3
09-01-2011, 10:12 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#4
09-01-2011, 11:02 AM
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Quote:
__________________
"I guess it comes down to a simple choice, really. Get busy livin' or get busy dyin'."
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#6
09-02-2011, 10:52 AM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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