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  #1  
Old 07-14-2011, 05:57 PM
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Return to New York from Florida Thursday after 2 very pleasant weeks. Preparations for 'At the Races' 5th season broadcasting from Carolina Barbecue in the Saratoga backyard are in full swing, and everything points to a great 7 week stand at the Spa. As good as summer racing is when Del Mar (Wednesday) and Saratoga open (Friday), the last several weeks and weekends have provided top flight entertainment and wagering opportunities already. Flirted with P6 score at Belmont Saturday, but had to settle for the $140 conso and solid $383 P4. There were some nice numbers to poach in the Delaware and Summit of Speed sequences as well. Hope everybody did well... Hollywood offers another midweek carryover Thursday -- this one almost $110k. When we last encountered this opportunity, two weeks ago, the total pot soared towards $1,000,000.


HOLLYWOOD PARK


PRE-SCRATCHES


3rd: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Top pair should get us through first leg..

Most Likely: #1 Sleep Tight 5-2
Best Value: #6 Entabeni 4-1
Next Best: #5 Cactus Flyer 3-1
Super Add: #4 Subpeona the Dress 2-1


4th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super)

If Town Belle doesn't win this, don't know when she will..

Most Likely: #6 Town Belle 5-2
Next Best: #2 On Your Mark 2-1
Best Value: #4 She Can Roar 8-1
Super Add: #1 Team Builder 7-2


5th: Cal-MSW, 3+, 6f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Trickiest event of the sequence. If it's not Madeoftherightstuf (2-1), then it's anybody..

Most Likely: #8 Madeoftherightstuf 2-1
Best Value: #2 Nofty 6-1
Next Best: #4 Kingpin Ryno 5-2
Super Add: #3 Valen 10-1


6th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Very well-matched group..

Best Value: #5 Legal Separation 6-1
Next Best: #4 Chiloquin 5-2
Exotics Use: #6 Gator Warrior 5-2
Super Add: #3 Master Chef 2-1


7th: ALW/C, F&M-3+, 6f-T (DD, Super)

Unzip Me is formidable and exceedingly likely, but she's not unbeatable..

Most Likely: #3 Unzip Me 6-5
Next Best: #2 Seperate Forest 2-1
Exotics Use: #1 Broken Dreams 3-1


8th: Cal-MDN CLM, 2yo, 5f (Super, Super Hi-5)

Firster Run for Miles may be on a par with the double-dropping fave Pedlars Way..

Most Likely: #1 Pedlars Way 5-2
Next Best: #3 Run for Miles 7-2
Best Value: #8 Grumpy Small Mouth 5-1
Super Add: #2 Insightful Boy 10-1
Hi-5 Play: #10 Taylor Marini 20-1


<$150 P6 Play:

3: 1-6
4: 6
5: 2-8
6: 4-5-6
7: 2-3
8: 1-3-8

2x1x2x3x2x3 = 72 x $2 = $144


<$50 P4 Play:

5: 2-4-8
6: 1-3-4-5-6
7: 2-3
8: 1-3-8

3x5x2x3 = 90 x .50 = $45



BELMONT PARK -- SPOT RACE


PRE-SCRATCHES


9th: NY-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 6f-IT

Don't always eagerly attack turf sprints due to their randomness, but vulnerability of 5-2 favorite #12 Karakorum Elektra makes this too interesting to pass up. Yes, she's dropping down to Empire company for the first time since fall '09, is third off the break and should get a pace to stalk or close into, but she's also 7yo now and hasn't finished with much oomph in the pair of modest overnight stakes that have started her season. There are a variety of options to use at generous numbers in this spot, and a bulbous set of mutuels could easily emerge..

Best Value: #4 Considerate 10-1: Continues to progress; Invariably ITM..
Exotics Use: #9 Raffie's Rose 15-1: 2nd/break & effort 10/10 fits here..
Next Best: #8 Rosa Salvaje 6-1: Best of speeds away since GP open ALW score..
Super Add: #7 Sezzana 15-1: Diploma'd BEL lawn 'back when'; Will be ignored..


Good luck!
Steve
Steve,
Nice run so far. Good luck in the last 2 legs.
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  #2  
Old 07-14-2011, 07:07 PM
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Steve,
Nice run so far. Good luck in the last 2 legs.
Thx Tom. That was tough in the 7th. Conso was nice and all, but..
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Old 07-14-2011, 07:35 PM
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Tough one Steve.. Nice work!
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Old 07-14-2011, 07:36 PM
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Tough one Steve.. Nice work!
Shut up!!
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  #5  
Old 07-14-2011, 07:52 PM
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Shut up!!
Hey watch yourself or I'll come down 71 south and kick your butt
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  #6  
Old 07-14-2011, 08:02 PM
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Hey watch yourself or I'll come down 71 south and kick your butt


!!



But I'm saving myself for someone else.

thaaaanks!
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  #7  
Old 07-14-2011, 10:08 PM
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Strong PK6 play, nice work
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  #8  
Old 07-14-2011, 09:50 PM
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Steve, nice run, and thanks as always.
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  #9  
Old 07-14-2011, 10:01 PM
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Nice job Steve
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  #10  
Old 07-14-2011, 10:07 PM
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Oh my God.





Snow in Florida this week is now a real possibility.
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  #11  
Old 07-14-2011, 10:01 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
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Nice job Steve. Good opinions.
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  #12  
Old 07-14-2011, 07:36 PM
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Steve,
Nice run so far. Good luck in the last 2 legs.

Hey!!...do you mind?



Now you're going to bring a very angry Sterling in here.

Happy now?
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