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#121
05-16-2011, 05:21 AM
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5/21 (PIM): Preakness Field (Earnings list)
1 Animal Kingdom
2 Dialed In 3 Midnight Interlude 4 Mucho Macho Man 5 Shackleford 6 Astrology 7 King Congie 8 Flashpoint 9 Mr. Commons 10 Sway Away 11 Norman Asbjornson 12 Dance City 13 Concealed Identity 14 Isn't He Perfect __________________________________________________ ______________ 15 Saratoga Red
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 05-17-2011 at 09:14 AM. 
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#122
05-16-2011, 08:47 AM
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A few days late, but I wasn't sure anybody had posted this. Crist on the Derby pace:
http://www.drf.com/news/hard-make-se...cky-derby-pace
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The world's foremost expert on virtually everything on the Redskins 2010 season: "Im going to go out on a limb here. I say they make the playoffs."
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#123
05-16-2011, 02:29 PM
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Ruler On Ice Out; Concealed Identity Likely In
RULER ON ICE – George and Lori Hall’s Ruler On Ice isn’t likely to run in Saturday’s Preakness Stakes, trainer Kelly Breen said Monday morning. “He’s fine. I haven’t talked to the owners yet, but I don’t believe we’re going to make the Preakness. I’ll talk to them later today and try to see what’s best for the horse. It’s a long year. We might think about the Belmont, but I’m not sure,” Breen said. “He came out of that last race with low blood, and we’re just trying to get him pumped up right now.” Ruler On Ice finished second as the 3-2 favorite in the Federico Tesio Stakes at Pimlico on May 7. CONCEALED IDENTITY – The Federico Tesio Stakes winner is “80-20” to run in Saturday’s Preakness, said Linda Gaudet, who owns the son of 2004 Derby and Preakness winner Smarty Jones in partnership with Morris Bailey. With the defection of Ruler On Ice Monday morning, the Bowie Training Center-based Concealed Identity moved into the prospective Preakness field, which is limited to 14 horses. “We’re very realistic. We’re shooting for the stars, but other than the horses from the Derby – the 1-2-3-4 finishers that are coming – we’re on the same page with the other horses,” said Gaudet, the wife of trainer Eddie Gaudet. “The horse has run very well at Pimlico and has done everything we’ve asked.” Concealed Identity, who won the Maryland Juvenile Championship last year, was winless in three starts this year before being sent around two turns at Pimlico on April 15, when he won an entry-level allowance by more than three lengths. The Maryland-bred gelding came right back on May 7 to score a two-length victory over favored Ruler On Ice in the Tesio. “We don’t have to ship. The horse has run well at Pimlico, so that’s always been an advantage,” Gaudet said. “Eddie hasn’t had a horse in the Preakness before and they don’t come along very often. Is he a superstar? Probably not, but he’s a nice little horse. It’s an opportunity we might take advantage of. It’s home; it’s close; he’s good; we’re all a little excited.” Sheldon Russell will retain the mount, said Gaudet.
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#125
05-16-2011, 05:50 PM
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This DRF story tells you all you need to know about the new faces:
http://www.drf.com/news/who-can-beat...rans-have-edge The money quote: Among the newcomers, Watchmaker has Saratoga Red at the shortest odds (10-1). Paul
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#126
05-16-2011, 05:54 PM
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#127
05-16-2011, 05:56 PM
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#130
05-16-2011, 06:50 PM
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I am getting the feeling that you guys aren't on board with the Mr. Commons thing. Where is DrugS when you need him? You know he would be all over shirreffs in this spot.
Anything look promising here?
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#131
05-16-2011, 06:56 PM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#133
05-16-2011, 08:01 PM
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I think Mr. Commons is Midnight Interlude 2.0. Basically everyone who bet on Midnight Interlude was banking on the Baffert factor. It's sort of the same thing everyone will do with Mr. Commons being trained by Shirreffs. There's very little about Mr. Commons' dirt races that would make me think he can win the Preakness.
The horses he faced in his allowance win were awful and have proven so in subsequent starts. The SA Derby did not exactly hold up as a positive race given the Derby efforts of Midnight Interlude and Comma to the Top. Indian Winter is another run-back from the SA Derby and he was a well-beaten 4th in the Derby Trial. Artie Schiller has one stakes winner in his first crop, Bear's Chill who won the Queenston at Woodbine. His two other stakes placings this year were a 3rd place finish by Parting Words in the Appalachian and Subtle Irony in a stake at Beulah Park. At this point Artie is well behind flashy first crop sires like War Front. Mr. Commons has a bright future on turf, as Rollo alluded to, and is still tough to like on dirt. He is almost certain to be an underlay, especially when you have an opinion like I do, which is that he should be a minimum of 30-1.
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#134
05-16-2011, 08:12 PM
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Thanks Nick. Okay last stab. I watched the replay of the Arkansas derby and in hindsight, Dance City ran quite a race. He is bothered in the stretch and of all of the early speed, he is the only one that was there in the end.
Ramon gets the call for the Preakness and with any sort of improvement this horse has a real shot. I know the pedigree is a little bit speedy on top (city zip) but the female side might just carry him far enough. Crazy?
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#137
05-16-2011, 08:16 PM
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His damside is typical of a Ned Evans homebred. His dam was a 3x route winner and has already produced 3 other route winners. City Zip, of course, is a half to Ghostzapper and has produced numerous route stakes winners on turf and dirt. If Dance City gets tired late it will be because he had to chase very fast fractions, not because of his pedigree IMO. I like Dance City.
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#139
05-16-2011, 08:43 PM
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#140
05-16-2011, 09:09 PM
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