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#1
05-01-2011, 11:12 AM
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5/1: Belmont (5th-10th)
Though great fun with the Churchill night opener a rousing success, Saturday produced largely poor results on the wagering front. Caught a nice tri to end the Belmont session with 11-2 Nutmegcuveeroyale and 9-1 Paci di Notte making it work for $200+ ($1). That was the day's best opinion however as multi-race plays never got going. The Downs played host to a party for 40,000 in the evening, and it was a truly riotous atmosphere that 'worked' on many levels. The racing highlight came from Neil Howard winning the Derby Trial with Machen, who clearly wants to do exactly what was asked of him in the contentious and roughly run race. Dominus was the runner up and was likely best, and might not have been out-photographed had he been able to see Edgar Prado and the Distorted Humor chestnut drawing close. But the win was a popular one under the spires, with Howard about as well-liked and respected an individual as there is in the sport. Hope you did OK Saturday... Sunday thoughts for Elmont are below.
BELMONT PARK POST-SCRATCHES 5th: NY-MDN CLM, 3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #5 Judy's Warrior 2-1 4th Best Value: #10 Tindaro's Prospect 12-1 6th Next Best: #7 Fivestar Karakorum 5-2 WON ($6.70) Super Add: #6 Read About Me 6-1 9th 6th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD, Super) These feel interchangeable.. Most Likely: #10 Ecoach 7-2 2nd Best Value: #8 Private Escort 4-1 3rd Next Best: #4 Good Night Lucy 3-1 WON ($6.20) Exotics Use: #9 Happy Haya 4-1 5th 7th: MDN CLM, 3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super) Best Value: #7 Pernice 6-1 2nd Next Best: #1 Extinction 5-1 6th Exotics Use: #6 Equivocation 5-2 WON ($6.40) Super Add: #10 Ommadon's Reign 20-1 8th 8th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD, Super) The fave or 2nd choice (#1 Running in Circles) don't have to win this, and if they don't, look for boxcars.. Most Likely: #9 Katy's Office Girl 2-1 3rd Best Value: #8 Back to Hurstland 12-1 8th Exotics Use: #5 Auric Girl 8-1 6th Super Add: #3 Guyana Princess 12-1 4th 9th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m-T (DD, Super) Best Value: #2 Pretty Boy Freud 6-1 3rd Next Best: #8 Devon Rock 5-2 4th Exotics Use: #3 New Yawker 8-1 2nd Super Add: #6 Indio Rooster 10-1 8th 10th: CLM, 3+, 6f-IT (Super) Most Likely: #6 Glacier Bay 7-2 WON ($6.20) Next Best: #5 Retire to What 5-2 5th Best Value: #11 Can't Refuse 30-1 9th Super Add: #10 Onzain 12-1 8th <$75 P4 Play: 7: 1-6-7 8: 3-5-8-9 9: 2-3-8 10: 5-6-10-11 3x4x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 05-02-2011 at 05:05 AM. 
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#2
05-01-2011, 11:13 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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