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#1
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![]() I would change the word "expect" and its variations to "hope" or "crossing my fingers".
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#2
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![]() I'm surprised anyone in here thinks Uncle Mo will be even marginally effective if he's 7-8 lengths off the pace early.
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#3
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Are you of the belief that he's some sort of speedball that cannot be effective sitting? I'd be worried about him being 25 off the lead, maybe, but sitting even 10 off a hot pace shouldn't be an issue, possible traffic problems excluded. |
#4
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You know, because that was such a definitive performance he uncorked and validated in subsequent starts. He simply needs to regain his 2yo form--which was pretty potent setting or stalking the pace--to win. |
#5
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In no way to I think he's a speedball who can't be effective sitting. However, there's a bit difference between sitting a length or two off the pace and 7-8 back as you're saying. The only way Uncle Mo should be 10 off the pace is if they somehow go :43 and change. He has, or should I say had, a ton of natural speed in his best races last year. Quote:
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#6
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![]() The thing is, from the very beginning, Uncle Mo has always run relaxed with a very push button racing style. What did he go in the Timely Writer, maybe 50 for the half? I don't think it would have mattered had he gone 50 or had he gone 46. The result would have been nearly the same.
He went as fast as he did last year because simply put, he was just much better than his opposition, and with his abundant natural speed, he was logically placed in a forward spot. Had there been a suicidal pace set in the BCJ, he'd have been fine sitting much further off than he did. The comparison to Sydney's Candy is totally irrelevant, as they have completely different running styles and demeanors. SC pulls. UM does what is asked. He's just so good, a 46 and change comes easily to him. |
#7
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Now I'm not saying Uncle Mo should be sent on a mission to get the lead, but to allow him to settle 10 back of a :46 half-mile would be foolish. The horse has proven capable (albeit last year) of going quickly early and having plenty left. If I were hoping for an Uncle Mo win I'd be looking for a Big Brown or Barbaro type of trip, close throughout with a big move on the turn. |
#8
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I just don't see how being 10 off a 46 would do him any harm at all. Is there something you've seen in his races that would make you think that? Me? I'd like to see him about 4-5 off, regardless, but my feeling is that they will try to keep him off the pace more if they go quickly, which is what seems likely. Not too concerned about going wide, but the dirt in the face could be an issue. He's professional, which should help with that. |
#9
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#10
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This horse always seems to be well within himself. |