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#1
01-30-2011, 06:25 PM
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Theriot - probably under instruction to do so - rode a miserable race but won by 5 lengths anyway. He owned a serious pace advantage - and should have been able to win that race by 15 or more if he used it. 
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#2
01-30-2011, 07:13 PM
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Yes it was..........I didn't want to say that, though. I hate to blame a horse for beating not great stock when they can't help who they run against at this point... just watch, though. When the lists are updated, he will be in the top 5 or 6 in most. How much stock do you put into the fact that Mucho Macho Man didn't run all that well today? Did he flatter THAS? Not particularly, but I saw someone make this comment on another board - the implication being that THASmay not deserve his high ranking on most lists. Well I guess we'll find out soon enough, but IMO since those races were months ago - I don't really think it means anything, esp. since you'd think THAS has developed and is a better horse than he was last year. Bretheren is high on lists and the horse he beat in the CD allowance, Justin Phillip, ran last in the Lecomte.
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#3
01-30-2011, 07:20 PM
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The horse (Machen) has had two slowish starts in both races now.
Simply getting the horse to break well - using his pace advantage - and winning by a pole would have been my idea of a good prep. Instead - they let him snooze in the pre-race - grab hold of him almost the instant the gates open - take him back behind slugs - get his face dirty a little - split horses and finish up strong like a workout. Trainers sure do love the latter method. I don't think Mucho Macho Man's race is kind of real tell in regard to To Honor and Serve. A lot too much gets made of that stuff.
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#4
01-30-2011, 07:30 PM
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#5
01-30-2011, 08:21 PM
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In recent years the horses who have won the Remsen have not even made it into the Derby Starting gate. This along with the fact that I was not overly impressed by THAS Remsen performance make me need to get a better feel for him. I thought the Remsen Stakes didn't really shape up into much of a race. I thought it was clear THAS was the best horse but it didn't seem like such a impress win. At least to me. It's fine to disagree. So with all this the reason I put him at #2 on my list is that the astute horseman I know believe THAS is the clear 2nd best horse - right behind Uncle Mo. I am not totally sold yet on that opinion, but if these knowing horseman say THAS is the second best colt right now than I have to give them the benefit of the doubt. I will give them the benefit of the doubt until I have evidence to back up my opinion.
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#6
01-30-2011, 08:34 PM
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Mine starts and ends with Sweet Ducky
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#8
01-31-2011, 10:28 AM
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#9
01-30-2011, 08:14 PM
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I don't have a list.
Flashpoint, Indian Winter, Albergatti  , Tiz Blessed, Alternation, Break Up the Game and The Factor are the main guys I'm keeping an eye on at this early point in time.
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#10
01-30-2011, 08:16 PM
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Forgot to mention when I do have an actual list in a month or so? You might wanna be sure to cross all the names off of your list.
That's how good I am at early Derby picks.  
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#11
01-30-2011, 10:33 PM
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Break up the Game is a nice colt even though he hasn't won yet........I'm looking forward to his next race at a mile or 1 1/16
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