The Cops are coming after me...

[Dunbar]

Originally Posted by dalakhani

I had pegasus wind as well. I think any pick that doesnt pay is a "bad pick" but i thought the price was wonderful and i had to jump on it. I would make that bet over and over again.

By putting "bad pick" in quotation marks, I assume you mean it wasn't really a bad pick. Especially since you say you'd do it again. That's the right attitude.

To be successful bettors, we have to think in terms of the longrun. If we get too worked up over the outcome of every bet, we are not going to have a successful longterm approach. For me, a 21-1 shot finishing a close 3rd would be as good or better a confirmation of my capping skill than a 5-2 shot winning narrowly.

What I objected to in CR's post was the idea that 5-2 was a huge overlay. When 2 horses finish within a length of your horse, there's no evidence that 5-2 was a gift.

--Dunbar