![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
|
#1
|
||||
|
||||
![]() I guess he could also go to the Donn.
|
#2
|
|||
|
|||
![]() Or Dubai.
__________________
Just more nebulous nonsense from BBB |
#3
|
|||
|
|||
![]() He's been a favorite of mine, but I didn't think he ran more than "ok" in the Cigar Mile...... I never thought it was "fair" to classify him as a miler based on an ill-advised journey out west, but he doesn't strike me as a horse that will thrive at longer distances.
|
#4
|
|||
|
|||
![]() He's one of a frustratingly long list of mis-managed horses by Godolphin.
This was a banner year for their ineptitude. I can't quite figure out what's the problem because Rick Mettee is an awfully sharp guy. Between Sara Louise being rushed into a 9 week campaign to Girolamo debuting in a GI to Vineyard Haven totally falling off form to Regal Ransom having a campaign headlined by winning a N3X at Saratoga, it was just sickening. Thank God Hibaayeb won a disgracefully bad Yellow Ribbon and Girolamo won the worst Vosburgh in its history. |
#5
|
||||
|
||||
![]() Quote:
Which makes me wonder if they are sabotaging themselves on purpose. I know that sounds implausible, but the way they run things, nothing else really makes any sense. |
#6
|
||||
|
||||
![]() Quote:
|
#7
|
||||
|
||||
![]() Quote:
Look at this... http://www.timeform.com/godolphin/gd...5060&source=01 These are seriously good horses. Or were... ![]() ![]() I don't know what to think anymore. I'm not defending anyone anymore. Fin. |
#8
|
||||
|
||||
![]() Quote:
The older male division going long is as weak as ever - it's a complete and utter joke with Blame and Quality Road out of the way. Like with the vast majority of A. P. Indy's - Girolamo's best game will inevitably be going long on dirt. While he has tremendous natural speed for an A. P. Indy .. he keeps having to be rushed along after a furlong or so just to hold position. That's happened in every single race of his this year. He won the Vosburgh inspite of it - because that field sucked. |
#9
|
|||
|
|||
![]() Quote:
|
#10
|
||||
|
||||
![]() Quote:
Because I toss him every time he runs with the utmost confidence. I love those over bet/over hyped horses. |
#11
|
||||
|
||||
![]() Quote:
In terms of ability - I'm not sure there's another older male left in the country who I believe is much better than him. Saturday was the first time I ever remember betting him in his career - and I bet virtually peanuts on him because he was coupled with the hopeless Vineyard Haven. |
#12
|
||||
|
||||
![]() Quote:
|
#13
|
||||
|
||||
![]() I couldn't trust Haynesfield with Vineyard Haven in there ... he did a nice job of rating off of him and relaxing.
Give Haynesfield an easy lead and it's Katie bar the doors. |
#14
|
||||
|
||||
![]() Quote:
Here's a horse, going on 5, that's made all of 11 starts, despite racing at 2, 3, and 4. Physical issues are probably a very real limiting factor here. Furthermore, whether you want to call it mismanagement or not, he's been kept for the most part around one-turn during his career and it would be quite a feat for the connections (who everyone agrees are inept) to re-develop this horse into a two-turn runner. The progeny stats for AP Indy are a huge selling point, but looking at Girolamo closely, how many other AP Indy runners have his kind of natural speed (I don't agree with your "rushed along" comment)? He's constantly in the thick of it early at shorter distances, often under strong restraint from his jockey. He's been up close in nothing but fast-paced races with fractions of :45-:46+ and 1:09+. He almost certainly would be on the lead in races of 9f-10f. He appears to have little acceleration (Jersey Town left him for dead on the turn the other day) and no real "move". He's not a typical AP Indy plodder. Visually, he's never really finished up particularly well. He was under a heavy drive just to make up a couple of lengths on two sons of sprint sire Speightstown this past weekend. He looked good in an allowance last year, but that just brings up another question mark...his class. He's won 4 of his last 7 dirt races. Looked at the other way, he's lost the Cigar Mile, BC Sprint, and Forego...all open races He's won a couple of conditioned allowances, a 5-horse age restricted Grade 1, and held safe one of Oaklawn's finest in Riley Tucker. I would point to that great barometer of future success, the now defunct Futurity Stakes, as further evidence of his "cut below" status. He was outrun by Charitable Man, Flying Pegasus, and Kensei that day, and faltered alongside the decidely non-Grade 1 colt Freisan Fire in what turned out to be a preview of failure for the following 2 racing seasons. |
#15
|
|||
|
|||
![]() Quote:
He was 2 years old when he ran in the Futurity and he didn't run badly. Most Indy's improve with age, so they gave him time off and he came back brilliantly as a 3 year old. I don't see how his 2 year old races are an indication that he lacks sufficient class........ |
#16
|
||||
|
||||
![]() Quote:
In sprint races - they break well - and start struggling to maintain position after a few furlongs. After watching the Cigar Mile again - you're right - he wasn't rushed along like in the other sprints .. but he still was in a spot he wouldn't be in going long. He wouldn't have to worry about being 5th or so, in a pack of 3, and getting dirt kicked back in his face. I think he'd get a ton of perfect trips at 9fs or 10fs - the way a Quality Road or Left Bank always would. I have no doubts about his ability to stay a distance against chumppy top competition in these rich 6 horse field stakes to come. |
#17
|
|||
|
|||
![]() Jack this is silly. Toss every time he runs? Well I guess you lost some $ LAST YEAR. I guess you also lost $ in that G1 sprint a few back.
|
#18
|
||||
|
||||
![]() Oh god.
|
#19
|
|||
|
|||
![]() Stop. I have always liked him. He has been mishandled since last year. Why the hell was he rushed to the Classic? Why not the Cigar Mile last year then a full campaign this year?
|
#20
|
||||
|
||||
![]() Quote:
Yeah he beat me in the G1 @ Belmont when I bet Riley Tucker....so what. He still is a bet against in any G1 sprint or mile race. Last edited by VOL JACK : 11-30-2010 at 06:05 PM. |