11/6 (CD): Breeders' Cup Saturday (Post Draw Fields; ML's)

[parsixfarms]

Originally Posted by ateamstupid

Why? What percentage of the public is going to bet according to the morning line? Battaglia's line is irrelevant, just fun to laugh at.

A bad morning line helps in horizontal wagers if the horses that you like are considerably higher on the M/L than what their actual odds will be for betting on the race.

[hockey2315]

Originally Posted by parsixfarms

A bad morning line helps in horizontal wagers if the horses that you like are considerably higher on the M/L than what their actual odds will be for betting on the race.

Not really.

[parsixfarms]

Originally Posted by hockey2315

Not really.

Happens all the time, especially with a lot of "casual" money in the pool.

[MinnSkinny]

Bump...

[Kasept]

JUVENILE TURF (1:50p)

1. Typhoon Slew (M. Maker/J. Leparoux) 15-1
2. Deciphering Dreams (R. Dutrow/R. Dominguez) 20-1
3. Mantoba (B. Meehan/F. Dettori) 5-1
4. Air Support (C. McGaughey/R. Maragh) 8-1
5. Master of Hounds (A. O'Brien/J. Murtagh) 9-2*
6. Utley (J. Gosden/W. Buick) 6-1
7. Willcox Inn (M. Stidham/J. Velazquez) 20-1
8. Banned (T. Proctor/J. Rosario) 10-1
9. Soldat (K. McLaughlin/A. Garcia) 8-1
10. Madman Diaries (W. Ward/J. Sanchez) 12-1
11. Rough Sailing (M. Stidham/R. Napravnik) 15-1
12. Humble and Hungry (I. Correas/O. Peslier) 20-1
13. Pluck (T. Pletcher/G. Gomez) 6-1

[Kasept]

SPRINT (2:30p)

1. Big Drama (D. Fawkes/E. Coa) 7-2
2. Girolamo (S. bin Suroor/A. Garcia) 3-1*
3. Wise Dan (C. Lopresti/R. Bejarano) 10-1
4. Hamazing Destiny (W. Lukas/J. Rosario) 20-1
5. Smiling Tiger (J. Bonde/R. Baze) 6-1
6. Pashito the Che (S. Lake/J. Castellano) 15-1
7. Kinsale King (C. O'Callaghan/M. Garcia) 8-1
8. Cash Refund (S. Margolis/J. Velazquez) 20-1
9. Supreme Summit (D. O'Neill/G. Gomez) 15-1
10. Riley Tucker (S. Asmussen/R. Dominguez) 8-1
11. Atta Boy Roy (V. Lund/C. Borel) 12-1
12. Warrior's Reward (I. Wilkes/J. Leparoux) 12-1

[Kasept]

TURF (6:00p)

1. Champ Pegasus (R. Mandella/J. Rosario) 10-1
2. Winchester (C. Clement/C. Velasquez) 8-1
3. Telling (S. Hobby/J. Castellano) 20-1
4. Debussy (J. Gosden/W. Buick) 10-1
5. Al Khali (B. Mott/J. Leparoux) 10-1
6. Workforce (M. Stoute/R. Moore) 7-5
7. Behkabad (J. Roget/C. Lemaire) 9-5
8. Dangerous Midge (B. Meehan/F. Dettori) 12-1

[chucklestheclown]

Originally Posted by Kasept

JUVENILE TURF (1:50p)

1. Typhoon Slew (M. Maker/J. Leparoux) 15-1
2. Deciphering Dreams (R. Dutrow/R. Dominguez) 20-1
3. Mantoba (B. Meehan/F. Dettori) 5-1
4. Air Support (C. McGaughey/R. Maragh) 8-1
5. Master of Hounds (A. O'Brien/J. Murtagh) 9-2*
6. Utley (J. Gosden/W. Buick) 6-1
7. Willcox Inn (M. Stidham/J. Velazquez) 20-1
8. Banned (T. Proctor/J. Rosario) 10-1
9. Soldat (K. McLaughlin/A. Garcia) 8-1
10. Madman Diaries (W. Ward/J. Sanchez) 12-1
11. Rough Sailing (M. Stidham/R. Napravnik) 15-1
12. Humble and Hungry (I. Correas/O. Peslier) 20-1
13. Pluck (T. Pletcher/G. Gomez) 6-1

Pluck is 13??? Pluck...he's plucked.

[CSC]

BC Turf

Euro’s have the advantage here, Workforce, Behkabad and Debussy will be all the rage. All are possible but not liking their probable prices. A very interesting horse is Dangerous Midge, trainer Meehan has reportedly taken his time with him this year, form from his last is very cleverly disguised setting him up for a big race. I wouldn’t be surprised if he runs very well Saturday, best thing about it is no one’s talking about him. 10-1 and beyond is probable. I will back him with some confidence.

[ateamstupid]

Originally Posted by parsixfarms

A bad morning line helps in horizontal wagers if the horses that you like are considerably higher on the M/L than what their actual odds will be for betting on the race.

No, it doesn't. People are going to bet how they're going to bet, horizontal or otherwise. Morning line makes very little difference, if any. It's an estimate that goes out the window once the pools open, especially giant pools like these.