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#1
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![]() Winter Memories is going to be overbet off of a race that really might not be much, if at all better than Kathmanblu's Jessamine or the Natalma.
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#2
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![]() Off topic...
Does anyone possess a link where I could find out what the best wagers of past year's BC's have been? (i.e. - rolling p3's, DD's, ex, tri's . . .) Any help would be greatly appreciated. thank you in advance.
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"A person who saw no important difference between the fire outside a Neandrathal's cave and a working thermo-nuclear reactor might tell you that junk bonds and derivatives BOTH serve to energize capital" - Nathan Israel |
#3
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#4
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__________________
"A person who saw no important difference between the fire outside a Neandrathal's cave and a working thermo-nuclear reactor might tell you that junk bonds and derivatives BOTH serve to energize capital" - Nathan Israel |
#5
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![]() I have not downloaded a copy yet for this year, but the express bet wagering guide usually has some of the info you are looking for.
__________________
In the Picnic area at Monmouth Park. Haskell 2008 |
#6
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![]() Call me crazy, but isn't that like handicapping the fifth race with the fourth race past performances? Inconsequential.
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#7
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I have a binder with past BC charts and refer to it each year to remember things that worked, didn't etc. Plus, to remind myself at how valuable wagers like the P4 and Trifecta are. |
#8
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http://www.brisnet.com/library/softw...s/oct10brs.pdf After you crack page 8 please give me a shout. |
#9
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![]() Street Chimes disappointed mightily yesterday, and I would say moves the Natalma back a considerate amount in how it is viewed vs. some other preps. Also, that doesn't bode well for Pluck who ran a second slower than the girls did that day. That's just my opinion, of course.
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#10
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#11
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I'm not going to put too much into Street Chimes' 5th place finish yesterday since it seems like she wants to go a mile at most. She was also a little closer to the pace yesterday and it fell apart altogether. Perhaps I'm being too liberal with it, but I'll pay to find out. I thought that More Than Real and New Normal were the two best in the Natalma by more than the finishing margins and More Than Real is more likely to move forward in a race with a contested pace. We'll see about it all but I'm not going to necessarily upgrade Winter Memories because Excited came back to run well or downgrade More Than Real because Street Chimes didn't. |
#12
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That being said, I'm betting the Reddam horse. |
#13
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![]() You have some chip on your shoulder.
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#14
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![]() You're right about that. . . but I do respect your opinion.
I just don't see how anyone can think Kathmanblu and Winter Memories are equals. |
#15
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Kathmanblu ran against the bias at Saratoga in a race where I thought she should legitimately have been 60-1. She finished well after a slightly troubled break. The Jessamine was not a particularly strong race but she completely collapsed the race off the turn with that move. My point was that the odds separation between Winter Memories and Kathmanblu is probably going to be so vast because of Winter Memories' last race. In my opinion, it was not so vastly better than Kathmanblu's Jessamine, facilitating a price difference of 5/2 vs. 8 or 10-1. |
#16
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#17
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![]() Yeah she looked impressive, but against the clock it wasn't much better than others in here that I have alluded to. As well I think Winter Memories last race was also very much a bit of having an extremely weak field behind her...I mean seriously, Arch Support was 2nd. Arch Support has zero ability whatsoever. Winter Memories is going to be a short price and there are plenty of ways to go to take her on.
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#18
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![]() FRIDAY
MOST: While I respect her immensely, how can Rightly So not be a vulnerable fave in the F&M Sprint? I suppose there is a distinct chance she gets edged in the wagering ultimately by Informed Decision, who has been making an increased case for herself daily, but the point is that this 7f dash looks like a spot ripe for something off the pace and at at least a square price.. (On that front, Champagne d'Oro & Evening Jewel are certainly in my grid.) LEAST: Nick Luck from Racing UK, whom you can hear on today's ATR during all of Hour 3, feels Midday won't lose, and says that Europe collectively backs that thought. But I'm inclined to think Blind Luck has a lot going for her in a spot where she gets a pace to chase on a track she relished during the spring. SATURDAY MOST: With the arrival of the Euros (equine and human) and under increased scrutiny, Workforce appears a very vulnerable fave. For openers, those close to the scene say he's not going to like the hard surface. Second, and probably more importantly, he is built more for gracious Woodbine/Arlington/Belmont style grass courses, as opposed to Churchill's more narrow and rather hairpin oval. LEAST: Goldikova. As I wrote in the Xpressbet Guide, if her story continues with a 3rd Mile victory, there won't be an accomplishment in Cup history more monumental. And as a coda, Luck said on air today that Wertheimer & Frere have hinted that they may bring the mare back in '11..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans |
#19
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I'm with you on Blind Luck. Earlier this year I was very much against her, but she has proven to be an excellent horse who always fires. |
#20
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans |