Good analysis as usual. I disagree with you about the Joe Hirsch though. I'm not sure what stands out about the three favorites. Al Khali and Winchester are two of the worst Bowling Green/Manhattan winners who ever lived, and the former is questionable at the distance. Paddy has two furlongs more to get and has yet to face elders. Telling and Bearpath are both in good form that's no worse than either AK/Winchester's. Never On Sunday's been a disappointment in the States, but he's got back form that would trounce these and he was the only one to close any ground in the speed-dominated Pan American. To me, Paddy is an A, and Winchester, Bearpath, Telling and NOS are Bs.
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09-30-2010, 04:14 PM
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