Blind Luck

[ateamstupid]

Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin

I think it all depends on the circumstances (who is in the race and the way the track is playing). There are plenty of times when a deep closer in a race with no pace is better off on dirt than synthetic or grass.

If you're a deep closer on synthetic or grass, there is no way you're going to be able to win one of those races where the front runners sprint home and run their final 1/8th of a mile in under 11 seconds. You see that sometimes on synthetic and grass. That's never going to happen on the dirt. You'll never see the final 1/8th of a mile run in :10 3/5 on the dirt, yet you see that sometimes on synthetic and grass. On the dirt, the front runners will almost never break 12 seconds for the final 1/8th.

This may be true, but by the same token, closers can run final 3/8 way quicker on synthetic than they can on dirt. The nature of synthetic racing rewards turn of foot rather than consistent tactical speed. Obviously there are exceptions to this rule, but that's generally the case.