Presque Isle at a mile

[hockey2315]

Thank you. . . I'm intrigued. It would also be interesting to know the exacta ROI for those two slots, but that would be a huge pain to calculate.

[The Indomitable DrugS]

Originally Posted by hockey2315

Thank you. . . I'm intrigued. It would also be interesting to know the exacta ROI for those two slots, but that would be a huge pain to calculate.

Yeah it would.

Of the winter tracks - post position data strongly suggested that Fairgrounds was the most rail friendly of all this winter.

Here are post stats for races at a Mile and 40 yards on dirt at FG this winter: (The Mile and 40 yard distance is the shortest route distance they run)

Post 1: 51-for-182
Post 2: 23-for-182
Post 3: 21-for-182
Post 4: 18-for-182
Post 5: 20-for-182
Post 6: 11-for-178
Post 7: 16-for-168
Post 8: 9-for-137
Post 9: 6-for-100
Post 10: 5-for-77
Post 11: 1-for-47

I remember on Belmont Stakes Day - right before the Acorn I was sitting at a table at the track with my father and a few other local bettors - and one of them asked me what I thought of Champagne D' Oro.

I said "the most positive thing I can say is that she overcame the 10 post at Fair Grounds to run a good 2nd to Quiet Temper at 8.5f two starts back. I didn't use her." She wins at 39/1 odds.

When the Belmont Stakes comes a few races later - I say to the same guy "the most positive thing I can say about Drosselmeyer is that he overcame the 13 post at Fair Grounds in the La Derby at 8.5fs to run a good 3rd beaten just a length. But he got owned by Fly Down over this track last time" Drosselmeyer wins the Belmont at 13/1 odds - and my top two picks Fly Down and First Dude run 2nd and 3rd. I don't even use him on spreads in the multi-win.

After the race, the guy goes "I'm going to be scanning the form all summer looking for longshots who have a good recent race from a wide post at Fairgrounds"

[iamthelurker]

So as an example, if you were to bet the 2nd race at Presque Isle tomorrow you would be throwing out the 6-10? Followed by a large win bet on one of the 1-5, whichever has the most early speed? Or am I completely misreading what your trying to say?

[clyde]

^^^^ Should stick to lurking.

[iamthelurker]

lol i obviously dont get it, if his numbers are legit wouldnt this be big for everyone?

[clyde]

You're asking....again!!??

[dagolfer33]

^^^^is lurking a lurker.

[clyde]

Originally Posted by iamthelurker

So as an example, if you were to bet the 2nd race at Presque Isle tomorrow you would be throwing out the 6-10? Followed by a large win bet on one of the 1-5, whichever has the most early speed? Or am I completely misreading what your trying to say?

Hey.....tell The Gopher to bite you.