Saturday Beyers

[cmorioles]

Originally Posted by hockey2315

I really hope Steve or somebody can get to the bottom of this.

Here are the raw figures and Beyers of the route races:

R 1 72, 82
R 3 67, 77
R 7 86, 95
R 8 52, 65
R 9 105, 94
R10 83, 92

So, you have the track SLOW 10, SLOW 10, SLOW 9, SLOW 13, FAST 11, SLOW 9.

Beyer would never average the FAST 11 with the others. The average of all the others is SLOW 10. If you use that for the Delaware Oaks, you now give the race a 115 Beyer. Does anyone think that is accurate, or even close?

If you do that, this is what you have:

Blind Luck 115 (previous top 104)
Havre De Grace 115 (83)
Derwin's Star 112 (86)
No Such Word 110 (93)
Worship the Moon 91 (80)
Calypso Queen 76 (65)
Listen In 71 (76)

My guess is the answer lies somewhere in between. I think Havre De Grace probably improved more than a 94 would indicate, but certainly nowhere near a 115. Anybody thinking this race wasn't a MUST break out from the others is delirious or knows nothing about figure making.